Credo Technology Group Holding (CRDO) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Semiconductors
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $179.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top customer (67% of fiscal 2025 revenue) (67.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC.
Credo Technology designs high-speed connectivity solutions—including ICs, active electrical cables, and SerDes chiplets—for hyperscale data centers and AI/ML infrastructure using proprietary SerDes and DSP technologies. Revenue was $436.8 million in fiscal 2025; one customer... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $179.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top customer (67% of fiscal 2025 revenue) (67.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomertop customer (67% of fiscal 2025 revenue)67%10-K Item 1A: 'In fiscal 2025, we had one customer that accounted for 10% or more of our total revenue (such one customer accounting for 67% of total fiscal 2025 revenue)'
- HIGHSupplierTSMC10-K Item 1A: 'We currently outsource all of our IC manufacturing to TSMC, with the assembly and testing processes outsourced to other subcontractors primarily in Asia'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $179.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top customer (67% of fiscal 2025 revenue) (67.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $188.36 (+4.9%), stop $163.47 (−9.8%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $188.36 (+7.2% upside). Target $188.36 (+4.9%), stop $163.47 (−9.8%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $163.47.
Concentration risk — Customer: top customer (67% of fiscal 2025 revenue) (67.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC; Thin upside margin: 7.2%.
Credo Technology Group Holding trades at a P/E of 96.0 (forward 32.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Hold.
24 analysts cover CRDO with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $209.
What does Credo Technology Group Holding do?Credo Technology designs high-speed connectivity solutions—including ICs, active electrical cables, and SerDes...
Credo Technology designs high-speed connectivity solutions—including ICs, active electrical cables, and SerDes chiplets—for hyperscale data centers and AI/ML infrastructure using proprietary SerDes and DSP technologies. Revenue was $436.8 million in fiscal 2025; one customer accounted for 67% of that revenue, with the top-10 customers representing ~90%.