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MCFTMasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.Sell5.5·$23.79-2.54%
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MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.79: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets recreational powerboats. It operates in two segments, MasterCraft and Pontoon. The MasterCraft segment produces premium recreational performance sport boats primarily used for water... Read more

$23.79+8.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#3 of 10 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.64%
Stop $22.12Target $25.72(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$27.00+13.5%5 analysts
$25.72our TP
$23.79price
$27.00mean
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.79: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-1.3% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.5
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$576M
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE5.9%
Rev Growth3.0%
Beta1.05
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV86%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
4.0
Quality Rank
5.5
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.83Resistance $26.25

Price Targets

$22
$26
A.Upside+8.1%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MCFT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.79: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $22.12. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MCFT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.72 (+8.1% upside). Prior stop was $22.12. Stop-loss: $22.12.

What are the risks of investing in MCFT?

Target reached (-1.3% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is MCFT overvalued or undervalued?

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.5 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MCFT?

13 analysts cover MCFT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $27.

What does MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. do?MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets recreational powerboats....

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets recreational powerboats. It operates in two segments, MasterCraft and Pontoon. The MasterCraft segment produces premium recreational performance sport boats primarily used for water skiing, wakeboarding, wake surfing, and general recreational boating. The Pontoon segment provides pontoon boats for use in general recreational boating. The company also offers ski/wake and outboard boats, as well as various accessories, including trailers and aftermarket parts. It sells its boats under the MasterCraft, Crest, and Balise brands through a network of independent dealers in the United States and internationally. The company was formerly known as MCBC Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. in November 2018. MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Vonore, Tennessee.

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