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Thor Industries, Inc. (THO) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.28: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.30; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Our Company was founded in 1980 and has grown to become the largest manufacturer of recreational vehicles ("RVs") in the world. We are also the largest manufacturer of RVs in North America, and one of the largest manufacturers of RVs in Europe. The Company manufactures a wide... Read more

$72.28+27.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#4 of 7 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.21%
IncomeYield2.82%(5y avg 1.94%)Payout36.23%sustainable
Stop $68.44Target $91.78(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$105.50+46.0%12 analysts
$91.78our TP
$72.28price
$105.50mean
$134

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.28: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.30; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Thor Industries, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.1
P/E (Fwd)13.1
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA7.4
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE7.2%
Rev Growth5.3%
Beta1.34
Dividend2.82%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.30bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$165+128.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.3
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.3
Net Margin
1.5
Roa
2.1
Roe
2.4
Fcf Quality
3.3
Moat
5.8
Current Ratio
6.3
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 42% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.8
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 15d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $70.56Resistance $81.08

Price Targets

$68
$92
A.Upside+27.0%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-03 (15d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is THO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.28: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.30; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $68.44. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the THO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $91.78 (+27.1% upside). Prior stop was $68.44. Stop-loss: $68.44.

What are the risks of investing in THO?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is THO overvalued or undervalued?

Thor Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about THO?

22 analysts cover THO with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $106.

What does Thor Industries, Inc. do?Our Company was founded in 1980 and has grown to become the largest manufacturer of recreational vehicles ("RVs") in...

Our Company was founded in 1980 and has grown to become the largest manufacturer of recreational vehicles ("RVs") in the world. We are also the largest manufacturer of RVs in North America, and one of the largest manufacturers of RVs in Europe. The Company manufactures a wide variety of RVs in the United States ("U.S.") and Europe, and sells those vehicles, as well as related parts and accessories, primarily to independent, non-franchise dealers throughout the United States, Canada and Europe.

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