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Medtronic plc. (MDT) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Medtronic is a global medical device company with four segments—Cardiovascular, Neuroscience, Medical Surgical, and Diabetes—selling device-based therapies and services to healthcare systems in over 150 countries. Revenue is earned from device and consumable sales to hospitals... Read more

$77.75+25.0% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#16 of 40 Medical Devices
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.04%
IncomeYield3.61%(5y avg 2.97%)Payout79.05%
Stop $74.45Target $97.20(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.0:1
Analyst target$108.00+38.9%25 analysts
$97.20our TP
$77.75price
$108.00mean
$121

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Medtronic plc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.9
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$100.9B
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn13.0%
ROE9.4%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta0.63
Dividend3.61%
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.55bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$97+24.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.7
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 5.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $74.40Resistance $84.25

Price Targets

$74
$97
A.Upside+25.0%
A.R:R5.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-03 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MDT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $97.20 (+25.0%), stop $74.45 (−4.4%), A.R:R 5.0:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MDT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $97.20 (+25.0% upside). Target $97.20 (+25.0%), stop $74.45 (−4.4%), A.R:R 5.0:1. Stop-loss: $74.45.

What are the risks of investing in MDT?

Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is MDT overvalued or undervalued?

Medtronic plc. trades at a P/E of 21.9 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MDT?

37 analysts cover MDT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $108.

What does Medtronic plc. do?Medtronic is a global medical device company with four segments—Cardiovascular, Neuroscience, Medical Surgical, and...

Medtronic is a global medical device company with four segments—Cardiovascular, Neuroscience, Medical Surgical, and Diabetes—selling device-based therapies and services to healthcare systems in over 150 countries. Revenue is earned from device and consumable sales to hospitals and physicians; the company has 95,000+ employees and has announced plans to separate its Diabetes business into an independent public company.

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