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BCBrunswick CorporationSell5.4·$78.89
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Brunswick is cheaply valued (forward P/E 12.2x, PEG 0.72) with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak and 22.9% upside to the analyst target, but quality scores 2.6/10 with no competitive moat and sole-source supplier exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Business Quality↑Improving
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation Low Peg↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Brunswick Corporation (BC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $78.89: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole or limited source components.

Brunswick Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets recreational marine products across four segments—Propulsion, Engine P&A, Navico Group, and Boats—selling through over 20,000 active dealers globally. Propulsion generated $2.2 billion in net sales in 2025 while Boats... Read more

$78.890.0% Upside to targetScore 5.4/10#5 of 10 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.71%
IncomeYield2.23%(5y avg 2.04%)Payout200.00%at-risk
Stop $73.37Analyst target $78.92(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$87.69+11.2%16 analysts with price targets
$78.92Analyst target
$78.89price
$87.69mean
$67
$120

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $78.89: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole or limited source components. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Brunswick Corporation

About Brunswick Corporation

Brunswick Corporation's four marine segments generated net sales of $2.2 billion (Propulsion), $1.5 billion (Boats), $1.2 billion (Engine P&A), and $800 million (Navico Group) in 2025, with international sales of $1.7 billion representing 33% of net revenues. European revenues reached $762 million, followed by Asia-Pacific at $374 million and Rest-of-World at $317 million. The approximately 14,000 employees as of December 31, 2025 supported a product portfolio spanning outboard engines, marine electronics, boat club services, and parts distribution.

Brunswick earns revenue across a vertically integrated marine supply chain: the Propulsion segment sells outboard engines ranging from 2.5 to 600 horsepower to over 900 boat builders and more than 9,000 marine dealers, while the Boat segment procures substantially all of its engines from Propulsion, creating an internal captive-supply relationship. The Boat Group sells through more than 1,300 dealers, with White River Marine Group (a significant customer of Propulsion and Navico Group) and MarineMax (the Boat segment's largest external dealer) as the most concentrated customer relationships. Engine P&A distributes marine parts and accessories through same-day or next-day delivery networks in North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. Business Acceleration—including Freedom Boat Club, extended warranty, and Boateka pre-owned—accounted for 14% of Boat segment net sales in 2025, adding a services and subscriptions revenue line alongside the more cyclical OEM channel.

Show full overview

Brunswick's discretionary-spending exposure is acute: the 10-K notes consumers defer non-essential recreational purchases during economic downturns. Compound tariff pressure from China Section 301 tariffs, Section 232 steel and aluminum duties, and tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act may weigh on both input costs and international demand if trading partners respond with retaliatory measures on U.S.-origin goods. Some components—including certain engine parts, furniture, upholstery, and boat windshields—are available only from a sole or limited number of suppliers, exposing the company to supply disruption risk that could compound margin pressure.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

From Brunswick Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026

Recent Developments — Brunswick Corporation

Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-06T11:53:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 28, 202782d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole or limited source components
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.3
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA10.3
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE12.8%
Rev Growth6.9%
Beta1.40
Dividend2.23%
Analysts with ratings27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$45-43.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersole or limited source components
    10-K Item 1A: 'some components...are available from a sole supplier or a limited number of suppliers'
  • MEDIUMCustomerWhite River Marine Group
    10-K Item 1A: 'we have important relationships with key customers, including White River Marine Group, LLC for the Propulsion and Navico Group segments'
  • MEDIUMCustomerMarineMax
    10-K Item 1: 'The Boat Group's largest dealer, MarineMax, Inc., is a significant external customer'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.1
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
7.8
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
76 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $61.20Resistance $82.46

Price Targets

$73
$79
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.0% upside)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-28 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $78.89: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole or limited source components. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Prior stop was $73.37. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the BC stock price target?

Analyst target: $78.92. Prior stop was $73.37. Stop-loss: $73.37.

What are the risks of investing in BC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: sole or limited source components; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).

Is BC overvalued or undervalued?

Brunswick Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.3 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BC?

27 analysts rate BC, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 16 analysts publish price targets averaging $88.

What does Brunswick Corporation do?Brunswick Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets recreational marine products across four segments—Propulsion,...

Brunswick Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets recreational marine products across four segments—Propulsion, Engine P&A, Navico Group, and Boats—selling through over 20,000 active dealers globally. Propulsion generated $2.2 billion in net sales in 2025 while Boats contributed $1.5 billion; Freedom Boat Club operates approximately 440 locations with over 60,000 memberships.

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