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PHGKoninklijke Philips N.V. NY RegHold5.9·$25.49
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Philips has delivered four consecutive earnings beats with an average surprise of 39.4% and free cash flow at 157% of net income, but trades below its 200-day moving average with declining revenues of -5% and a below-average quality score of 4.7.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Strength↓Deteriorating
  • Revenue Decline Quality Gap→Stable
  • Free Cashflow Conversion→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Koninklijke Philips N.V. NY Reg (PHG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Koninklijke Philips N.V. operates as a health technology company in North America, the Greater China, and internationally. It operates through Diagnosis & Treatment, Connected Care, and Personal Health segments. The company provides diagnostic imaging solutions, includes... Read more

$25.49+9.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#18 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.13%
IncomeYield3.97%(5y avg 2.76%)Payout75.51%
Stop $24.59Target $27.86(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$32.02+25.6%5 analysts
$27.86our TP
$25.49price
$32.02mean
$41

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-16

Recent Developments — Koninklijke Philips N.V. NY Reg

Generated 2026-10-16T11:37:14Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202618d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.3%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.9
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$24.9B
EV/EBITDA12.7
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth0.5%
Beta0.92
Dividend3.97%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.09bearish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$19-25.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.7
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $23.62Resistance $25.60

Price Targets

$25
$28
A.Upside+9.3%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PHG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $27.86 (+9.3%), stop $24.59 (−3.7%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PHG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.86 (+9.3% upside). Target $27.86 (+9.3%), stop $24.59 (−3.7%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $24.59.

What are the risks of investing in PHG?

Thin upside margin: 9.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Below 200-day MA.

Is PHG overvalued or undervalued?

Koninklijke Philips N.V. NY Reg trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PHG?

29 analysts cover PHG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Koninklijke Philips N.V. NY Reg do?Koninklijke Philips N.V. operates as a health technology company in North America, the Greater China, and...

Koninklijke Philips N.V. operates as a health technology company in North America, the Greater China, and internationally. It operates through Diagnosis & Treatment, Connected Care, and Personal Health segments. The company provides diagnostic imaging solutions, includes ultrasound business unit, magnetic resonance imaging, computed tomography, and diagnostic x-ray; Image Guided Therapy, including image guided therapy systems and image guided therapy devices. It also offers monitoring, enterprise informatics, and sleep and respiratory care, as well as personal health. Koninklijke Philips N.V. has strategic alliance with WellSpan Health to advanced imaging and diagnostics technology products and platforms. The company was formerly known as Koninklijke Philips Electronics N.V. and changed its name to Koninklijke Philips N.V. in May 2013. Koninklijke Philips N.V. was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

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