SkyWater Technology, Inc. (SKYT) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the SKYT stock price target?

Take-profit $33.71 (+10.5% upside). Prior stop was $28.37.

Q: What are the risks of investing in SKYT?

Target reached (-2.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0); Target reached (-2.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Q: Is SKYT overvalued or undervalued?

SkyWater Technology, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward -150.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about SKYT?

10 analysts cover SKYT with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $35.

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

$30.99+10.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#19 of 45 Semiconductors

Stop $28.37Target $33.71(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1

Analyst target$35.00+12.9%4 analysts

Range unavailable (4 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.99: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-2.5% upside)

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.5

P/E (Fwd)-150.1

Mkt Cap$1.5B

EV/EBITDA53.5

Profit Mgn26.9%

ROE95.9%

Rev Growth126.6%

Beta3.47

DividendNone

Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F1/9

Options Flow

P/C0.53bullish

IV87%elevated

Max Pain$27-12.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.715%0.85

Quality3.215%0.48

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum3.210%0.32

Sentiment5.110%0.51

Insider Activity3.310%0.33

Peer Rank6.710%0.67

Technical Setup5.75%0.29

Risk Profile4.15%0.20

Catalyst6.95%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)5.50

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa

0.0

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Piotroski F

1.1

Current Ratio

2.4

Moat

5.0

Roe

10.0

Net Margin

10.0

Excellent ROE: 96%Strong margins: 27%Earnings quality RED FLAG: -32% FCF/NINo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 1/9

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv

1.0

Macd

1.4

Volume

2.5

Rsi

5.0

Ma Position

6.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

60 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.57Resistance $34.40

Price Targets

$28

$34

A.Upside+8.8%

A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.5% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SKYT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.99: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $28.37. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SKYT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.71 (+10.5% upside). Prior stop was $28.37. Stop-loss: $28.37.

What are the risks of investing in SKYT?

Target reached (-2.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is SKYT overvalued or undervalued?

SkyWater Technology, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward -150.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SKYT?

10 analysts cover SKYT with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $35.

What does SkyWater Technology, Inc. do?SkyWater Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor manufacturing services in the United...

SkyWater Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor manufacturing services in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Legacy SkyWater and SkyWater Texas. The company offers foundry services; advanced technology services (ATS); wafer manufacturing services for analog, mixed-signal, MEMS, and specialty CMOS devices; and advanced semiconductor packaging. The company serves quantum computing, aerospace and defense, automotive, bio-health, and industrial sectors. SkyWater Technology, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Bloomington, Minnesota.