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INTUIntuit Inc.Hold5.7·$280.59-0.42%
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Intuit Inc. (INTU) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $280.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Global Business Solutions (59.0%); Negative momentum.

Intuit runs a four-segment financial technology platform — Global Business Solutions (QuickBooks/Mailchimp, 59% of FY2025 revenue), Consumer (TurboTax, 26%), Credit Karma (12%), and ProTax (3%) — serving approximately 100 million customers worldwide. Revenue is primarily... Read more

$280.59+60.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#48 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.79%
IncomeYield1.70%(5y avg 0.63%)Payout28.31%sustainable
Stop $261.32Target $451.99(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 5.1:1
Analyst target$491.30+75.1%32 analysts
$451.99our TP
$280.59price
$491.30mean
$921

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $280.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Global Business Solutions (59.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Intuit Inc.

About Intuit Inc.

Intuit's Global Business Solutions segment — QuickBooks, Mailchimp, payroll, and payment processing — contributed 59% of total fiscal 2025 revenue, with the Consumer segment (TurboTax) at 26%, Credit Karma at 12%, and ProTax at 3%, serving approximately 100 million customers worldwide. International net revenue was approximately 8% of consolidated total in each of fiscal 2025, 2024, and 2023. The Consumer and ProTax segments follow a pronounced seasonal pattern, with revenue heavily concentrated from November through April.

Global Business Solutions earns subscription revenue from QuickBooks Online, QuickBooks Desktop, and Intuit Enterprise Suite for mid-market companies, plus transaction fees from merchant payment processing, bill pay, and small-business financing through an originating bank partner. The Consumer segment earns from TurboTax do-it-yourself and TurboTax Live products sold in the U.S. and Canada, distributed through direct digital channels, financial institutions, and retailers. Credit Karma monetizes through personalized financial product recommendations — credit cards, loans, insurance, and checking accounts — for which financial institutions pay for applications, supported by the Lightbox pre-approval platform. ProTax earns from Lacerte, ProSeries, and ProConnect Tax Online in the U.S. and ProFile and ProTax Online in Canada. A direct competitive risk in the Consumer segment comes from the IRS's free direct filing system, which has stated it will explore ways to expand eligibility and could materially reduce paid tax preparation demand if adoption rises.

Show full overview

The FTC issued an order in 2014 requiring Credit Karma to maintain a security program with biennial independent assessments for 20 years — meaning obligations run through at least 2034 — with potential fines and investigations for non-compliance. In May 2026, Intuit disclosed a restructuring plan via Form 8-K to reduce its full-time workforce by approximately 17% and estimated $300-340 million in related charges primarily in the fourth fiscal quarter ending July 31, 2026, framed as building a faster and leaner organizational structure.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From Intuit Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — Intuit Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K May 20, 2026 MEDIUM Item 2.05: Intuit announced May 20, 2026 a plan to reduce full-time workforce by approximately 17% and may close certain sites. Estimated $300-$340 million in charges primarily in Q4 FY2026 (ending July 31, 2026), primarily severance and employee benefits.

Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 202665d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Global Business Solutions (59.0%)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.2
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$77.1B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn21.9%
ROE22.5%
Rev Growth10.4%
Beta0.96
Dividend1.70%
Rating analysts41

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.43bearish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$1160+313.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductGlobal Business Solutions59%
    10-K Item 1: 'Global Business Solutions| 59 | %'
  • MEDIUMProductConsumer26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Consumer| 26 | %'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-20Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Intuit announced May 20, 2026 a plan to reduce full-time workforce by approximately 17% and may close certain sites. Estimated $300-$340 million in charges primarily in Q4 FY2026 (ending July 31, 2026), primarily severance and employee benefits.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP and GM Small Business Group Marianna Tessel stepping down effective May 31, 2026. Ashley Still (EVP, GM Mid-Market Group) will expand to lead both groups. Tessel to remain in advisory role until July 2, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)8K SERIOUS 2.05A.R:R 5.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $268.01Resistance $423.99

Price Targets

$261
$452
A.Upside+61.1%
A.R:R5.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! 8K_SERIOUS:2.05

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INTU stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $280.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Global Business Solutions (59.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $451.99 (+61.1%), stop $261.32 (−7.4%), A.R:R 5.1:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INTU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $451.99 (+60.9% upside). Target $451.99 (+61.1%), stop $261.32 (−7.4%), A.R:R 5.1:1. Stop-loss: $261.32.

What are the risks of investing in INTU?

Concentration risk — Product: Global Business Solutions (59.0%); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is INTU overvalued or undervalued?

Intuit Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about INTU?

41 analysts cover INTU with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $491.

What does Intuit Inc. do?Intuit runs a four-segment financial technology platform — Global Business Solutions (QuickBooks/Mailchimp, 59% of...

Intuit runs a four-segment financial technology platform — Global Business Solutions (QuickBooks/Mailchimp, 59% of FY2025 revenue), Consumer (TurboTax, 26%), Credit Karma (12%), and ProTax (3%) — serving approximately 100 million customers worldwide. Revenue is primarily subscription-based for QuickBooks and payroll, and seasonal for TurboTax; international revenue was approximately 8% of total in FY2025.

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