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EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.Hold6.3·$42.21
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This specialty industrial machinery company carries strong underlying quality and an attractively growth-adjusted valuation, but the technical setup remains cautious — a confirmed long-term downtrend, an imminent earnings report, and high supplier concentration mean the current posture is maintenance, not accumulation.

Thesis pillars

  • Supplier Concentration Operational Risk→Stable
  • Quality And Growth Adjusted Value↓Deteriorating
  • Momentum Recovery In Progress↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Oct 29, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enerpac Tool Group Corp. (EPAC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures and distributes high pressure hydraulic tools, controlled force products and heavy lifting solutions, plus bolting and machining services and tool rental, in more than 100 countries. Sales go primarily through distributors, with 39% of... Read more

$42.21-3.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#3 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.44%
IncomeYield0.09%(5y avg 0.12%)Payout2.33%sustainable
Stop $39.39Analyst target $40.80(reached)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst consensus$48.00+13.7%2 analysts with price targets
$42.21price
$48.00mean
$50

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Enerpac Tool Group Corp.

About Enerpac Tool Group Corp.

Enerpac Tool Group derived 39% of fiscal 2026 net sales from the United States, 26% from Europe, 13% from the Middle East, 10% from Asia and 12% from other regions, selling high pressure hydraulic tools and controlled force products in more than 100 countries. The Milwaukee-based company, founded in 1910, reported order backlogs of $81 million at August 31, 2026, versus $54 million a year earlier, and employed approximately 2,100 people.

Enerpac has one reportable segment, Industrial Tools & Services, which designs, manufactures and distributes branded hydraulic and mechanical tools, cylinders, pumps, hydraulic torque wrenches and heavy lifting solutions, and provides bolting, machining and joint integrity services plus tool rental. Brands include ENERPAC, HYDRATIGHT, LARZEP, SIMPLEX and DTA the Smart Move. Products reach customers primarily through a global distributor network, with direct sales to OEMs and select end users, serving general industrial, refining and petrochemical, maintenance and repair, power generation, infrastructure and mining markets. Manufacturing is mostly light assembly of components sourced from global suppliers, including various countries in Asia; the 10-K states that certain components come from single or limited suppliers and that a portion comes from suppliers in China. A small Other segment, Cortland Biomedical, develops biomedical textile products. The order-to-ship cycle is short, and the fourth fiscal quarter carries the largest share of annual sales at 28%.

Show full overview

The 10-K ties a substantial portion of revenues to customers in cyclical industries such as industrial and oil & gas, whose capital spending may fall in downturns or when armed conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine/Russia disrupt oil markets. On October 28, 2026, the company completed the acquisition of Specialized Fabrication Equipment Group for about $452 million in cash, plus roughly $20 million of restricted stock unit awards for key personnel, adding five manufacturing and fabrication facilities in the United States, France and the United Kingdom and around 340 employees. The filing cautions that larger acquisitions may be challenging to integrate and that planned benefits may not arrive on the expected schedule.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Enerpac Tool Group Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted November 1, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Enerpac Tool Group Corp.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:34:30Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Dec 16, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.5
P/E (Fwd)18.8
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA14.8
Profit Mgn13.8%
ROE20.2%
Rev Growth10.9%
Beta0.81
Dividend0.09%
Analysts with ratings9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.86bearish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicUnited States39%
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived 39% of our net sales from the United States, 26% from Europe, 13% from the Middle East'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle or limited suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We procure certain components for our products from single or limited suppliers.'
  • LOWSuppliersuppliers located in China
    10-K Item 1A: 'we procure a portion of our components from suppliers located in China'
  • LOWCustomermidstream and downstream oil & gas customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'A portion of our revenues is derived from customers in the midstream and downstream oil & gas industry.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-10-27Item 5.02LOW
    Company and CEO Paul Sternlieb signed an Offer Letter amendment on Oct 26, 2026 covering equity and cash incentive treatment on retirement after a specified date; board aims to retain him as CEO with a retirement date no earlier than July 31, 2030.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-10-15Item 5.02LOW
    Board approved on Oct 13, 2026 a long-term incentive program tied to the SFE Group acquisition; named officers received performance-vesting RSUs (CFO Kozik $200,000, Topercer $125,000, Popp $110,000, Chack $75,000 at target), half on net sales and half on adjusted EBITDA goals.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-10-09Item 5.02LOW
    Board expanded from eight to nine members on Oct 8, 2026 and elected independent director Charles T. Lauber, who joins the Audit Committee and Talent Development and Compensation Committee. Standard director compensation.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
8.8
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
83 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $34.12Resistance $43.90

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.3%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-16 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPAC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $40.80 reached (−3.3%), stop $39.39 (−7.2%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPAC stock price target?

Analyst target $40.80 reached (−3.3% from $42.21); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $40.80 reached (−3.3%), stop $39.39 (−7.2%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $39.39.

What are the risks of investing in EPAC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

Is EPAC overvalued or undervalued?

Enerpac Tool Group Corp. trades at a P/E of 24.5 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EPAC?

9 analysts rate EPAC, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $48.

What does Enerpac Tool Group Corp. do?Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures and distributes high pressure hydraulic tools, controlled force products and...

Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures and distributes high pressure hydraulic tools, controlled force products and heavy lifting solutions, plus bolting and machining services and tool rental, in more than 100 countries. Sales go primarily through distributors, with 39% of fiscal 2026 net sales in the U.S. and an order backlog of $81 million. The company closed a roughly $452 million acquisition of SFE Group on October 28, 2026.

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