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PLNTPlanet Fitness, Inc.Hold5.8·$46.95
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Planet Fitness is a high-quality fitness chain with a perfect 9-out-of-9 Piotroski F-Score and a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak trading at a PEG of 0.86, but is currently in a confirmed technical downtrend with its 200-day moving average declining at 8.8% per month and falling analyst estimates.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality And Margins Leadership→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Execution→Stable
  • Valuation Growth Discount↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Planet Fitness, Inc. (PLNT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Planet Fitness franchises and operates fitness clubs at $15 per month for new standard members, with 2,896 locations (2,604 franchisee-owned, 292 corporate-owned) across all 50 U.S. states, Puerto Rico, and five countries including Canada and Spain. The company generated $1.3... Read more

$46.95+25.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 14 Leisure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.38%
Stop $43.66Target $58.78(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$65.31+39.1%17 analysts
$58.78our TP
$46.95price
$65.31mean
$106

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Planet Fitness, Inc.

About Planet Fitness, Inc.

Planet Fitness ended 2025 with 2,896 fitness clubs — 2,604 franchisee-owned and 292 corporate-owned — in all 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Canada, Panama, Mexico, Australia, and Spain, serving 20.8 million members. The company recorded $1.3 billion in revenue and $5.3 billion in system-wide sales for 2025, with franchisee clubs contributing $4.7 billion of system-wide sales. PF Black Card penetration reached 66.5% of the member base as of December 31, 2025, at $24.99 per month for new members.

Planet Fitness generates the majority of revenue through franchise royalties at a 6.7% average rate in 2025, moving toward the current standard rate of 7% as approximately 63% of clubs had reached that rate by December 31, 2025. Corporate-owned clubs contributed $552.2 million in system-wide sales and a Segment Adjusted EBITDA margin of 37.8%; clubs open more than 12 months averaged $2.0 million in annual unit volumes and four-wall Adjusted EBITDA margins of approximately 42.7%. Franchisees are contractually obligated to purchase Planet Fitness-branded equipment from the company or required vendors and to replace it every five to nine years, creating a recurring equipment revenue stream. Over 90% of both corporate-owned club and franchise revenues consisted of recurring streams in 2025, including royalties, monthly dues, and annual fees. The National Advertising Fund, together with local advertising requirements, drove over $360 million in combined advertising spending in 2025 across 86 franchisee groups.

Show full overview

Planet Fitness membership starts at $15 per month for the Classic Card — significantly below the 2024 industry average of $69 per month — which may provide some pricing insulation when consumer discretionary spending contracts. However, the 10-K notes that a portion of the member base does not regularly use clubs and may be more likely to cancel in economic downturns, and that increased prevalence of weight-loss medications may reduce demand for fitness centers if consumers perceive them as a substitute for exercise. The company also carries lease obligations with initial terms typically of 10 to 12 years, concentrating fixed costs across a long horizon.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

From Planet Fitness, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15

Recent Developments — Planet Fitness, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-15T11:37:21Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.1
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA10.6
Profit Mgn18.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta1.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$30-36.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Planet Fitness appointed Harmit Singh as director effective March 16, 2026, expanding the Board from nine to ten members. Singh is EVP and CFO/Growth Officer of Levi Strauss & Co. No officer departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
2.8
Support Resistance
4.0
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
72 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.90Resistance $51.59

Price Targets

$44
$59
A.Upside+25.2%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PLNT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $58.78 (+25.2%), stop $43.66 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PLNT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.78 (+25.2% upside). Target $58.78 (+25.2%), stop $43.66 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $43.66.

What are the risks of investing in PLNT?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is PLNT overvalued or undervalued?

Planet Fitness, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PLNT?

25 analysts cover PLNT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $65.

What does Planet Fitness, Inc. do?Planet Fitness franchises and operates fitness clubs at $15 per month for new standard members, with 2,896 locations...

Planet Fitness franchises and operates fitness clubs at $15 per month for new standard members, with 2,896 locations (2,604 franchisee-owned, 292 corporate-owned) across all 50 U.S. states, Puerto Rico, and five countries including Canada and Spain. The company generated $1.3 billion in revenue and $5.3 billion in system-wide sales in 2025, earning income from franchise royalties at a 6.7% average rate and equipment sales to franchisees.

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