MGM Resorts International (MGM) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.07 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away).
MGM Resorts operates 16 domestic casino properties and two Macau casinos (via ~56% MGM China) across four segments: Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, MGM China, and MGM Digital. Revenue is primarily gaming plus hotel and entertainment; most domestic real estate is... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.07 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicLas Vegas Strip10-K Item 1A: 'Because a significant number of our major gaming resorts are concentrated on the Las Vegas Strip, we are subject to greater risks than a gaming company that is more geographically diversified'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.07 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $36.65. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $40.12 (+2.2% upside). Prior stop was $36.65. Stop-loss: $36.65.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 9.6): -1.5.
MGM Resorts International trades at a P/E of 51.7 (forward 17.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
31 analysts cover MGM with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $43.
What does MGM Resorts International do?MGM Resorts operates 16 domestic casino properties and two Macau casinos (via ~56% MGM China) across four segments: Las...
MGM Resorts operates 16 domestic casino properties and two Macau casinos (via ~56% MGM China) across four segments: Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, MGM China, and MGM Digital. Revenue is primarily gaming plus hotel and entertainment; most domestic real estate is leased under triple-net leases with 1.8B annual rent obligation.