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Cirrus Logic, Inc. (CRUS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $158.36 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (89.0%).

Cirrus Logic is a fabless semiconductor company specializing in low-power, high-precision mixed-signal processing solutions for smartphones and consumer electronics, with Apple representing approximately 89% of net sales in fiscal 2025. Revenue is from IC product sales; the... Read more

$158.36+8.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#14 of 45 Semiconductors
Stop $148.43Target $172.26(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$160.00+1.0%6 analysts
$172.26our TP
$158.36price
$160.00mean
$120
$200

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $158.36 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (89.0%). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (89.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.5): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.8
P/E (Fwd)17.3
Mkt Cap$8.0B
EV/EBITDA14.4
Profit Mgn20.5%
ROE19.9%
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta1.08
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.72neutral
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$115-27.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerApple Inc.89%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we had one end customer, Apple Inc., who purchased through multiple contract manufacturers and represented approximately 89 percent...of the Company's total net sales'
  • MEDIUMSupplierGlobalFoundries
    10-K Item 1A: 'We have a long-term capacity reservation and wafer supply agreement with GlobalFoundries, which includes obligations to purchase wafers from GlobalFoundries through calendar year 2026'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02LOW
    Effective March 25, 2026, Jeff Woolard (CFO) assumed additional role of Principal Accounting Officer. Ulf Habermann ceased as PAO but continues in senior finance role. Transition not due to any disagreement with Company.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $143.24Resistance $175.78

Price Targets

$148
$172
A.Upside+8.8%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.2% upside)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRUS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $158.36 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (89.0%). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $148.43. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the CRUS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $172.26 (+8.7% upside). Prior stop was $148.43. Stop-loss: $148.43.

What are the risks of investing in CRUS?

Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (89.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.5): -1.5.

Is CRUS overvalued or undervalued?

Cirrus Logic, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRUS?

14 analysts cover CRUS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $160.

What does Cirrus Logic, Inc. do?Cirrus Logic is a fabless semiconductor company specializing in low-power, high-precision mixed-signal processing...

Cirrus Logic is a fabless semiconductor company specializing in low-power, high-precision mixed-signal processing solutions for smartphones and consumer electronics, with Apple representing approximately 89% of net sales in fiscal 2025. Revenue is from IC product sales; the Company's three-pronged strategy targets smartphone audio leadership, HPMS content growth, and adjacent market expansion.

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