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ZBHZimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.Hold6.0·$90.07
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Zimmer Biomet has achieved a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak and a maximum Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, yet trades at a death-cross technical setup with almost no gap to its analyst price target, making the risk-reward unattractive at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Maximum Piotroski Quality Score→Stable
  • Analyst Target Exhausted↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. (ZBH) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $90.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source materials and components; Thin upside margin: 7.5%.

Zimmer Biomet designs, manufactures and markets orthopedic implants (knees, hips), sports medicine/biologics/trauma products, craniomaxillofacial devices, and digital/robotic technologies across Americas, EMEA and Asia Pacific segments. Approximately 85% of 2025 net sales were... Read more

$90.07+7.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#11 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.27%
IncomeYield1.06%(5y avg 0.85%)Payout23.30%sustainable
Stop $86.35Target $96.81(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$107.57+19.4%21 analysts
$96.81our TP
$90.07price
$107.57mean
$130

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $90.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source materials and components; Thin upside margin: 7.5%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source materials and components
Thin upside margin: 7.5%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.8
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$17.1B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn9.5%
ROE6.4%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta0.47
Dividend1.06%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV39%normal
Max Pain$70-22.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source materials and components
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of these materials and components and outsourced activities can only be obtained from a single source or a limited number of sources due to quality considerations'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Suketu Upadhyay resigned effective April 28, 2026 to pursue a new professional opportunity; no disagreement with the company cited. Paul Stellato (VP, Controller and CAO) appointed interim CFO; permanent search underway.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $89.02Resistance $102.86

Price Targets

$86
$97
A.Upside+7.5%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZBH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $90.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source materials and components; Thin upside margin: 7.5%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $96.81 (+7.5%), stop $86.35 (−4.3%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZBH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $96.81 (+7.5% upside). Target $96.81 (+7.5%), stop $86.35 (−4.3%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $86.35.

What are the risks of investing in ZBH?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source materials and components; Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Negative momentum.

Is ZBH overvalued or undervalued?

Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.8 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ZBH?

33 analysts cover ZBH with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $108.

What does Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. do?Zimmer Biomet designs, manufactures and markets orthopedic implants (knees, hips), sports medicine/biologics/trauma...

Zimmer Biomet designs, manufactures and markets orthopedic implants (knees, hips), sports medicine/biologics/trauma products, craniomaxillofacial devices, and digital/robotic technologies across Americas, EMEA and Asia Pacific segments. Approximately 85% of 2025 net sales were consignment-based; no single customer exceeded 2% of net sales. The company employed approximately 17,000 people worldwide as of December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · LIVN (LivaNova PLC) · MDT (Medtronic plc.) · PODD (Insulet Corporation) · DXCM (DexCom, Inc.)
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