Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $53.75: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Elastic N.V. develops the Elasticsearch Search AI Platform, offering Elastic Cloud (SaaS) and self-managed software for search, observability, and security use cases. FY2025 revenue was $1.483B (93% subscription) from ~21,500 customers; Elastic Cloud represented 46% of total... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $53.75: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst cluster(8), semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Elastic N.V.
Latest news
- Micron To Rally More Than 61%? Here Are 10 Top Analyst Forecasts For Tuesday — benzinga May 19, 2026 positive
- Guggenheim Maintains Buy on Elastic, Lowers Price Target to $106 — benzinga May 19, 2026 neutral
- Tiger Global Management Sold Entire Position In Circle Internet Group; Elastic N.V.; Flutter Entertainment; Grab Holding — benzinga May 15, 2026 negative
- Rothschild & Co Initiates Coverage On Elastic with Neutral Rating, Announces Price Target of $49 — benzinga Apr 23, 2026
- RBC Capital Maintains Outperform on Elastic, Lowers Price Target to $70 — benzinga Apr 16, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerchannel partner12%10-K Item 1: 'One customer, a channel partner, accounted for 12% of total revenue for the year ended April 30, 2025 and 11% of total revenue for the year ended April 30, 2024.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $53.75: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $49.96. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $70.73 (+31.7% upside). Prior stop was $49.96. Stop-loss: $49.96.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Elastic N.V. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
36 analysts cover ESTC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $79.
What does Elastic N.V. do?Elastic N.V. develops the Elasticsearch Search AI Platform, offering Elastic Cloud (SaaS) and self-managed software for...
Elastic N.V. develops the Elasticsearch Search AI Platform, offering Elastic Cloud (SaaS) and self-managed software for search, observability, and security use cases. FY2025 revenue was $1.483B (93% subscription) from ~21,500 customers; Elastic Cloud represented 46% of total revenue.