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MDTMedtronic plc.Hold6.0·$81.49+1.38%
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Medtronic plc. (MDT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers; Concentration risk — Supplier: key products with limited alternate sterilization facilities.

Medtronic plc develops and sells device-based medical therapies across four segments — Cardiovascular Portfolio, Neuroscience Portfolio, Medical Surgical Portfolio, and Diabetes Operating Unit — serving healthcare providers in more than 150 countries from its Galway, Ireland... Read more

$81.49+8.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#8 of 40 Medical Devices
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.58%(5y avg 3.00%)Payout76.14%
Stop $77.48Target $88.20(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$98.00+20.3%26 analysts
$88.20our TP
$81.49price
$98.00mean
$121

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers; Concentration risk — Supplier: key products with limited alternate sterilization facilities. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Medtronic plc.

About Medtronic plc.

Medtronic plc develops and commercializes device-based medical therapies across four segments — Cardiovascular Portfolio, Neuroscience Portfolio, Medical Surgical Portfolio, and Diabetes Operating Unit — serving healthcare providers in more than 150 countries. Products span cardiac pacemakers (Micra VR, Azure), transcatheter aortic valves (Evolut PRO+, Evolut FX+), spinal navigation and robotics (Mazor systems, StealthStation S8), and the MiniMed 780G insulin pump system; 95,000+ full-time employees as of fiscal year 2025 support global operations, with 44% based in the U.S. or Puerto Rico.

Medtronic sells devices through hospitals, health systems, and physician practices, with revenue driven by capital equipment (surgical navigation systems, Mazor robotic guidance, Hugo robotic-assisted surgery), single-use consumables (pacemaker leads, ablation catheters, stapling reloads), and remote monitoring services. The Cardiovascular Portfolio covers cardiac rhythm management, structural heart (CoreValve Evolut family for TAVR, Harmony transcatheter pulmonary valves), and coronary and peripheral vascular devices. The Neuroscience Portfolio encompasses spinal robotics, neuromodulation (Intellis, Vanta, Inceptiv spinal cord stimulation; Percept family for Parkinson's disease and essential tremor), and neurovascular stroke treatment. Manufacturing depends on numerous global facilities and, for certain components, sole-source suppliers. Competition from pharmaceutical GLP-1 therapies poses a discrete threat to device utilization in metabolic indications. The Diabetes Operating Unit's MiniMed 780G and Guardian Connect CGM are subject to a planned spin-off announced in May 2025, targeted to complete within 18 months of that announcement.

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Medtronic's 10-K explicitly discloses that certain components, raw materials, and services required for product manufacturing are obtained from sole suppliers, and that FDA and non-U.S. regulatory requirements limit how quickly alternate supply sources can be approved. Additionally, several key products are manufactured or sterilized at specific facilities with constrained capacity and limited alternate sterilization options — a single-site closure may result in an inability to manufacture or sterilize those products at all. EU MDR implementation deadlines — extended to end-2027 for high-risk devices and end-2028 for medium- and low-risk devices — add a concurrent compliance burden that may require significant expenditure across the product portfolio.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From Medtronic plc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 18, 202663d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers
Concentration risk — Supplier: key products with limited alternate sterilization facilities
Thin upside margin: 8.5%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.5
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$103.2B
EV/EBITDA12.2
Profit Mgn13.2%
ROE9.9%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta0.60
Dividend3.58%
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.62bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$140+71.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersole suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'certain components, raw materials and services needed to manufacture our products are obtained from sole suppliers'
  • HIGHSupplierkey products with limited alternate sterilization facilities
    10-K Item 1A: 'several of our key products are manufactured or sterilized at a particular facility, with constrained capacity and limited options for alternate sterilization facilities'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.6
Bollinger
2.5
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.5
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $73.31Resistance $82.83

Price Targets

$77
$88
A.Upside+8.2%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-18 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MDT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers; Concentration risk — Supplier: key products with limited alternate sterilization facilities. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $88.20 (+8.2%), stop $77.48 (−5.2%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MDT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.20 (+8.5% upside). Target $88.20 (+8.2%), stop $77.48 (−5.2%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $77.48.

What are the risks of investing in MDT?

Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers; Concentration risk — Supplier: key products with limited alternate sterilization facilities; Thin upside margin: 8.5%.

Is MDT overvalued or undervalued?

Medtronic plc. trades at a P/E of 21.5 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MDT?

37 analysts cover MDT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $98.

What does Medtronic plc. do?Medtronic plc develops and sells device-based medical therapies across four segments — Cardiovascular Portfolio,...

Medtronic plc develops and sells device-based medical therapies across four segments — Cardiovascular Portfolio, Neuroscience Portfolio, Medical Surgical Portfolio, and Diabetes Operating Unit — serving healthcare providers in more than 150 countries from its Galway, Ireland headquarters. Revenue comes from device sales and services to hospitals, clinicians, and health systems globally, with 95,000+ full-time employees, 44% based in the U.S. or Puerto Rico. The company announced plans in May 2025 to separate its Diabetes business into a standalone public company.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · BSX (Boston Scientific Corporation) · DXCM (DexCom, Inc.) · SNN (Smith & Nephew SNATS, Inc.) · ZBH (Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.)
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