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Intuit Inc. (INTU) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Wait for pullback to $364.24. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $382.93. Engine's entry $364.24 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Intuit is a global financial technology platform offering TurboTax (consumer tax), Credit Karma (personal finance), QuickBooks/Intuit Enterprise Suite (small/mid-market business), and Mailchimp (marketing) to approximately 100 million customers worldwide. Revenue is generated... Read more

$382.93+49.9% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#8 of 96 Software - Application
Entry $364.24(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $330.19Target $546.58(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 4.2:1Setup A.R:R 7.1:1
Analyst target$594.11+55.1%32 analysts
$546.58our TP
$382.93price
$594.11mean
$916

Wait for pullback to $364.24. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $382.93. Engine's entry $364.24 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 1.03, quality 7.8/10, growth 8.4/10). Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.7
P/E (Fwd)14.9
Mkt Cap$109.9B
EV/EBITDA18.5
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE23.5%
Rev Growth17.4%
Beta1.21
Dividend1.17%
Rating analysts41

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.08bearish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$530+38.4% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-27Item 5.02LOW
    Board approved amended Non-Employee Director Compensation Program effective January 22, 2026. Annual Meeting held: eleven directors elected, executive compensation approved, Ernst & Young LLP ratified as auditor for FY2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.9
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $342.11Resistance $435.24

Price Targets

$330
$364
$547
A.Upside+42.7%
A.R:R4.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)7.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.6%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INTU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $364.24. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $382.93. Engine's entry $364.24 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 1.03, quality 7.8/10, growth 8.4/10). Target $546.58 (+42.7%), stop $330.19 (−16.0%), Setup A.R:R 7.1:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INTU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $546.58 (+49.9% upside). Target $546.58 (+42.7%), stop $330.19 (−16.0%), Setup A.R:R 7.1:1. Stop-loss: $330.19.

What are the risks of investing in INTU?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is INTU overvalued or undervalued?

Intuit Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.7 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about INTU?

41 analysts cover INTU with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $594.

What does Intuit Inc. do?Intuit is a global financial technology platform offering TurboTax (consumer tax), Credit Karma (personal finance),...

Intuit is a global financial technology platform offering TurboTax (consumer tax), Credit Karma (personal finance), QuickBooks/Intuit Enterprise Suite (small/mid-market business), and Mailchimp (marketing) to approximately 100 million customers worldwide. Revenue is generated through software subscriptions, direct services, and financial products across four reportable segments.

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