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Generac Holdlings Inc. (GNRC) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $254.03: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Generac Holdings designs and manufactures power generation equipment, energy storage, and energy management products for residential, commercial, data center, and industrial markets, with a leading North American position. Revenue is correlated with power outage frequency for... Read more

$254.03-0.6% A.UpsideScore 3.7/10#48 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $237.85Target $254.22(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$248.53-2.2%15 analysts
$254.22our TP
$254.03price
$248.53mean
$197
$300

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $254.03: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers
Target reached (-12.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)78.8
P/E (Fwd)24.2
Mkt Cap$14.9B
EV/EBITDA28.5
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE6.3%
Rev Growth-11.6%
Beta1.79
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV63%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend upon a small number of outside manufacturers and component suppliers, as well as other single-source suppliers, for certain products and components'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -11.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -12%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
2.2
Value Rank
2.7

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.5
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.7

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
1.9
Roe
2.1
Roa
2.3
Gross Margin
3.7
Fcf Quality
4.5
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
7.1
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality warning: 58% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $188.10Resistance $259.41

Price Targets

$238
$254
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GNRC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $254.03: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $237.85. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

What is the GNRC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $254.22 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $237.85. Stop-loss: $237.85.

What are the risks of investing in GNRC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers; Target reached (-12.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is GNRC overvalued or undervalued?

Generac Holdlings Inc. trades at a P/E of 78.8 (forward 24.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GNRC?

29 analysts cover GNRC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $249.

What does Generac Holdlings Inc. do?Generac Holdings designs and manufactures power generation equipment, energy storage, and energy management products...

Generac Holdings designs and manufactures power generation equipment, energy storage, and energy management products for residential, commercial, data center, and industrial markets, with a leading North American position. Revenue is correlated with power outage frequency for residential products and increasingly driven by large diesel generators for the data center market.

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