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Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $106.17 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia.

Diodes Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets analog and discrete power semiconductors for automotive, industrial, computing, consumer, and communications markets, with wafer fabs in China, the U.K., Taiwan, and the U.S. Net sales totaled $1.48 billion in 2025; Asia... Read more

$106.17-0.2% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#30 of 45 Semiconductors
Stop $98.62Target $105.84(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$92.67-12.7%3 analysts
$105.84our TP
$106.17price
$92.67mean
$80

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $106.17 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)70.6
P/E (Fwd)25.3
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA24.5
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE3.6%
Rev Growth15.4%
Beta1.58
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV80%elevated
Max Pain$35-67.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAsia
    10-K Item 1: 'Asia | | $ | 1,156,823 ... Total net sales | | $ | 1,482,073'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-11Item 4.01HIGH
    Diodes dismissed Baker Tilly as independent auditor effective March 5, 2026, with no disagreements; engaged PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as new auditor for fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
1.5
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $66.02Resistance $108.00

Price Targets

$99
$106
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-25.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DIOD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $106.17 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $98.62. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the DIOD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $105.84 (-0.2% upside). Prior stop was $98.62. Stop-loss: $98.62.

What are the risks of investing in DIOD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.8% away).

Is DIOD overvalued or undervalued?

Diodes Incorporated trades at a P/E of 70.6 (forward 25.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DIOD?

10 analysts cover DIOD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $93.

What does Diodes Incorporated do?Diodes Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets analog and discrete power semiconductors for automotive,...

Diodes Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets analog and discrete power semiconductors for automotive, industrial, computing, consumer, and communications markets, with wafer fabs in China, the U.K., Taiwan, and the U.S. Net sales totaled $1.48 billion in 2025; Asia accounted for $1.16 billion of net sales with the majority sold through distributors.

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