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CRUSCirrus Logic, Inc.Buy Wait6.8·$114.69+1.38%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The company has beaten consensus earnings estimates in all four reported quarters with an average upside surprise near 22%, backed by free cash flow conversion of 122% of net income, but shares sit just 6.6% below near-term resistance with a reward-to-risk ratio below 1.0 — meaning the potential downside outweighs the potential upside at today's price.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Customer Concentration RiskImproving
  • Free Cash Flow QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cirrus Logic, Inc. (CRUS) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $117.10 but recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (91.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten end customers (96.0%).

Cirrus Logic develops low-power, high-precision mixed-signal semiconductors — Audio products (amplifiers, codecs, DSPs) and HPMS products (camera controllers, haptics, battery ICs) — almost entirely for smartphones. Apple Inc. accounted for approximately 91% of the company's net... Read more

$114.69+23.9% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#6 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.95%
Entry $117.10(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $110.85Target $140.25(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.9:1
Analyst target$165.00+43.9%4 analysts
$140.25our TP
$114.69price
$165.00mean
$200

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $117.10 but recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (91.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten end customers (96.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cirrus Logic, Inc.

About Cirrus Logic, Inc.

Apple Inc. represented approximately 91% of Cirrus Logic's total net sales for the twelve months ended March 28, 2026, rising from 89% in fiscal 2025 and 87% in fiscal 2024, while the ten largest end customers collectively accounted for 96% of net sales. Cirrus Logic had 1,668 employees at March 28, 2026, with 71% engaged in research and product development. The company operates as a fabless semiconductor supplier with primary wafer fabrication from GlobalFoundries and TSMC.

Cirrus Logic earns revenue through direct and indirect sales of Audio products and HPMS products — both lines targeting smartphone applications, with design wins dependent on deep engineering relationships at the customer's product-team level. The company contracts wafer fabrication to third parties, primarily GlobalFoundries (under a Capacity Reservation and Wafer Supply Commitment Agreement through calendar year 2026, amended in February 2025 to define remaining quarterly wafer quantities) and TSMC; assembly and test is performed by Advanced Semiconductor Engineering, Amkor Technology, and STATS ChipPAC, among others. The 10-K discloses that the company does not typically manufacture the majority of individual products at more than one foundry, making transfer to a backup supplier costly and time-consuming. Named competitors include Analog Devices, QUALCOMM, Realtek Semiconductor, Skyworks Solutions, and Texas Instruments.

Show full overview

The 91% Apple concentration is the defining structural feature of Cirrus Logic's revenue base: Apple may stop incorporating Cirrus Logic products with limited notice and no significant penalty, minimum purchase volumes are not contractually required, and Apple retains in-house capability to develop competing semiconductor components. The 10-K also discloses that many products are architecturally specific to Apple's system design and frequently cannot be sold to other customers, concentrating customer and product-level risk simultaneously. The GlobalFoundries capacity agreement expires at end of calendar 2026, with post-2026 wafer supply terms subject to renegotiation.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From Cirrus Logic, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (91.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten end customers (96.0%)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.8
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA9.4
Profit Mgn21.0%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth12.9%
Beta1.16
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerApple Inc.91%
    10-K Item 1A: 'one end customer, Apple Inc., who purchased through multiple contract manufacturers and represented approximately 91 percent...of the Company's total net sales'
  • HIGHCustomertop ten end customers96%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our ten largest end customers represented approximately 96 percent, 96 percent and 95 percent of our net sales, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02LOW
    Effective March 25, 2026, CFO Jeff Woolard assumed the additional role of Principal Accounting Officer. Ulf Habermann ceased as PAO but continues in a senior finance role. No disagreement with the Company on any matter cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.1>=5.5A.R:R 3.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $106.26Resistance $125.99

Price Targets

$111
$117
$140
A.Upside+23.9%
A.R:R3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts12
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$165

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRUS stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $117.10 but recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (91.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten end customers (96.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $140.25 (+22.3%), stop $110.85 (−3.5%), A.R:R 3.9:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRUS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $140.25 (+23.9% upside). Target $140.25 (+22.3%), stop $110.85 (−3.5%), A.R:R 3.9:1. Stop-loss: $110.85.

What are the risks of investing in CRUS?

Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (91.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten end customers (96.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is CRUS overvalued or undervalued?

Cirrus Logic, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CRUS?

12 analysts cover CRUS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $165.

What does Cirrus Logic, Inc. do?Cirrus Logic develops low-power, high-precision mixed-signal semiconductors — Audio products (amplifiers, codecs, DSPs)...

Cirrus Logic develops low-power, high-precision mixed-signal semiconductors — Audio products (amplifiers, codecs, DSPs) and HPMS products (camera controllers, haptics, battery ICs) — almost entirely for smartphones. Apple Inc. accounted for approximately 91% of the company's net sales in fiscal year 2026; Cirrus Logic is headquartered in Austin, Texas and had 1,668 employees as of March 28, 2026.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · ALGM (Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.) · MCHP (Microchip Technology Incorporat) · ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.)
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