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Intuit Inc. (INTU) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-20). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $371.82. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $378.27. Engine's entry $371.82 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Intuit is a global financial technology platform serving approximately 100 million consumers, small and mid-market businesses, and accountants through TurboTax, Credit Karma, QuickBooks, Mailchimp, and Intuit Enterprise Suite. In fiscal 2025 (ended July 31, 2025), Global... Read more

$378.27+45.0% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#5 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.77%
IncomeYield1.16%(5y avg 0.61%)Payout29.15%sustainable
Entry $371.82(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $333.67Target $544.94(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 4.4:1Setup A.R:R 8.2:1
Analyst target$592.33+56.6%32 analysts
$544.94our TP
$378.27price
$592.33mean
$916

Wait for pullback to $371.82. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $378.27. Engine's entry $371.82 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/11 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on news soft restructuring and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Intuit Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.0
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$111.2B
EV/EBITDA18.7
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE23.5%
Rev Growth17.4%
Beta1.03
Dividend1.16%
Rating analysts41

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.95neutral
IV85%elevated
Max Pain$250-33.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02LOW
    Marianna Tessel stepping down as EVP/GM Small Business Group effective May 31, 2026. Ashley Still will expand role to lead both Mid-Market and Small Business Groups. Tessel will remain in advisory role until July 2, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesNEWS SOFT RESTRUCTURINGEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $366.30Resistance $423.99

Price Targets

$334
$372
$545
A.Upside+44.1%
A.R:R4.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)8.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! NEWS_SOFT:RESTRUCTURING
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-20 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INTU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $371.82. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $378.27. Engine's entry $371.82 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $544.94 (+44.1%), stop $333.67 (−13.4%), Setup A.R:R 8.2:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INTU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $544.94 (+45.0% upside). Target $544.94 (+44.1%), stop $333.67 (−13.4%), Setup A.R:R 8.2:1. Stop-loss: $333.67.

What are the risks of investing in INTU?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is INTU overvalued or undervalued?

Intuit Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.0 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about INTU?

41 analysts cover INTU with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $592.

What does Intuit Inc. do?Intuit is a global financial technology platform serving approximately 100 million consumers, small and mid-market...

Intuit is a global financial technology platform serving approximately 100 million consumers, small and mid-market businesses, and accountants through TurboTax, Credit Karma, QuickBooks, Mailchimp, and Intuit Enterprise Suite. In fiscal 2025 (ended July 31, 2025), Global Business Solutions contributed 59% of revenue, Consumer 26%, Credit Karma 12%, and ProTax 3%; international revenue was approximately 8% of total. Consumer and ProTax segments have a pronounced seasonal pattern concentrated in November–April.

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