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Silicon Motion Technology Corpo (SIMO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $259.77 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and markets NAND flash controllers for solid-state storage devices and related devices in China, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, Korea, the United States, and internationally. It offers... Read more

$259.77+6.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#6 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.54%
IncomeYield0.83%(5y avg 2.59%)Payout39.62%sustainable
Stop $235.22Target $268.42(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$237.50-8.6%10 analysts
$268.42our TP
$259.77price
$237.50mean
$145
$320

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $259.77 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Silicon Motion Technology Corpo

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)47.4
P/E (Fwd)24.8
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA192.2
Profit Mgn16.0%
ROE20.3%
Rev Growth105.5%
Beta1.67
Dividend0.83%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C30.00bearish
IV88%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $138.90Resistance $273.90

Price Targets

$235
$268
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.3% upside)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SIMO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $259.77 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $235.22. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SIMO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $268.42 (+6.1% upside). Prior stop was $235.22. Stop-loss: $235.22.

What are the risks of investing in SIMO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Elevated risk factors.

Is SIMO overvalued or undervalued?

Silicon Motion Technology Corpo trades at a P/E of 47.4 (forward 24.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SIMO?

17 analysts cover SIMO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $238.

What does Silicon Motion Technology Corpo do?Silicon Motion Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and markets NAND flash...

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and markets NAND flash controllers for solid-state storage devices and related devices in China, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, Korea, the United States, and internationally. It offers controllers for computing-grade solid state drives (SSDs), which are used in PCs and other client devices; enterprise-grade SSDs used in enterprise and hyperscale data centers; eMMC and UFS mobile embedded storage for use in smartphones and IoT devices; flash memory cards and flash drives for use in expandable storage; and specialized SSDs that are used in industrial, commercial, and automotive applications. The company markets its controllers under the SMI brand; and single-chip SSDs under the FerriSSD, Ferri-eMMC, and Ferri-UFS brands. It markets and sells its products through direct sales personnel and independent electronics distributors to NAND flash makers, module makers, hyperscalers, and OEMs. Silicon Motion Technology Corporation was founded in 1995 and is based in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.

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