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WGOWinnebago Industries, Inc.Sell4.6·$31.16+0.32%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Winnebago's quality score has breached the engine's minimum floor amid declining revenue and a confirmed technical downtrend, and an unfavorable risk-reward setup reinforces the exit signal despite a statistically cheap valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Score Below FloorStable
  • Cyclical Revenue DeclineStable
  • Confirmed Technical DowntrendStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 4/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.16: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Winnebago Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells recreation outdoor lifestyle products primarily for use in leisure travel and outdoor recreation activities. It operates through three segments: Towable RV, Motorhome RV, and Marine. The company provides towable products that are... Read more

$31.16+9.1% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#8 of 10 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield18.64%
IncomeYield4.49%(5y avg 2.17%)Payout102.21%at-risk
Stop $28.98Target $34.01(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$39.09+25.5%11 analysts
$34.01our TP
$31.16price
$39.09mean
$73

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.16: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 109d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Winnebago Industries, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-06T06:00:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 2026109d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (4/5): Margin compression (op margin -535.8%), High leverage (D/E 1.7), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.50% of cap)…

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.9
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$881M
EV/EBITDA10.0
Profit Mgn1.4%
ROE3.1%
Rev Growth-9.9%
Beta1.12
Dividend4.49%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -9.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -10%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.6
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
2.7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.0
Quality Rank
3.0
Value Rank
5.2

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.7
Roe
1.0
Operating Margin
1.3
Roa
1.4
Moat
3.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.1
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 427% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 109d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $26.80Resistance $32.05

Price Targets

$29
$34
A.Upside+9.1%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (4/5): Margin compression (op margin -535.8%), High leverage (D/E 1.7), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.50% of cap)…
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (109d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WGO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.16: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $28.98. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WGO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.01 (+9.1% upside). Prior stop was $28.98. Stop-loss: $28.98.

What are the risks of investing in WGO?

Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (4/5): Margin compression (op margin -535.8%), High leverage (D/E 1.7), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.50% of cap)….

Is WGO overvalued or undervalued?

Winnebago Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.9 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WGO?

18 analysts cover WGO with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Winnebago Industries, Inc. do?Winnebago Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells recreation outdoor lifestyle products primarily for use in leisure...

Winnebago Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells recreation outdoor lifestyle products primarily for use in leisure travel and outdoor recreation activities. It operates through three segments: Towable RV, Motorhome RV, and Marine. The company provides towable products that are non-motorized vehicles to be towed by automobiles, pickup trucks, SUVs, or vans for use as temporary living quarters, such as conventional travel trailers, fifth wheels, folding camper trailers, truck campers, and park models under the Winnebago and Grand Design brand names. It also offers motorhome RV, a self-propelled mobile dwelling used primarily as temporary living quarters during vacation and camping trips, or to support active and mobile lifestyles under the Winnebago, Newmar, and Grand Design brand names. In addition, the company offers other specialty commercial vehicles for law enforcement command centers, mobile medical clinics, and mobile office spaces; commercial vehicles as bare shells to third-party up fitters, as well as manufactures and sells recreational boats under the Chris-Craft and Barletta brand names. Further, it is involved in the original equipment manufacturing of parts for other manufacturers and commercial vehicles. The company sells its products primarily through independent dealers in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Winnebago Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1958 and is based in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

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Benzinga7d agoAnalyst