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EROCERock, Inc.Sell4.5·$12.12
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ERock shows strong revenue growth but carries an extraordinarily high short interest and a missing price feed this run, leaving the setup difficult to evaluate with confidence.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Short Interest↑Improving
  • No Tradable Price This Run↑Improving
  • Strong Revenue Growth Despite Quality Concerns→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ERock, Inc. (EROC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.12: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

ERock, Inc. designs, deploys, sells, operates, and maintains distributed power generation systems designed to provide power for commercial and industrial customers in the United States. Its offerings include the design, installation, and operation of modular power systems, as... Read more

$12.12+61.6% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#53 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $11.27Target $19.57(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$22.50+85.7%8 analysts
$19.57our TP
$12.12price
$22.50mean
$28

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.12: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-24

Recent Developments — ERock, Inc.

Generated 2026-09-24T17:52:01Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.4
P/E (Fwd)26.3
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA-4.5
Profit Mgn-66.7%
ROE—
Rev Growth-41.7%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.2
Quality Rank
0.2
Value Rank
0.8

Unprofitable operations — net margin -66.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.1
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.3
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
52 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $10.71Resistance $14.15

Price Targets

$11
$20
A.Upside+61.6%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EROC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.12: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $11.27. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EROC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.57 (+61.6% upside). Prior stop was $11.27. Stop-loss: $11.27.

What are the risks of investing in EROC?

Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is EROC overvalued or undervalued?

ERock, Inc. trades at a P/E of 46.4 (forward 26.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EROC?

14 analysts cover EROC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $23.

What does ERock, Inc. do?ERock, Inc. designs, deploys, sells, operates, and maintains distributed power generation systems designed to provide...

ERock, Inc. designs, deploys, sells, operates, and maintains distributed power generation systems designed to provide power for commercial and industrial customers in the United States. Its offerings include the design, installation, and operation of modular power systems, as well as ongoing operations and maintenance and asset management services. Its systems support a range of customer applications, including bridge power, backup power, and dispatchable power solutions. The company primarily serves data centers, utilities, and commercial and industrial customers across the United States. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Houston, Texas.

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