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ROPRoper Technologies, Inc.Sell6.1·$358.56
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Roper Technologies is a software-driven industrial holding company with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, 127% free-cash-flow-to-net-income conversion, and 21% analyst upside, currently in a technical downtrend from a death cross that may offer a patient accumulation window for investors in a proven compounder.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak Software→Stable
  • Superior Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
  • Sole Source Supplier Supply Chain↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Roper Technologies, Inc. (ROP) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $358.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Roper Technologies designs and develops vertical software and technology-enabled products across three segments: Application Software (57% of 2025 net revenues, $4.48 billion), Network Software (20%, $1.60 billion), and Technology Enabled Products (23%, $1.82 billion). The... Read more

$358.56+11.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#32 of 118 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.29%
IncomeYield0.99%(5y avg 0.61%)Payout14.46%sustainable
Stop $347.02Target $400.68(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$445.20+24.2%15 analysts
$400.68our TP
$358.56price
$445.20mean
$335
$550

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $358.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Roper Technologies, Inc.

About Roper Technologies, Inc.

Roper Technologies split $7.9 billion in 2025 net revenues across three segments — Application Software at 56.7% ($4.48 billion), Technology Enabled Products at 23.0% ($1.82 billion), and Network Software at 20.3% ($1.60 billion) — with no single customer accounting for 10% or more of any segment or total net revenues. The company employed approximately 19,400 people worldwide at December 31, 2025 and deployed roughly $8.96 billion toward acquisitions over the past three years, including CentralReach (ABA therapy SaaS) for about $1.85 billion in 2025 and Subsplash (faith-based SaaS) for about $800 million.

Roper earns recurring software subscription and maintenance revenue across niche end markets including law firms (Aderant, Deltek), healthcare (Clinisys, Data Innovations, Strata, MHA), K-12 education (Frontline), commercial freight matching (DAT), property and casualty insurance (Vertafore), and faith-based organizations (Subsplash). The Technology Enabled Products segment — covering medical devices (Verathon, CIVCO Medical Solutions), precision measurement (Northern Digital), and water metering (Neptune) — adds hardware revenue with recurring software components. Distribution occurs primarily through direct sales offices, manufacturers' representatives, resellers, and distributors. Roper faces no single competitor across a significant number of product lines, competing on product quality, applications expertise, and customer service in each niche. Total remaining performance obligations stood at $5.2 billion at December 31, 2025, up from $4.75 billion in 2024.

Show full overview

Roper's Technology Enabled Products segment carries sole-source component risk: the 10-K acknowledges that for certain products, transitioning to alternative suppliers would require significant time, redesign, and capital investment, or may not be feasible. A separate exposure sits in the SaaS portfolio — Application Software and Network Software rely on cloud platforms including Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud Platform, Microsoft Azure, and Oracle Cloud, and the filing notes that concentration with a limited number of providers increases exposure to outages and pricing changes. These dual dependencies are distinct: the hardware sole-source risk is product-specific, while the cloud-platform exposure cuts across the entire software business.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From Roper Technologies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.3
P/E (Fwd)15.0
Mkt Cap$36.0B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn30.2%
ROE13.1%
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta0.75
Dividend0.99%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.06bearish
IV38%normal
Max Pain$350-2.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersole source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'some of our products are provided by sole source suppliers and our SaaS offerings are increasingly reliant on a limited number of third-party cloud computing platforms'
  • MEDIUMSupplierAmazon Web Services, Google Cloud Platform, Microsoft Azure, Oracle Cloud
    10-K Item 1A: 'cloud platforms, such as Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud Platform, Microsoft Azure, and Oracle Cloud...concentration with a limited number of providers increases exposure'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved amendment to the 2021 Incentive Plan at May 19, 2026 annual meeting in Sarasota, Florida; amended plan authorizes 14.15 million new shares for equity compensation awards.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-01Item 1.01LOW
    On March 30, 2026, Roper entered a new five-year $3.50 billion unsecured revolving credit facility replacing the July 2022 facility; JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. is administrative agent; $1.00 billion accordion option included.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-01Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Termination of existing $3.50 billion unsecured credit facility dated July 21, 2022, upon entry into replacement credit facility on March 30, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.8
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 13, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
13 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $357.75Resistance $429.60

Price Targets

$347
$401
A.Upside+11.7%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $358.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $347.02. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $400.68 (+11.7% upside). Prior stop was $347.02. Stop-loss: $347.02.

What are the risks of investing in ROP?

Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is ROP overvalued or undervalued?

Roper Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.3 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROP?

26 analysts cover ROP with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $445.

What does Roper Technologies, Inc. do?Roper Technologies designs and develops vertical software and technology-enabled products across three segments:...

Roper Technologies designs and develops vertical software and technology-enabled products across three segments: Application Software (57% of 2025 net revenues, $4.48 billion), Network Software (20%, $1.60 billion), and Technology Enabled Products (23%, $1.82 billion). The company serves defensible niche markets including legal, healthcare, K-12 education, and construction, employing approximately 19,400 people worldwide.

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