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PATKPatrick Industries, Inc.Sell5.6·$86.64-0.07%
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Patrick Industries, Inc. (PATK) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $86.64: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Patrick Industries is a leading component solutions provider for RV (45% of 2025 net sales), MH (17%), Marine (15%), Powersports (10%), and Industrial (13%) markets, operating ~191 manufacturing plants and 50 warehouses in 25 states. Revenue from Manufacturing (74%) and... Read more

$86.64+20.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#2 of 7 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.94%
IncomeYield2.17%(5y avg 1.87%)Payout44.73%sustainable
Stop $80.58Target $103.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$119.50+37.9%10 analysts
$103.97our TP
$86.64price
$119.50mean
$140

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $86.64: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Patrick Industries, Inc.

About Patrick Industries, Inc.

Patrick Industries delivered 2025 net sales across five end markets — RV at 45%, manufactured housing at 17%, marine at 15%, industrial at 13%, and powersports at 10% — through 191 manufacturing plants and 50 warehouse and distribution facilities in 25 states. The Manufacturing segment contributed 74% of consolidated net sales and Distribution 26%. Over three years, the company deployed approximately $560 million in acquisitions.

Patrick generates revenue by selling fabricated components and distribution products to OEMs and dealers across its two reportable segments. In the RV segment, Forest River and Thor together accounted for 28% of consolidated net sales in 2025; in manufactured housing, three OEMs — Clayton Homes, Champion Homes, and Cavco Industries — commanded roughly 86% of MH retail unit shipments. Raw materials — principally lauan, gypsum, particleboard, aluminum, fiberglass, and softwood and hardwood lumber — are sourced from commodity markets and international suppliers in China, Indonesia, Vietnam, Malaysia, Mexico, and Canada. Evolving U.S. tariff policy exposes input costs to change, and the company relies on price pass-throughs to customers but notes no assurance on full or timely recovery. Competition in each product line is primarily regional and local; the company estimates a substantial capital commitment would be required for any competitor to replicate its national scale.

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Patrick's RV business is structurally tied to consumer confidence, employment rates, financing availability, and fuel costs — factors the 10-K characterizes as cyclical and beyond company control that have adversely affected past results during recessions. The filing notes that 2025 dealer inventory levels remained below historical norms, with replenishment dependent on retail demand recovery. A prolonged consumer spending contraction could compress OEM production orders and reduce demand for the components that have historically made the RV segment Patrick's single largest revenue source.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

From Patrick Industries, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.3
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth-0.6%
Beta1.09
Dividend2.17%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV87%elevated
Max Pain$110+27.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
2.9
Quality Rank
5.7
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $82.35Resistance $95.99

Price Targets

$81
$104
A.Upside+20.0%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PATK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $86.64: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $80.58. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PATK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $103.97 (+20.0% upside). Prior stop was $80.58. Stop-loss: $80.58.

What are the risks of investing in PATK?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is PATK overvalued or undervalued?

Patrick Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.3 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PATK?

16 analysts cover PATK with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $120.

What does Patrick Industries, Inc. do?Patrick Industries is a leading component solutions provider for RV (45% of 2025 net sales), MH (17%), Marine (15%),...

Patrick Industries is a leading component solutions provider for RV (45% of 2025 net sales), MH (17%), Marine (15%), Powersports (10%), and Industrial (13%) markets, operating ~191 manufacturing plants and 50 warehouses in 25 states. Revenue from Manufacturing (74%) and Distribution (26%) segments; Forest River and Thor combined account for 28% of consolidated net sales.

Related stocks: LCII (LCI Industries) · DOO (BRP Inc.) · BC (Brunswick Corporation) · THO (Thor Industries, Inc.) · PII (Polaris Inc.)
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