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EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.Hold6.3·$36.04
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This specialty industrial machinery company carries strong underlying quality and an attractively growth-adjusted valuation, but the technical setup remains cautious — a confirmed long-term downtrend, an imminent earnings report, and high supplier concentration mean the current posture is maintenance, not accumulation.

Thesis pillars

  • Supplier Concentration Operational Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Quality And Growth Adjusted Value→Stable
  • Momentum Recovery In Progress↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enerpac Tool Group Corp. (EPAC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than 100 countries through its single Industrial Tools & Services segment. In fiscal 2025, 37% of net sales came from the United States and 28% from Europe, with... Read more

$36.04+13.2% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#3 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.54%
IncomeYield0.11%(5y avg 0.14%)Payout2.27%sustainable
Stop $34.30Target $40.80(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$48.00+33.2%2 analysts
$40.80our TP
$36.04price
$48.00mean
$50

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 14, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=8.0 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.5
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn14.7%
ROE21.6%
Rev Growth5.6%
Beta0.87
Dividend0.11%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicUnited States37%
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal 2025, we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope28%
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States, 28% from Europe'
  • LOWGeographicMiddle East13%
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States, 28% from Europe, 13% from the Middle East'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle or limited suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We procure certain components for our products from single or limited suppliers.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierChina suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we procure a portion of our components from suppliers located in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $34.17Resistance $37.83

Price Targets

$34
$41
A.Upside+13.2%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-14 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPAC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $40.80 (+13.2%), stop $34.30 (−5.1%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.80 (+13.2% upside). Target $40.80 (+13.2%), stop $34.30 (−5.1%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Stop-loss: $34.30.

What are the risks of investing in EPAC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is EPAC overvalued or undervalued?

Enerpac Tool Group Corp. trades at a P/E of 20.5 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EPAC?

9 analysts cover EPAC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Enerpac Tool Group Corp. do?Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than...

Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than 100 countries through its single Industrial Tools & Services segment. In fiscal 2025, 37% of net sales came from the United States and 28% from Europe, with approximately 2,100 employees. The company single-sources certain components from its global supplier network.

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