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COURCoursera, Inc.Sell6.7·$6.00+2.48%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Coursera's 8-out-of-9 Piotroski score, positive free cash flow with a 9% margin, and a forward P/E of 10x combine to make a financially credible value case — but a confirmed death cross, failed momentum gate, and a put/call ratio of 2.95 indicate the market has not yet accepted that case, and entry remains premature until technical structure improves.

Thesis pillars

  • Death Cross Momentum Failure Blocks EntryImproving
  • Strong Financial Health Fcf QualityStable
  • Attractive Valuation At 10x ForwardStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Coursera, Inc. (COUR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.00: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Coursera operates a global online learning platform connecting roughly 197 million learners across 230+ countries with content from more than 200 universities and 175 industry partners, offering courses, certificates, and degrees directly to consumers and through Coursera for... Read more

$6.00+18.5% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#3 of 18 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield23.67%
Stop $5.58Target $7.11(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$8.17+36.1%9 analysts
$7.11our TP
$6.00price
$8.17mean
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.00: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Coursera, Inc.

About Coursera, Inc.

Coursera served approximately 197 million registered learners across more than 230 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025, with content from more than 375 content creators, including over 200 universities and 175 industry partners. Learners logged 54.4 million course enrollments and 657.0 million lectures watched in 2025, up 10% and 12% respectively from 2024, while the company maintained more than 1,700 paid Enterprise customers across its Coursera for Business, Campus, and Government offerings.

Coursera earns revenue from three channels: Consumer subscriptions and course purchases (including the Coursera Plus subscription covering over 13,500 courses), Enterprise licenses sold to businesses, universities, and governments, and a revenue share on degree-program tuition. Content costs are paid to content creators based on learner engagement under a 2025 revenue-share update, and in 2026 the company introduced a new platform fee on Consumer and Enterprise sales to fund platform investment, changes that have drawn pushback from some content creators. Coursera competes against a fragmented field including 2U/edX, LinkedIn Learning, Udacity, Pluralsight, Skillshare, Khan Academy, and OpenAI, among others. On December 17, 2025, Coursera signed a merger agreement to acquire competitor Udemy in an all-stock transaction (0.800 Coursera shares per Udemy share), and a subsequent Form 8-K disclosed that the deal closed on May 11, 2026, with Udemy continuing as a wholly owned subsidiary.

Show full overview

Coursera's own risk factors disclose a real, if moderate, content-supply concentration: the top five content creators generated approximately 23% of the company's total 2025 revenue, so a dispute over the 2025 engagement-based revenue share or the 2026 platform fee, of the kind the filing says Coursera has experienced opposition to already, could disproportionately affect results if one of those five partners walked away. That supply-side dependency now sits alongside integration risk from the Udemy acquisition, which closed May 11, 2026 per a subsequent Form 8-K, meaning content-creator and platform-fee dynamics must now be reconciled across two previously competing catalogs and contributor bases.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

From Coursera, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-21
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202669d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA-15.6
Profit Mgn-15.4%
ROE-15.2%
Rev Growth59.6%
Beta1.23
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.09bullish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$5-16.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWSuppliertop-five content creators23%
    10-K Item 1A: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, we generated approximately 23% of our total revenue from the content and credentialing programs of our top five content creators.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 2.01HIGH
    Coursera completed its previously announced all-stock merger with Udemy, Inc.; each Udemy share converted into 0.800 shares of Coursera common stock, with Udemy continuing as a wholly owned subsidiary.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
2.3
Support Resistance
3.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -15.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
5.8
Fcf Quality
6.0
Gross Margin
7.2
Moat
7.2
Piotroski F
8.9
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 41%, FCF yield 23.7%)Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.05Resistance $6.40

Price Targets

$6
$7
A.Upside+18.5%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COUR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.00: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $5.58. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COUR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.11 (+18.5% upside). Prior stop was $5.58. Stop-loss: $5.58.

What are the risks of investing in COUR?

Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is COUR overvalued or undervalued?

Coursera, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about COUR?

17 analysts cover COUR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Coursera, Inc. do?Coursera operates a global online learning platform connecting roughly 197 million learners across 230+ countries with...

Coursera operates a global online learning platform connecting roughly 197 million learners across 230+ countries with content from more than 200 universities and 175 industry partners, offering courses, certificates, and degrees directly to consumers and through Coursera for Business, Campus, and Government enterprise offerings. The company's top five content creators generated approximately 23% of 2025 total revenue, and on May 11, 2026 Coursera completed its previously pending all-stock merger with online-learning competitor Udemy, converting each Udemy share into 0.800 Coursera shares.

Related stocks: TAL (TAL Education Group) · PXED (Phoenix Education Partners, Inc) · LAUR (Laureate Education, Inc.) · EDU (New Oriental Education & Techno) · PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation)
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