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Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $94.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Diodes Incorporated designs and manufactures analog and power semiconductor products for automotive, industrial, computing, consumer, and communications markets, with wafer fabs in China, UK, Taiwan, and the U.S. Annual net sales of $1.48B in 2025 are distributed primarily... Read more

$94.00+17.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#11 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.34%
Stop $88.29Target $110.08(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$129.50+37.8%2 analysts
$110.08our TP
$94.00price
$129.50mean
$139

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $94.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.5Qual4.8Grw9.0Mom2.8Sent7.2Ins3.3Peer4.7Tech7.5Risk4.25.8OVERALL

Recent Developments — Diodes Incorporated

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)51.3
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA20.8
Profit Mgn5.5%
ROE4.6%
Rev Growth22.1%
Beta1.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV68%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAsia
    10-K Item 1: 'Asia | | $ | 1,156,823 | | | $ | 1,020,256 ... Total net sales | | $ | 1,482,073'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-11Item 4.01HIGH
    Audit Committee dismissed Baker Tilly US, LLP as independent auditor effective March 5, 2026. No disagreements cited. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP engaged for fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $91.02Resistance $117.80

Price Targets

$88
$110
A.Upside+17.1%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DIOD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $94.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $110.08 (+17.1%), stop $88.29 (−6.5%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

What is the DIOD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $110.08 (+17.4% upside). Target $110.08 (+17.1%), stop $88.29 (−6.5%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $88.29.

What are the risks of investing in DIOD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is DIOD overvalued or undervalued?

Diodes Incorporated trades at a P/E of 51.3 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DIOD?

10 analysts cover DIOD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $130.

What does Diodes Incorporated do?Diodes Incorporated designs and manufactures analog and power semiconductor products for automotive, industrial,...

Diodes Incorporated designs and manufactures analog and power semiconductor products for automotive, industrial, computing, consumer, and communications markets, with wafer fabs in China, UK, Taiwan, and the U.S. Annual net sales of $1.48B in 2025 are distributed primarily through Asia (78%), with over 50,000 customers served globally via direct sales and distributors.

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