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EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.Hold6.3·$34.76
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This specialty industrial machinery company carries strong underlying quality and an attractively growth-adjusted valuation, but the technical setup remains cautious — a confirmed long-term downtrend, an imminent earnings report, and high supplier concentration mean the current posture is maintenance, not accumulation.

Thesis pillars

  • Supplier Concentration Operational Risk↑Improving
  • Quality And Growth Adjusted Value→Stable
  • Momentum Recovery In Progress→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enerpac Tool Group Corp. (EPAC) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temporary headwind edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 7 days (2026-10-21). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than 100 countries through its single Industrial Tools & Services segment. In fiscal 2025, 37% of net sales came from the United States and 28% from Europe, with... Read more

$34.76+17.4% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.67%
IncomeYield0.11%(5y avg 0.12%)Payout2.27%sustainable
Stop $33.14Target $40.80(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$48.00+38.1%2 analysts
$40.80our TP
$34.76price
$48.00mean
$50

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=8.0 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn14.7%
ROE21.6%
Rev Growth5.6%
Beta0.81
Dividend0.11%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

IV89%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicUnited States37%
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal 2025, we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope28%
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States, 28% from Europe'
  • LOWGeographicMiddle East13%
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States, 28% from Europe, 13% from the Middle East'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle or limited suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We procure certain components for our products from single or limited suppliers.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierChina suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we procure a portion of our components from suppliers located in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.9
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Macd
3.7
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $34.17Resistance $36.46

Price Targets

$33
$41
A.Upside+17.4%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPAC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $40.80 (+17.4%), stop $33.14 (−4.9%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.80 (+17.4% upside). Target $40.80 (+17.4%), stop $33.14 (−4.9%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $33.14.

What are the risks of investing in EPAC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is EPAC overvalued or undervalued?

Enerpac Tool Group Corp. trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EPAC?

9 analysts cover EPAC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Enerpac Tool Group Corp. do?Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than...

Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than 100 countries through its single Industrial Tools & Services segment. In fiscal 2025, 37% of net sales came from the United States and 28% from Europe, with approximately 2,100 employees. The company single-sources certain components from its global supplier network.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I) · HLIO (Helios Technologies, Inc.) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) · MIDD (The Middleby Corporation)
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