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SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

BRP has delivered exceptional earnings performance over four consecutive quarters with an average beat exceeding 50% and strong 30% revenue growth, but high financial leverage, declining forward estimates, and a price that has reached the analyst target constrain the near-term setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Earnings Delivery→Stable
  • Revenue Growth Leadership→Stable
  • High Leverage Balance Sheet Risk↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BRP Inc. (DOO) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthShortHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. At $57.17, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

BRP Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells powersports vehicles and marine products in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and internationally. It operate4s through two segments, Powersports and Marine. The... Read more

$57.17+5.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#5 of 10 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield25.36%
IncomeYield1.30%(5y avg 0.86%)Payout60.39%
Stop $53.19Target $60.54(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$71.23+24.6%4 analysts
$60.54our TP
$57.17price
$71.23mean
$78

Sell if holding. At $57.17, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26

Recent Developments — BRP Inc.

Generated 2026-09-26T16:02:03Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 3, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.9%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)52.0
P/E (Fwd)14.8
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA6.6
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE27.2%
Rev Growth18.5%
Beta1.02
Dividend1.30%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$40-30.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.2
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
19 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $54.83Resistance $68.18

Price Targets

$53
$61
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-03 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $57.17, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $53.19. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the DOO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.54 (+5.9% upside). Prior stop was $53.19. Stop-loss: $53.19.

What are the risks of investing in DOO?

Thin upside margin: 5.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is DOO overvalued or undervalued?

BRP Inc. trades at a P/E of 52.0 (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOO?

22 analysts cover DOO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $71.

What does BRP Inc. do?BRP Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells powersports vehicles and marine...

BRP Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells powersports vehicles and marine products in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and internationally. It operate4s through two segments, Powersports and Marine. The Powersports segment offers year-round products, such as all-terrain vehicles, side-by-side vehicles, and three-wheeled and two vehicles; seasonal products, including snowmobiles, personal watercraft, and pontoons; and OEM engines, which includes parts, accessories and apparel (PA&A), engines for karts, recreational aircraft and jet boats, and other services. The Marine segment includes boats, pontoons, related PA&A, and other services. It offers its products under SKI-DOO, LYNX, CAN-AM, SEA-DOO, QUINTREX, ROTAX brands. The company was formerly known as J.A. Bombardier (J.A.B.) Inc. and changed its name to BRP Inc. in April 2013. BRP Inc. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Valcourt, Canada.

Related stocks: MBUU (Malibu Boats, Inc.) · MCFT (MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.) · PATK (Patrick Industries, Inc.) · BC (Brunswick Corporation) · LCII (LCI Industries)
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