NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenue (outside United States) (55.0%).
NCR Atleos provides ATM and ITM self-directed banking solutions globally to financial institutions, retailers, and consumers, including its Allpoint surcharge-free network (~78,000 terminal locations). Revenue comes from contracted software, services, hardware, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenue (outside United States) (55.0%). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicinternational revenue (outside United States)55%10-K Item 1A: 'For the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, the percentage of our revenue from outside of the United States was 55%'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenue (outside United States) (55.0%). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $42.69. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $45.36 (+2.5% upside). Prior stop was $42.69. Stop-loss: $42.69.
Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenue (outside United States) (55.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.4): -1.5.
NCR Atleos Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover NATL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $50.
What does NCR Atleos Corporation do?NCR Atleos provides ATM and ITM self-directed banking solutions globally to financial institutions, retailers, and...
NCR Atleos provides ATM and ITM self-directed banking solutions globally to financial institutions, retailers, and consumers, including its Allpoint surcharge-free network (~78,000 terminal locations). Revenue comes from contracted software, services, hardware, and ATM-as-a-Service offerings. Separated from NCR Corporation as an independent public company in October 2023.