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Kadant Inc (KAI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $303.59 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Kadant is a global supplier of industrial process technologies across three segments: Flow Control (fluid handling, doctoring and filtration), Industrial Processing (wood processing, fiber processing, boiler cleaning), and Material Handling (conveying, baling, fiber-based... Read more

$303.59+13.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#37 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.84%
IncomeYield0.45%(5y avg 0.46%)Payout15.51%sustainable
Stop $282.34Target $345.69(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$342.00+12.7%3 analysts
$345.69our TP
$303.59price
$342.00mean
$380

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $303.59 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Kadant Inc

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.6
P/E (Fwd)23.3
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA17.1
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE11.1%
Rev Growth17.7%
Beta1.19
Dividend0.45%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$200-34.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWProductWood Processing product line22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 22% of our revenue in 2025 was from our Wood Processing product line.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.0
Volume
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $278.23Resistance $352.74

Price Targets

$282
$346
A.Upside+13.9%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.2% upside)
! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KAI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $303.59 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $282.34. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KAI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $345.69 (+13.9% upside). Prior stop was $282.34. Stop-loss: $282.34.

What are the risks of investing in KAI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is KAI overvalued or undervalued?

Kadant Inc trades at a P/E of 34.6 (forward 23.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KAI?

8 analysts cover KAI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $342.

What does Kadant Inc do?Kadant is a global supplier of industrial process technologies across three segments: Flow Control (fluid handling,...

Kadant is a global supplier of industrial process technologies across three segments: Flow Control (fluid handling, doctoring and filtration), Industrial Processing (wood processing, fiber processing, boiler cleaning), and Material Handling (conveying, baling, fiber-based products). It serves paper, packaging, mining, food processing, and other process industries globally, with ~50% of 2025 revenue from outside the United States. The company had a $288.2M backlog at fiscal year-end 2025.

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