Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $93.42 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.
Paychex is an HCM company providing payroll, HR, benefits, and insurance solutions to approximately 800,000 clients in the U.S. and parts of Europe as of May 31, 2025. Over 50% of revenues come from solutions other than payroll processing. In April 2025, Paychex completed the... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $93.42 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $93.42 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Prior stop was $88.40. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $93.49 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $88.40. Stop-loss: $88.40.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Paychex, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover PAYX with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $101.
What does Paychex, Inc. do?Paychex is an HCM company providing payroll, HR, benefits, and insurance solutions to approximately 800,000 clients in...
Paychex is an HCM company providing payroll, HR, benefits, and insurance solutions to approximately 800,000 clients in the U.S. and parts of Europe as of May 31, 2025. Over 50% of revenues come from solutions other than payroll processing. In April 2025, Paychex completed the acquisition of Paycor HCM, funded by $4.2 billion in fixed-rate corporate debt, expanding capabilities upmarket.