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KAIKadant IncSell5.1·$293.33+3.85%
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Kadant Inc (KAI) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $293.33 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

Kadant is a global supplier of industrial process technologies across three segments: Flow Control (fluid handling, doctoring and filtration), Industrial Processing (wood processing, fiber processing, boiler cleaning), and Material Handling (conveying, baling, fiber-based... Read more

$293.33+12.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#34 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.05%
IncomeYield0.50%(5y avg 0.46%)Payout15.51%sustainable
Stop $272.80Target $330.02(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$342.00+16.6%3 analysts
$330.02our TP
$293.33price
$342.00mean
$380

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $293.33 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Kadant Inc

About Kadant Inc

Kadant closed fiscal 2025 with a $288.2 million order backlog—up from $257.4 million at the prior fiscal year-end—split across Flow Control ($80.5 million), Industrial Processing ($162.5 million), and Material Handling ($45.2 million). The company completed two acquisitions in 2025: Babbini, an Italy-based industrial dewatering specialist, for $16.5 million net of cash, and Clyde Industries, a boiler efficiency technology manufacturer, for $173.7 million net of cash. About 50% of 2025 consolidated revenue came from customers outside the United States, principally in Europe, Asia, and Canada, with approximately 3,900 full-time employees worldwide.

Kadant generates revenue through capital equipment projects (about 29% of 2025 consolidated revenue) and recurring parts, consumables, and service sales (the balance). The Flow Control segment—rotary joints, doctor blades, syphon systems, expansion joints, and filtration equipment—serves paper machines and continuous-process equipment in packaging, energy, food, and industrial sectors. The Industrial Processing segment covers wood processing machinery for lumber and OSB mills (approximately 22% of consolidated 2025 revenue) as well as fiber recycling, pulping, and boiler cleaning systems; the two largest OSB customers together represented 12% of Industrial Processing segment revenues in 2025. The Material Handling segment's Link-Belt-branded conveying equipment, sold under a perpetual royalty-free license, contributed 17% of that segment's revenue in 2025.

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The OSB end market exposes Kadant to residential construction cycles. The OSB market is highly concentrated, and mill closures or extended capital freezes by major OSB producers could reduce demand for wood processing equipment. Secular decline in newsprint and printing-grade paper production—approximately 4% of 2025 consolidated revenue and expected to continue—may also weigh on the Flow Control and Industrial Processing segments over time, while growth in recycled packaging, food processing, and industrial automation provides partial offset.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Kadant Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.2
P/E (Fwd)21.6
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA16.0
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE11.1%
Rev Growth17.7%
Beta1.20
Dividend0.50%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$240-18.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWProductWood Processing product line22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 22% of our revenue in 2025 was from our Wood Processing product line.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Obv
6.4
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $278.49Resistance $336.76

Price Targets

$273
$330
A.Upside+12.5%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.9% upside)
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KAI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $293.33 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $272.80. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KAI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $330.02 (+12.5% upside). Prior stop was $272.80. Stop-loss: $272.80.

What are the risks of investing in KAI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is KAI overvalued or undervalued?

Kadant Inc trades at a P/E of 32.2 (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KAI?

8 analysts cover KAI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $342.

What does Kadant Inc do?Kadant is a global supplier of industrial process technologies across three segments: Flow Control (fluid handling,...

Kadant is a global supplier of industrial process technologies across three segments: Flow Control (fluid handling, doctoring and filtration), Industrial Processing (wood processing, fiber processing, boiler cleaning), and Material Handling (conveying, baling, fiber-based products). It serves paper, packaging, mining, food processing, and other process industries globally, with ~50% of 2025 revenue from outside the United States. The company had a $288.2M backlog at fiscal year-end 2025.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · CXT (Crane NXT, Co.) · MIDD (The Middleby Corporation) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · OTIS (Otis Worldwide Corporation)
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