Silicon Motion Technology delivered 106% year-over-year revenue growth and has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average positive surprise of 31%, but the stock trades above the analyst consensus target with negative asymmetry and a free cash flow red flag that warrants caution before adding exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Revenue Growth Rate→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Delivery↓Deteriorating
- Free Cash Flow Quality Concern↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days
Silicon Motion Technology Corpo (SIMO) Stock Analysis
Technology · Semiconductors
Wait for pullback to $181.46. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $181.97. Engine's entry $181.46 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and markets NAND flash controllers for solid-state storage devices and related devices in China, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, Korea, the United States, and internationally. It offers... Read more
Wait for pullback to $181.46. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $181.97. Engine's entry $181.46 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated Oct 28, 2026Recent Developments — Silicon Motion Technology Corpo
Latest news
- NEWS SILICON MOTION TECHNOLOGY ($SIMO) Releases Q3 2026 Earnings, Stock Rises - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Silicon Motion: Q3 Earnings Snapshot - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Silicon Motion: Q3 Earnings Snapshot - KVUE — KVUE Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Silicon Motion: Q3 Earnings Snapshot - KTVB — KTVB Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS (SIMO) Silicon Motion Technology Corporation Expects Q4 Revenue Range $588.0M - $616.0M - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com Oct 28, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:01Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
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Quality Signals
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $181.46. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $181.97. Engine's entry $181.46 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $315.89 (+73.6%), stop $168.76 (−7.8%), A.R:R 4.9:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $315.89 (+73.6% upside). Target $315.89 (+73.6%), stop $168.76 (−7.8%), A.R:R 4.9:1. Stop-loss: $168.76.
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.
Silicon Motion Technology Corpo trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
19 analysts rate SIMO, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 11 analysts publish price targets averaging $363.
What does Silicon Motion Technology Corpo do?Silicon Motion Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and markets NAND flash...
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and markets NAND flash controllers for solid-state storage devices and related devices in China, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, Korea, the United States, and internationally. It offers controllers for computing-grade solid state drives (SSDs), which are used in PCs and other client devices; enterprise-grade SSDs used in enterprise and hyperscale data centers; eMMC and UFS mobile embedded storage for use in smartphones and IoT devices; flash memory cards and flash drives for use in expandable storage; and specialized SSDs that are used in industrial, commercial, and automotive applications. The company markets its controllers under the SMI brand; and single-chip SSDs under the FerriSSD, Ferri-eMMC, and Ferri-UFS brands. It markets and sells its products through direct sales personnel and independent electronics distributors to NAND flash makers, module makers, hyperscalers, and OEMs. Silicon Motion Technology Corporation was founded in 1995 and is based in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.