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MCFTMasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.Sell6.1·$19.20
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

MasterCraft screens as unusually cheap on a growth-adjusted basis with a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak and a bullish technical breakout, though quality sitting right at the engine's floor and a stock price already at its analyst target limit further upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Cheap Growth Adjusted Valuation→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.20: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

MasterCraft Boat Holdings makes premium ski/wake boats under the MasterCraft brand and pontoon boats under Crest and Balise, selling through independent dealers in the U.S. and abroad. MasterCraft held the number one ski/wake share at 19.2% as of March 2025, and the top ten... Read more

$19.20+18.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 10 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-4.18%
Stop $18.42Target $22.79(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$26.20+36.5%5 analysts
$22.79our TP
$19.20price
$26.20mean
$28

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.20: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.

About MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.

MasterCraft held the number one share of the ski/wake category at 19.2% as of March 2025, while Crest ranked eleventh in aluminum pontoon boats with 3.0%. The company sells three brands (MasterCraft, Crest and Balise) through independent dealers, with the top ten dealers accounting for approximately 34% of fiscal 2025 net sales and international sales at 11.4%. About 700 employees work at plants in Vonore, Tennessee and Owosso, Michigan.

MasterCraft reports two segments. The MasterCraft segment sells premium inboard ski/wake boats with retail prices from approximately $110,000 to $500,000 across its ProStar, XStar, X, XT and NXT lines, and most MasterCraft dealers sell only its ski/wake products. The Pontoon segment covers Crest boats priced from about $40,000 to $300,000 and the Balise luxury line, launched in April 2024, at $230,000 to $350,000. Dealer agreements typically carry one-year terms, and incentives include wholesale and retail rebates and floor plan interest reimbursement. The most significant purchased components by cost are engine packages: Ilmor is the exclusive engine supplier for MasterCraft and was the largest overall supplier in fiscal 2025, while Mercury is the largest engine supplier for Crest and exclusive for Balise. The company holds more than 75 U.S. patents and spent $6.5 million on research and product development in fiscal 2025. Aviara brand rights and the Merritt Island plant were sold in October and December 2024.

Show full overview

The May 2026 merger reshapes the exposure. The company disclosed via Form 8-K that on May 15, 2026 it completed the acquisition of Marine Products Corporation, with each Marine Products share converted into 0.232 shares of MasterCraft common stock plus further consideration not shown in the excerpt. The 10-K itself stresses dealer health: independent dealers generate substantially all sales, floor plan lenders can require repurchases if a dealer defaults, and the Tommy's Boats bankruptcy during fiscal 2025 flooded markets with discounted inventory.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

From MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-13

Recent Developments — MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-13T11:32:15Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202621d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Ilmor exclusive engine supplier
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$467M
EV/EBITDA18.8
Profit Mgn-0.5%
ROE-0.6%
Rev Growth63.4%
Beta1.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV154%elevated
Max Pain$15-21.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierIlmor exclusive engine supplier
    10-K Item 1: 'For our MasterCraft brand, Ilmor Engineering, Inc. (“Ilmor”) is our exclusive engine supplier'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten dealers34%
    10-K Item 1: 'the Company’s top ten dealers accounted for approximately 34% of our net sales'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-15Item 2.01HIGH
    MasterCraft completed its merger with Marine Products Corporation on May 15, 2026 via two mergers; each Marine Products share converted into 0.232 MasterCraft shares plus additional consideration (text truncated). Marine Products now a wholly owned subsidiary.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.6
Roa
1.0
Operating Margin
1.2
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.7
Piotroski F
8.9
Cash-burning: FCF -6% of revenueNo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9Quality concerns
GatesMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.99Resistance $20.74

Price Targets

$18
$23
A.Upside+18.7%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MCFT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.20: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $18.42. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MCFT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.79 (+18.7% upside). Prior stop was $18.42. Stop-loss: $18.42.

What are the risks of investing in MCFT?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Ilmor exclusive engine supplier; Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is MCFT overvalued or undervalued?

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MCFT?

12 analysts cover MCFT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $26.

What does MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. do?MasterCraft Boat Holdings makes premium ski/wake boats under the MasterCraft brand and pontoon boats under Crest and...

MasterCraft Boat Holdings makes premium ski/wake boats under the MasterCraft brand and pontoon boats under Crest and Balise, selling through independent dealers in the U.S. and abroad. MasterCraft held the number one ski/wake share at 19.2% as of March 2025, and the top ten dealers accounted for about 34% of fiscal 2025 net sales. It builds boats in Vonore, Tennessee and Owosso, Michigan with about 700 employees.

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