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LCI Industries (LCII) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $113.93. At $118.88 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $113.93 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: two customers (33% of net sales) (33.0%); Concentration risk — Product: travel trailer and fifth-wheel RVs (54.0%).

LCI Industries supplies engineered components for outdoor recreation (RVs), transportation, marine, and housing industries through OEM and Aftermarket segments across North America and Europe, generating $4.1 billion in 2025 net sales. RV OEM sales totaled $1.9 billion, with... Read more

$118.88+15.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 7 Recreational Vehicles
Entry $113.93(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $101.53Target $136.76(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1Setup A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$157.20+32.2%10 analysts
$136.76our TP
$118.88price
$157.20mean
$185

Wait for pullback to $113.93. At $118.88 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $113.93 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: two customers (33% of net sales) (33.0%); Concentration risk — Product: travel trailer and fifth-wheel RVs (54.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: two customers (33% of net sales) (33.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: travel trailer and fifth-wheel RVs (54.0%)
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.5
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE13.7%
Rev Growth16.1%
Beta1.36
Dividend3.91%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.30bearish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$200+68.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertwo customers (33% of net sales)33%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Two customers of both the OEM Segment and the Aftermarket Segment accounted for a combined 33 percent of our consolidated net sales in 2025.'
  • HIGHProducttravel trailer and fifth-wheel RVs54%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 54 percent of our OEM Segment net sales in 2025 were from products to manufacturers of travel trailer and fifth-wheel RVs.'
  • MEDIUMCommoditySteel30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Steel and aluminum represented approximately 30 percent and 10 percent, respectively, of our raw material costs in 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOW
    Director James F. Gero notified LCI Industries he will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Decision not due to disagreement with the Company.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.8
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $115.49Resistance $138.15

Price Targets

$102
$114
$137
A.Upside+15.0%
A.R:R1.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LCII stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $113.93. At $118.88 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $113.93 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: two customers (33% of net sales) (33.0%); Concentration risk — Product: travel trailer and fifth-wheel RVs (54.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $136.76 (+15.0%), stop $101.53 (−17.1%), Setup A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LCII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $136.76 (+15.3% upside). Target $136.76 (+15.0%), stop $101.53 (−17.1%), Setup A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $101.53.

What are the risks of investing in LCII?

Concentration risk — Customer: two customers (33% of net sales) (33.0%); Concentration risk — Product: travel trailer and fifth-wheel RVs (54.0%); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is LCII overvalued or undervalued?

LCI Industries trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LCII?

18 analysts cover LCII with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $157.

What does LCI Industries do?LCI Industries supplies engineered components for outdoor recreation (RVs), transportation, marine, and housing...

LCI Industries supplies engineered components for outdoor recreation (RVs), transportation, marine, and housing industries through OEM and Aftermarket segments across North America and Europe, generating $4.1 billion in 2025 net sales. RV OEM sales totaled $1.9 billion, with major customers including Thor Industries, Forest River, and Winnebago. It operates 100+ manufacturing facilities and also serves marine, bus, manufactured housing, and aftermarket channels.

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