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Figma, Inc. (FIG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.09: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 31%; Rich valuation; Below long-term trend.

Figma is an AI-powered collaborative design and product development platform sold via per-seat annual/monthly subscriptions. Products span the full software lifecycle: FigJam (ideation), Figma Design and Draw (visual design), Dev Mode (code handoff), Figma Make (AI prototyping),... Read more

$23.09+37.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#47 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.63%
Stop $21.64Target $32.08(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$36.88+59.7%8 analysts
$32.08our TP
$23.09price
$36.88mean
$60

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.09: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 31%; Rich valuation; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Val3.9Qual5.6Grw10.0Mom7.3Sent6.2Ins5.3Peer3.6Tech1.1Risk2.85.7OVERALL

Recent Developments — Figma, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)69.0
Mkt Cap$12.3B
EV/EBITDA-7.4
Profit Mgn-123.8%
ROE-101.7%
Rev Growth46.1%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.72neutral
IV102%elevated
Max Pain$1-95.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02LOW
    Mike Krieger resigned from Figma's Board of Directors effective April 14, 2026. Not due to any disagreement with operations, policies, or practices. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
0.6
Support Resistance
2.8

Volatile — 7.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
0.4
Debt Equity
1.1
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Days To Cover
6.9
Put Call
8.5
High short interest justified: 31%High IV: 102%Above max pain $1

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
9.4
Industry growth leader

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
1.5
Peg Ratio
2.8
Ps
3.1
Analyst Target
9.0
Forward P/E: 69.0xPEG: 4.43
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.3>=5.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 86d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
74 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.60Resistance $25.84

Price Targets

$22
$32
A.Upside+38.9%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-14 (86d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.09: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 31%; Rich valuation; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Prior stop was $21.64. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.08 (+37.9% upside). Prior stop was $21.64. Stop-loss: $21.64.

What are the risks of investing in FIG?

Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0).

Is FIG overvalued or undervalued?

Figma, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 69.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FIG?

17 analysts cover FIG with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Figma, Inc. do?Figma is an AI-powered collaborative design and product development platform sold via per-seat annual/monthly...

Figma is an AI-powered collaborative design and product development platform sold via per-seat annual/monthly subscriptions. Products span the full software lifecycle: FigJam (ideation), Figma Design and Draw (visual design), Dev Mode (code handoff), Figma Make (AI prototyping), and Figma Sites (web publishing). Customers range from individual freelancers to Fortune 500 product teams, served through self-service and direct enterprise sales.

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