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Figma, Inc. (FIG) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.66: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 6.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Negative price momentum.

Figma is a browser-based collaborative design and product development platform used by millions weekly across approximately 170 countries, serving the full product lifecycle from ideation to code deployment. Revenue comes from per-seat annual or monthly subscriptions across... Read more

$17.66+98.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#53 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $16.45Target $35.02(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 6.5:1
Analyst target$40.25+127.9%8 analysts
$35.02our TP
$17.66price
$40.25mean
$60

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.66: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 6.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)58.8
Mkt Cap$8.9B
EV/EBITDA-5.6
Profit Mgn-118.4%
ROE-88.2%
Rev Growth40.0%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV109%elevated
Max Pain$1-94.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02LOW
    Mike Krieger resigned from Figma's Board of Directors effective April 14, 2026. No disagreement with Figma on operations, policies, or practices cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 8.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
0.9
Debt Equity
1.1
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Days To Cover
7.1
Put Call
8.1
High short interest justified: 26%High IV: 109%Above max pain $1

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.1
Value Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
9.1
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 6.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $16.60Resistance $23.15

Price Targets

$16
$35
A.Upside+98.3%
A.R:R6.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-14 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.66: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 6.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $16.45. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.02 (+98.0% upside). Prior stop was $16.45. Stop-loss: $16.45.

What are the risks of investing in FIG?

Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is FIG overvalued or undervalued?

Figma, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 58.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FIG?

16 analysts cover FIG with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Figma, Inc. do?Figma is a browser-based collaborative design and product development platform used by millions weekly across...

Figma is a browser-based collaborative design and product development platform used by millions weekly across approximately 170 countries, serving the full product lifecycle from ideation to code deployment. Revenue comes from per-seat annual or monthly subscriptions across Starter, Professional, Organization, and Enterprise plans sold to designers, developers, product managers, and enterprise teams.

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