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LCI Industries (LCII) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $107.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Berkshire Hathaway (Forest River and Clayton Homes) (18.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Thor Industries (15.0%).

LCI Industries (Lippert Components) supplies engineered components to RV, marine, transportation, and housing OEMs plus aftermarket channels through two segments: OEM (77% of 2025 net sales) and Aftermarket (23%). It generated $4.1B consolidated net sales in 2025, with RV OEM... Read more

$107.38+18.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#3 of 7 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.89%
IncomeYield4.28%(5y avg 3.60%)Payout56.37%sustainable
Stop $99.86Target $127.02(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$146.00+36.0%10 analysts
$127.02our TP
$107.38price
$146.00mean
$185

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $107.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Berkshire Hathaway (Forest River and Clayton Homes) (18.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Thor Industries (15.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.6Qual4.7Grw5.8Mom1.7Sent7.1Ins3.0Peer4.6Tech6.8Risk4.95.5OVERALL

Recent Developments — LCI Industries

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Berkshire Hathaway (Forest River and Clayton Homes) (18.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: Thor Industries (15.0%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.2
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA8.9
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth4.3%
Beta1.22
Dividend4.28%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$85-20.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerBerkshire Hathaway (Forest River and Clayton Homes)18%
    10-K Item 1: 'Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (through its subsidiaries Forest River, Inc. and Clayton Homes, Inc.)... accounted for 18 percent... of our consolidated net sales for the years ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHCustomerThor Industries15%
    10-K Item 1: 'Thor Industries, Inc. ("Thor"), a customer of both segments, accounted for 15 percent... of our consolidated net sales for the years ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHProducttravel trailer and fifth-wheel RVs
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 54 percent of our OEM Segment net sales in 2025 were from products to manufacturers of travel trailer and fifth-wheel RVs'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOW
    James F. Gero will not stand for re-election to the LCI Industries Board when his term expires at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Decision not due to any disagreement with the Company.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $102.14Resistance $121.92

Price Targets

$100
$127
A.Upside+18.3%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LCII stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $107.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Berkshire Hathaway (Forest River and Clayton Homes) (18.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Thor Industries (15.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $99.86. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the LCII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $127.02 (+18.3% upside). Prior stop was $99.86. Stop-loss: $99.86.

What are the risks of investing in LCII?

Concentration risk — Customer: Berkshire Hathaway (Forest River and Clayton Homes) (18.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Thor Industries (15.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Is LCII overvalued or undervalued?

LCI Industries trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LCII?

18 analysts cover LCII with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $146.

What does LCI Industries do?LCI Industries (Lippert Components) supplies engineered components to RV, marine, transportation, and housing OEMs plus...

LCI Industries (Lippert Components) supplies engineered components to RV, marine, transportation, and housing OEMs plus aftermarket channels through two segments: OEM (77% of 2025 net sales) and Aftermarket (23%). It generated $4.1B consolidated net sales in 2025, with RV OEM sales representing ~$1.9B.

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