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SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

BRP has delivered exceptional earnings performance over four consecutive quarters with an average beat exceeding 50% and strong 30% revenue growth, but high financial leverage, declining forward estimates, and a price that has reached the analyst target constrain the near-term setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Earnings Delivery→Stable
  • Revenue Growth Leadership→Stable
  • High Leverage Balance Sheet Risk→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BRP Inc. (DOO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthShortHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

BRP Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells powersports vehicles and marine products in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and internationally. It operate4s through two segments, Powersports and Marine. The... Read more

$67.21-10.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 10 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield21.57%
IncomeYield1.04%(5y avg 0.79%)Payout59.24%sustainable
Stop $63.13Analyst target $60.23(reached)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst consensus$70.86+5.4%4 analysts with price targets
$67.21price
$70.86mean
$62
$79

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 23, 2026

Recent Developments — BRP Inc.

Latest item Oct 23, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:07Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 3, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)59.5
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA7.4
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE27.2%
Rev Growth18.5%
Beta1.14
Dividend1.04%
Analysts with ratings22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$80+19.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.5
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 8.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
82 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $52.06Resistance $67.27

Price Targets

A.Upside-10.4%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-03 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Prior stop was $63.13. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

What is the DOO stock price target?

Analyst target $60.23 reached (−10.4% from $67.21); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $63.13. Stop-loss: $63.13.

What are the risks of investing in DOO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is DOO overvalued or undervalued?

BRP Inc. trades at a P/E of 59.5 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOO?

22 analysts rate DOO, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $71.

What does BRP Inc. do?BRP Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells powersports vehicles and marine...

BRP Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells powersports vehicles and marine products in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and internationally. It operate4s through two segments, Powersports and Marine. The Powersports segment offers year-round products, such as all-terrain vehicles, side-by-side vehicles, and three-wheeled and two vehicles; seasonal products, including snowmobiles, personal watercraft, and pontoons; and OEM engines, which includes parts, accessories and apparel (PA&A), engines for karts, recreational aircraft and jet boats, and other services. The Marine segment includes boats, pontoons, related PA&A, and other services. It offers its products under SKI-DOO, LYNX, CAN-AM, SEA-DOO, QUINTREX, ROTAX brands. The company was formerly known as J.A. Bombardier (J.A.B.) Inc. and changed its name to BRP Inc. in April 2013. BRP Inc. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Valcourt, Canada.

Related stocks: MBUU (Malibu Boats, Inc.) · MCFT (MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.) · BC (Brunswick Corporation) · PATK (Patrick Industries, Inc.) · LCII (LCI Industries)
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