Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $122.92 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Vail Resorts operates 42 mountain resorts and ski areas across the U.S., Canada, Australia, and Switzerland through Mountain (89% of net revenue) and Lodging (11%) segments. Revenue comes from lift tickets, ski and snowboard lessons, dining, retail/rental, and lodging; pass... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $122.92 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Vail Resorts, Inc.
Latest news
- Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Spotlight On 3 Consumer Stocks With Over 6% Dividend Yields — benzinga Apr 24, 2026 neutral
- Truist Securities Maintains Buy on Vail Resorts, Lowers Price Target to $212 — benzinga Apr 23, 2026 neutral
- UBS Maintains Neutral on Vail Resorts, Lowers Price Target to $139 — benzinga Apr 17, 2026 negative
- Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Spotlight On 3 Consumer Stocks Delivering High-Dividend Yields — benzinga Apr 10, 2026 positive
- The Masters Is Here, Could Golf Stocks Be A Portfolio Hole-In-One? — benzinga Apr 7, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -4.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $122.92 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $115.26. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $135.21 (+10.0% upside). Prior stop was $115.26. Stop-loss: $115.26.
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Vail Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover MTN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $155.
What does Vail Resorts, Inc. do?Vail Resorts operates 42 mountain resorts and ski areas across the U.S., Canada, Australia, and Switzerland through...
Vail Resorts operates 42 mountain resorts and ski areas across the U.S., Canada, Australia, and Switzerland through Mountain (89% of net revenue) and Lodging (11%) segments. Revenue comes from lift tickets, ski and snowboard lessons, dining, retail/rental, and lodging; pass products generated 65% of lift revenue in Fiscal 2025 with ~15.4M North American skier visits.