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Patrick Industries, Inc. (PATK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $88.78 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Patrick Industries is a leading component solutions provider for RV (45% of 2025 net sales), MH (17%), Marine (15%), Powersports (10%), and Industrial (13%) markets, operating ~191 manufacturing plants and 50 warehouses in 25 states. Revenue from Manufacturing (74%) and... Read more

$88.78+17.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#2 of 7 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.85%
IncomeYield2.12%(5y avg 1.86%)Payout44.73%sustainable
Stop $82.57Target $103.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$119.50+34.6%10 analysts
$103.97our TP
$88.78price
$119.50mean
$140

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $88.78 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Val7.9Qual4.2Grw6.2Mom3.5Sent7.1Ins6.3Peer3.2Tech5.8Risk5.05.6OVERALL

Recent Developments — Patrick Industries, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.8
P/E (Fwd)14.9
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth-0.6%
Beta1.11
Dividend2.12%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV50%elevated
Max Pain$80-9.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
5.7

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $83.96Resistance $102.02

Price Targets

$83
$104
A.Upside+17.1%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PATK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $88.78 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Prior stop was $82.57. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the PATK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $103.97 (+17.1% upside). Prior stop was $82.57. Stop-loss: $82.57.

What are the risks of investing in PATK?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is PATK overvalued or undervalued?

Patrick Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PATK?

16 analysts cover PATK with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $120.

What does Patrick Industries, Inc. do?Patrick Industries is a leading component solutions provider for RV (45% of 2025 net sales), MH (17%), Marine (15%),...

Patrick Industries is a leading component solutions provider for RV (45% of 2025 net sales), MH (17%), Marine (15%), Powersports (10%), and Industrial (13%) markets, operating ~191 manufacturing plants and 50 warehouses in 25 states. Revenue from Manufacturing (74%) and Distribution (26%) segments; Forest River and Thor combined account for 28% of consolidated net sales.

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