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Thor Industries, Inc. (THO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $78.26: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.64; Below-average business quality.

Our Company was founded in 1980 and has grown to become the largest manufacturer of recreational vehicles ("RVs") in the world. We are also the largest manufacturer of RVs in North America, and one of the largest manufacturers of RVs in Europe. The Company manufactures a wide... Read more

$78.26+17.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#4 of 7 Recreational Vehicles
Stop $72.81Target $91.78(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$105.50+34.8%12 analysts
$91.78our TP
$78.26price
$105.50mean
$134

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $78.26: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.64; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.8
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA7.8
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE7.2%
Rev Growth5.3%
Beta1.45
Dividend2.68%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.64bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$55-29.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.3
Net Margin
1.5
Roa
2.1
Roe
2.4
Fcf Quality
3.3
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
6.3
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 42% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.8
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $74.16Resistance $85.00

Price Targets

$73
$92
A.Upside+17.3%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-03 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is THO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $78.26: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.64; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $72.81. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the THO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $91.78 (+17.2% upside). Prior stop was $72.81. Stop-loss: $72.81.

What are the risks of investing in THO?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is THO overvalued or undervalued?

Thor Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about THO?

21 analysts cover THO with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $106.

What does Thor Industries, Inc. do?Our Company was founded in 1980 and has grown to become the largest manufacturer of recreational vehicles ("RVs") in...

Our Company was founded in 1980 and has grown to become the largest manufacturer of recreational vehicles ("RVs") in the world. We are also the largest manufacturer of RVs in North America, and one of the largest manufacturers of RVs in Europe. The Company manufactures a wide variety of RVs in the United States ("U.S.") and Europe, and sells those vehicles, as well as related parts and accessories, primarily to independent, non-franchise dealers throughout the United States, Canada and Europe.

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