Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Technology · Software - Application
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $244.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (64.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Autodesk provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software across AEC, manufacturing, and media/entertainment verticals globally, sold via ~1,170 resellers/distributors and direct channels. Revenue is primarily subscription-based; 64% is derived from international... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $244.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (64.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Autodesk, Inc.
Latest news
- Autodesk rises as Jefferies starts with Buy rating (ADSK:NASDAQ) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- Autodesk, Marqeta, and Commerce Stocks Trade Up, What You Need To Know - StockStory — StockStory positive
- Oak Thistle LLC Buys 6,057 Shares of Autodesk, Inc. $ADSK - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Why FICO, PTC Could Outperform Autodesk Stock - Trefis — Trefis positive
- Autodesk, Datadog and Zscaler are Macquarie's favorite software stocks ahead of earnings (ADSK:NASDAQ) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerTD Synnex14%10-K Item 1: 'Revenue through our largest distributor, TD Synnex Corporation and its global affiliates (collectively, "TD Synnex"), accounted for 14%...of our net revenue for the fiscal years ended January 31, 2026'
- HIGHGeographicinternational64%10-K Item 1A: 'International net revenue represented 64% of our net revenue for both fiscal 2026 and 2025'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-24Item 5.02LOWDirector Stephen Milligan informed the Board on April 20, 2026 he would not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Omar Abbosh nominated as replacement. No officer departure; no disagreement cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $244.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (64.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $299.30 (+22.6%), stop $227.54 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $299.30 (+22.6% upside). Target $299.30 (+22.6%), stop $227.54 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Stop-loss: $227.54.
Concentration risk — Geographic: international (64.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Autodesk, Inc. trades at a P/E of 46.5 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.
40 analysts cover ADSK with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $325.
What does Autodesk, Inc. do?Autodesk provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software across AEC, manufacturing, and media/entertainment...
Autodesk provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software across AEC, manufacturing, and media/entertainment verticals globally, sold via ~1,170 resellers/distributors and direct channels. Revenue is primarily subscription-based; 64% is derived from international markets and ~37% flows through indirect channel distributors including TD Synnex (14% of fiscal 2026 net revenue).