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LCIILCI IndustriesBuy Wait6.1·$92.78+0.35%
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LCI Industries (LCII) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Wait for pullback to $91.28. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $92.78. Engine's entry $91.28 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: OEM Segment (77.0%); Negative momentum.

LCI Industries, through Lippert Components, supplies engineered components to the outdoor recreation, transportation, marine, and housing industries from over 100 manufacturing facilities in North America and Europe, generating $4.1 billion in consolidated net sales in 2025. The... Read more

$92.78+39.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 7 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.68%
IncomeYield4.98%(5y avg 3.64%)Payout56.37%sustainable
Entry $91.28(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $83.62Target $127.02(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.5:1Setup A.R:R 7.8:1
Analyst target$146.00+57.4%10 analysts
$127.02our TP
$92.78price
$146.00mean
$185

Wait for pullback to $91.28. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $92.78. Engine's entry $91.28 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: OEM Segment (77.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 14, MACD bearish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About LCI Industries

About LCI Industries

LCI Industries generated $4.1 billion in consolidated net sales in 2025, a 10% increase from $3.7 billion in 2024, operating over 100 manufacturing facilities across North America and Europe. The OEM Segment contributed 77% of net sales and 66% of consolidated operating profit, while the Aftermarket Segment contributed 23% of net sales and 34% of operating profit, with Aftermarket net sales totaling $932.4 million. Net income for 2025 was $188.3 million, or $7.57 per diluted share.

Through its Lippert Components subsidiary, LCI Industries supplies chassis, axles, suspension systems, windows, furniture, appliances, hitches, and slide-out mechanisms predominantly to RV OEMs in North America. Sales to RV OEMs totaled $1.9 billion in 2025, representing 61% of OEM Segment net sales, with Thor Industries, Berkshire Hathaway's Forest River, and Winnebago as named leading customers. Berkshire Hathaway (through Forest River and Clayton Homes) accounted for 18% of consolidated net sales; Thor Industries accounted for 15%; together these two customers represented 33%. The Aftermarket Segment's CURT Manufacturing subsidiary contributed roughly half of Aftermarket net sales, selling towing products and truck accessories through retail dealers, wholesale distributors, service centers, and online channels. Steel and aluminum represent approximately 30% and 10% of raw material costs respectively, and roughly 36% of raw materials and components were imported in 2025 — exposing the company to tariff risk that the 10-K flags as heightened by U.S. tariff policy actions ongoing into early 2026, including a new worldwide tariff effective February 24, 2026.

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The RV market's inherent cyclicality is the filing's most clearly documented risk: RV purchases are characterized as consumer discretionary, closely tied to credit availability, consumer confidence, and fuel prices. Travel trailer and fifth-wheel RVs — which accounted for approximately 54% of OEM Segment net sales in 2025 — depend on light truck and SUV towing, making that sub-segment doubly sensitive to fuel price shocks. Floor-plan dealer financing is a second transmission channel: contraction in wholesale lending shrinks dealer inventories, reduces OEM production, and correspondingly reduces demand for Lippert's components.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

From LCI Industries's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: OEM Segment (77.0%)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.3
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth4.3%
Beta1.18
Dividend4.98%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C14.49bearish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$165+77.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerBerkshire Hathaway18%
    10-K Item 1: 'Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (through its subsidiaries Forest River, Inc. and Clayton Homes, Inc.), a customer of both segments, accounted for 18 percent...of our consolidated net sales'
  • LOWCustomerThor Industries15%
    10-K Item 1: 'Thor Industries, Inc. ("Thor"), a customer of both segments, accounted for 15 percent...of our consolidated net sales for the years ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHProductOEM Segment77%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, the OEM Segment contributed 77 percent of our consolidated net sales and 66 percent of our consolidated operating profit.'
  • MEDIUMCommoditysteel
    10-K Item 1A: 'Steel and aluminum represented approximately 30 percent and 10 percent, respectively, of our raw material costs in 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.7
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 14, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 4.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
14 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $89.41Resistance $114.02

Price Targets

$84
$91
$127
A.Upside+36.9%
A.R:R4.5:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)7.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LCII stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $91.28. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $92.78. Engine's entry $91.28 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: OEM Segment (77.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 14, MACD bearish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $127.02 (+36.9%), stop $83.62 (−11.0%), Setup A.R:R 7.8:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LCII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $127.02 (+39.1% upside). Target $127.02 (+36.9%), stop $83.62 (−11.0%), Setup A.R:R 7.8:1. Stop-loss: $83.62.

What are the risks of investing in LCII?

Concentration risk — Product: OEM Segment (77.0%); Negative momentum.

Is LCII overvalued or undervalued?

LCI Industries trades at a P/E of 11.3 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LCII?

17 analysts cover LCII with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $146.

What does LCI Industries do?LCI Industries, through Lippert Components, supplies engineered components to the outdoor recreation, transportation,...

LCI Industries, through Lippert Components, supplies engineered components to the outdoor recreation, transportation, marine, and housing industries from over 100 manufacturing facilities in North America and Europe, generating $4.1 billion in consolidated net sales in 2025. The OEM segment (77% of net sales) serves RV, marine, transportation, and housing manufacturers; the Aftermarket segment (23%) sells replacement parts through dealers, distributors, and direct-to-consumer channels.

Related stocks: PATK (Patrick Industries, Inc.) · DOO (BRP Inc.) · BC (Brunswick Corporation) · HOG (Harley-Davidson, Inc.) · THO (Thor Industries, Inc.)
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