SkyWater Technology, Inc. (SKYT) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the SKYT stock price target?

Take-profit $35.65 (+4.9% upside). Prior stop was $31.61.

Q: What are the risks of investing in SKYT?

Target reached (-12.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0); Target reached (-12.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Q: Is SKYT overvalued or undervalued?

SkyWater Technology, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward -168.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about SKYT?

10 analysts cover SKYT with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $35.

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 1 days ago (May 19, 2026, 9:41 AM ET)

Technology · Semiconductors

$33.81+4.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#17 of 45 Semiconductors

QualityF-score1 / 9FCF yield2.13%

Stop $31.61Target $35.65(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1

Analyst target$35.00+3.5%4 analysts

Range unavailable (4 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.81: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — SkyWater Technology, Inc.

Latest news

IonQ Stock Consolidates After 15% Jump On Raised 2026 Guidance — benzinga May 12, 2026 positive
What's Going On With IonQ Stock Monday? — benzinga May 11, 2026 neutral
SkyWater Technology Shareholders Approve Proposed Merger With IonQ — benzinga May 8, 2026 positive
5 Overbought Tech Stocks to Sell for Profit — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 negative
12 Information Technology Stocks Moving In Monday's Pre-Market Session — benzinga Apr 27, 2026 neutral

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-12.5% upside)

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.7

P/E (Fwd)-168.6

Mkt Cap$1.7B

EV/EBITDA47.6

Profit Mgn21.0%

ROE95.8%

Rev Growth162.1%

Beta3.30

DividendNone

Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F1/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish

IV55%elevated

Max Pain$19-43.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value4.015%0.60

Quality3.515%0.53

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum3.610%0.36

Sentiment5.110%0.51

Insider Activity5.210%0.52

Peer Rank6.610%0.66

Technical Setup5.65%0.28

Risk Profile4.75%0.24

Catalyst6.45%0.32

Overall (Σ contributions)5.51

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa

0.0

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Piotroski F

1.1

Current Ratio

2.1

Fcf Quality

2.5

Moat

6.0

Roe

10.0

Net Margin

10.0

Excellent ROE: 96%Strong margins: 21%Earnings quality RED FLAG: 31% FCF/NIWeak Piotroski F-Score: 1/9

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Macd

3.0

Rsi

5.0

Ma Position

9.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

66 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $30.00Resistance $36.38

Price Targets

$32

$36

A.Upside+5.4%

A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.5% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SKYT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.81: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $31.61. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SKYT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.65 (+4.9% upside). Prior stop was $31.61. Stop-loss: $31.61.

What are the risks of investing in SKYT?

Target reached (-12.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is SKYT overvalued or undervalued?

SkyWater Technology, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward -168.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SKYT?

10 analysts cover SKYT with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $35.

What does SkyWater Technology, Inc. do?SkyWater Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor manufacturing services in the United...

SkyWater Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor manufacturing services in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Legacy SkyWater and SkyWater Texas. The company offers foundry services; advanced technology services (ATS); wafer manufacturing services for analog, mixed-signal, MEMS, and specialty CMOS devices; and advanced semiconductor packaging. The company serves quantum computing, aerospace and defense, automotive, bio-health, and industrial sectors. SkyWater Technology, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Bloomington, Minnesota.