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Cirrus Logic, Inc. (CRUS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. At $161.14, A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (89.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (96.0%).

Cirrus Logic is a fabless semiconductor company designing low-power, high-precision mixed-signal components—primarily audio codecs and high-performance mixed-signal ICs—for the smartphone market. Apple Inc. represented approximately 89% of total net sales in fiscal 2025; the top... Read more

$161.14+8.9% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#12 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $151.56Target $175.42(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$181.40+12.6%5 analysts
$175.42our TP
$161.14price
$181.40mean
$140
$200

Sell if holding. At $161.14, A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (89.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (96.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Cirrus Logic, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (89.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (96.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.4
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$8.2B
EV/EBITDA14.4
Profit Mgn20.7%
ROE20.3%
Rev Growth5.7%
Beta1.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerApple Inc.89%
    10-K Item 1: 'we had one end customer, Apple, Inc., who purchased through multiple contract manufacturers and represented approximately 89 percent, 87 percent, and 83 percent, of the Company's total net sales, respectively'
  • HIGHCustomertop-10 customers96%
    10-K Item 1: 'our ten largest end customers, represented approximately 96 percent, 95 percent and 92 percent of our net sales, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02LOW
    Jeff Woolard (CFO) assumed additional role of Principal Accounting Officer effective March 25, 2026. Ulf Habermann ceased as PAO but continues in a senior finance role. Not a departure; internal reorganization.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $156.25Resistance $179.00

Price Targets

$152
$175
A.Upside+8.9%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRUS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $161.14, A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (89.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (96.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $151.56. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

What is the CRUS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $175.42 (+8.9% upside). Prior stop was $151.56. Stop-loss: $151.56.

What are the risks of investing in CRUS?

Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (89.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (96.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CRUS overvalued or undervalued?

Cirrus Logic, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRUS?

14 analysts cover CRUS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $181.

What does Cirrus Logic, Inc. do?Cirrus Logic is a fabless semiconductor company designing low-power, high-precision mixed-signal components—primarily...

Cirrus Logic is a fabless semiconductor company designing low-power, high-precision mixed-signal components—primarily audio codecs and high-performance mixed-signal ICs—for the smartphone market. Apple Inc. represented approximately 89% of total net sales in fiscal 2025; the top 10 customers accounted for ~96%. Wafers are sourced primarily from GlobalFoundries and TSMC.

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