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ZBHZimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.Hold6.3·$91.77
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Zimmer Biomet has achieved a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak and a maximum Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, yet trades at a death-cross technical setup with almost no gap to its analyst price target, making the risk-reward unattractive at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Maximum Piotroski Quality Score→Stable
  • Analyst Target Exhausted↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. (ZBH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source materials and components; Thin upside margin: 4.8%.

Zimmer Biomet designs, manufactures and markets orthopedic implants (knees, hips), sports medicine/biologics/trauma products, craniomaxillofacial devices, and digital/robotic technologies across Americas, EMEA and Asia Pacific segments. Approximately 85% of 2025 net sales were... Read more

$91.77+4.8% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#9 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.13%
IncomeYield1.04%(5y avg 0.86%)Payout23.30%sustainable
Stop $87.47Target $96.14(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$106.82+16.4%22 analysts
$96.14our TP
$91.77price
$106.82mean
$130

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source materials and components; Thin upside margin: 4.8%. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source materials and components
Thin upside margin: 4.8%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.3
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$17.5B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn9.5%
ROE6.4%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta0.48
Dividend1.04%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$70-23.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source materials and components
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of these materials and components and outsourced activities can only be obtained from a single source or a limited number of sources due to quality considerations'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Suketu Upadhyay resigned effective April 28, 2026 to pursue a new professional opportunity; no disagreement with the company cited. Paul Stellato (VP, Controller and CAO) appointed interim CFO; permanent search underway.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $87.11Resistance $96.93

Price Targets

$87
$96
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZBH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source materials and components; Thin upside margin: 4.8%. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $96.14 (+4.8%), stop $87.47 (−4.9%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZBH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $96.14 (+4.8% upside). Target $96.14 (+4.8%), stop $87.47 (−4.9%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $87.47.

What are the risks of investing in ZBH?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source materials and components; Thin upside margin: 4.8%.

Is ZBH overvalued or undervalued?

Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.3 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ZBH?

33 analysts cover ZBH with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $107.

What does Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. do?Zimmer Biomet designs, manufactures and markets orthopedic implants (knees, hips), sports medicine/biologics/trauma...

Zimmer Biomet designs, manufactures and markets orthopedic implants (knees, hips), sports medicine/biologics/trauma products, craniomaxillofacial devices, and digital/robotic technologies across Americas, EMEA and Asia Pacific segments. Approximately 85% of 2025 net sales were consignment-based; no single customer exceeded 2% of net sales. The company employed approximately 17,000 people worldwide as of December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · LIVN (LivaNova PLC) · PODD (Insulet Corporation) · DXCM (DexCom, Inc.) · MDT (Medtronic plc.)
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