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DTDynatrace, Inc.Sell4.7·$41.39+1.57%
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Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5.

Dynatrace is an AI-powered observability platform serving enterprise IT operations via SaaS, providing infrastructure monitoring, application observability, security, log analytics, and business analytics through its proprietary Grail data lakehouse and Davis AI engine. The... Read more

$41.39+6.5% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#95 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.22%
Stop $38.50Target $44.09(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$43.85+5.9%33 analysts
$44.09our TP
$41.39price
$43.85mean
$36
$52

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Dynatrace, Inc.

About Dynatrace, Inc.

Dynatrace's platform reached approximately 4,100 customers across 110 countries as of March 31, 2026, with annual revenue growing 19% in fiscal 2026 and 19% in fiscal 2025. The company's 5,600 employees include approximately 28% based in Austria and 30% in the United States, with 176 issued patents as of March 31, 2026. No end-customer exceeded 10% of revenue in any of the last three fiscal years, though one channel partner accounted for 10% of revenue in both fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2025.

Dynatrace sells observability, security, and AI operations software primarily as SaaS, with the Dynatrace Platform Subscription (DPS) model allowing customers to make a minimum annual spend commitment and consume capabilities based on actual usage at a published rate card. The company targets the largest 15,000 companies globally through a direct sales team and a partner network that includes global system integrators — Accenture, Atos, Deloitte, DXC, and Kyndryl — hyperscaler marketplaces (AWS, Azure, Google), and regional resellers. Principal competitors named in the 10-K include Cisco (which acquired Splunk in 2024 and includes AppDynamics), Datadog, Elastic, Grafana, and New Relic, as well as cloud providers that offer native monitoring point solutions. Gross margin economics are driven by R&D investment in the Grail data lakehouse, OneAgent instrumentation technology, and the Smartscape dependency-mapping engine.

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Cisco's acquisition of Splunk in 2024 and Palo Alto Networks' acquisition of Chronosphere in 2026, both cited in the 10-K, signal accelerating consolidation among Dynatrace's direct competitors. The 10-K also identifies risk from large technology companies expanding their platforms or acquiring competitors, and from generic LLM-based solutions that could undercut Dynatrace's pricing at lower tiers. The company's ability to maintain differentiation against bundled offerings from hyperscalers — which also distribute Dynatrace through their own marketplaces — may impact renewal rates if hyperscaler-native monitoring improves in scope and quality.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From Dynatrace, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)75.5
P/E (Fwd)18.0
Mkt Cap$11.9B
EV/EBITDA38.5
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth19.4%
Beta0.74
DividendNone
Rating analysts45

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$18-57.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerone channel partner (10% of revenue)10%
    10-K Item 1: 'For the year ended March 31, 2025, one channel partner accounted for 10% of revenue. No channel partners accounted for more than 10% of revenue for the years ended March 31, 2024 and 2023.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
7.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.0
Quality Rank
4.4
Growth Rank
6.0
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $37.91Resistance $44.99

Price Targets

$39
$44
A.Upside+6.5%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.6% upside)
! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $38.50. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the DT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.09 (+6.5% upside). Prior stop was $38.50. Stop-loss: $38.50.

What are the risks of investing in DT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is DT overvalued or undervalued?

Dynatrace, Inc. trades at a P/E of 75.5 (forward 18.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DT?

45 analysts cover DT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Dynatrace, Inc. do?Dynatrace is an AI-powered observability platform serving enterprise IT operations via SaaS, providing infrastructure...

Dynatrace is an AI-powered observability platform serving enterprise IT operations via SaaS, providing infrastructure monitoring, application observability, security, log analytics, and business analytics through its proprietary Grail data lakehouse and Davis AI engine. The company had approximately 4,100 customers in 105+ countries and grew revenue 19% in FY2025, targeting the largest 15,000 global enterprise accounts.

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