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Generac Holdlings Inc. (GNRC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $241.72 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Generac Holdings designs and manufactures power generation equipment, energy storage systems, and grid services technology for residential, commercial, and industrial customers. It earns revenue through standby generators, portable generators, and energy technology products... Read more

$241.72+1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#30 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield0.80%
Stop $224.79Target $245.16(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$272.40+12.7%15 analysts
$245.16our TP
$241.72price
$272.40mean
$212
$325

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $241.72 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Generac Holdlings Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)76.2
P/E (Fwd)22.1
Mkt Cap$14.4B
EV/EBITDA29.4
Profit Mgn4.4%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth12.4%
Beta1.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.01bearish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$140-42.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.3
Value Rank
2.8
Growth Rank
6.6

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $211.19Resistance $276.80

Price Targets

$225
$245
A.Upside+1.4%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.4% upside)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GNRC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $241.72 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $224.79. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the GNRC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $245.16 (+1.4% upside). Prior stop was $224.79. Stop-loss: $224.79.

What are the risks of investing in GNRC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is GNRC overvalued or undervalued?

Generac Holdlings Inc. trades at a P/E of 76.2 (forward 22.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GNRC?

28 analysts cover GNRC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $272.

What does Generac Holdlings Inc. do?Generac Holdings designs and manufactures power generation equipment, energy storage systems, and grid services...

Generac Holdings designs and manufactures power generation equipment, energy storage systems, and grid services technology for residential, commercial, and industrial customers. It earns revenue through standby generators, portable generators, and energy technology products (PWRcell batteries, PWRview software) sold via independent dealers, retailers, and direct channels across North America and internationally.

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