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FELEFranklin Electric Co., Inc.Hold6.2·$100.96
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Franklin Electric carries an exceptionally strong balance sheet — maximum financial health scores, a current ratio of 9.0, and low leverage — and has beaten estimates in three of the last four quarters; however, the Water Systems segment accounts for roughly 60% of revenue concentrating both revenue and supplier risk in a single area, the stock has risen above its analyst take-profit target leaving no upside buffer, and free cash flow is running at only about 59% of net income, below what a high-quality earnings profile would typically imply.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Balance Sheet Financial Health↓Deteriorating
  • Water Systems Segment Revenue Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Mostly Positive Beat Record↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Franklin Electric Co., Inc. (FELE) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Water Systems segment (60.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers.

Franklin Electric Co. designs, manufactures and distributes water and fuel pumping systems across three segments — Water Systems (~60% of revenue), Energy Systems, and Distribution — generating approximately $2.1 billion in 2025 revenue. Products are sold worldwide to specialty... Read more

$100.96+7.3% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#6 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.97%
IncomeYield1.11%(5y avg 0.97%)Payout24.83%sustainable
Stop $94.70Analyst target $108.38(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst consensus$127.50+26.3%4 analysts with price targets
$108.38Analyst target
$100.96price
$127.50mean
$135

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Water Systems segment (60.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 103d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Franklin Electric Co., Inc.

About Franklin Electric Co., Inc.

Water Systems generated approximately 60 percent of Franklin Electric's $2.1 billion 2025 revenue, with Energy Systems and Distribution comprising the remainder. The company held a consolidated order backlog of $139.1 million at February 4, 2026, with Water Systems alone accounting for $99.0 million. Franklin Electric employed approximately 6,500 people at December 31, 2025 and maintains named international operations across Europe, South Africa, Brazil, Mexico, India, China, Turkey, Canada, and Argentina.

Franklin Electric sells through employee sales forces and independent manufacturing representatives to specialty distributors, OEMs, industrial and petroleum equipment distributors, and major oil and utility companies. Water Systems serves residential, agricultural, municipal, and industrial groundwater and wastewater pumping applications; Energy Systems covers fuel containment, piping, vapor recovery, and electronic monitoring between the tank and the dispenser. The Distribution segment operates the Headwater Companies, serving professional water well contractors within the U.S. Principal raw materials include coil and bar steel, stainless steel, copper wire, and aluminum ingot, most available from multiple sources. Named competitors in specialty water products are Grundfos Management A/S, Pentair, Inc., and Xylem, Inc.; in petroleum equipment, Vontier Corporation and Dover Corporation. Water Systems also generates approximately 25 to 30 percent of segment revenue in developing markets, where the absence of municipal water infrastructure may support long-run volume growth.

Show full overview

Supply chain exposure is disclosed explicitly in both the Business and Risk Factors sections. The 10-K acknowledges dependence on a single or limited number of suppliers for certain materials and components, with no alternative sourcing plan disclosed. Compounding this, the U.S. government implemented tariffs on imported steel and aluminum — two principal raw materials — and the filing notes potential retaliatory tariff escalation. The company does not engage in commodity hedging, meaning margin exposure to raw material cost swings passes directly to operating results if customers cannot absorb price increases.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Franklin Electric Co., Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Franklin Electric Co., Inc.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:34:30Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 16, 2027103d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Water Systems segment (60.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers
Thin upside margin: 7.3%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.7
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn8.8%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta1.02
Dividend1.11%
Analysts with ratings11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.17bearish
IV39%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductWater Systems segment60%
    10-K Item 1: 'Water Systems contributed about 60 percent of the Company's total revenue in 2025'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle or limited number of suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company is dependent on a single or limited number of suppliers for some materials or components required in the manufacture of its products'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.6
Support Resistance
2.2
52w Position
7.5
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 103d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $93.50Resistance $103.06

Price Targets

$95
$108
A.Upside+7.3%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-16 (103d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FELE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Water Systems segment (60.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $108.38 (+7.3%), stop $94.70 (−6.6%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FELE stock price target?

Analyst target: $108.38 (+7.3% upside). Analyst target $108.38 (+7.3%), stop $94.70 (−6.6%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $94.70.

What are the risks of investing in FELE?

Concentration risk — Product: Water Systems segment (60.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers; Thin upside margin: 7.3%.

Is FELE overvalued or undervalued?

Franklin Electric Co., Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.7 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FELE?

11 analysts rate FELE, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $128.

What does Franklin Electric Co., Inc. do?Franklin Electric Co. designs, manufactures and distributes water and fuel pumping systems across three segments —...

Franklin Electric Co. designs, manufactures and distributes water and fuel pumping systems across three segments — Water Systems (~60% of revenue), Energy Systems, and Distribution — generating approximately $2.1 billion in 2025 revenue. Products are sold worldwide to specialty distributors, OEMs, and petroleum equipment distributors through an employee sales force and independent representatives, with roughly 6,500 employees at December 31, 2025.

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