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COURCoursera, Inc.Sell5.9·$5.85+8.53%
COUR · Why this verdict

Why Coursera (COUR) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.9/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

9.0/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
P/S9.0
Fwd P/E9.3
PEG10.0
Analyst target7.5
  • Forward P/E: 10.2x
  • PEG: 0.04
  • Attractively valued

Quality

3.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE0.0
ROA0.0
Gross margin7.0
Op margin0.0
Net margin0.0
Current ratio8.4
FCF quality5.3
Moat5.9
Piotroski F8.9
  • FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 9%, FCF yield 4.5%)
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth

7.4/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth4.8
EPS growth10.0

Momentum

6.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD6.6
OBV10.0
MA position6.0
Volume5.7
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

7.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating7.0
Price target9.1
erm sentiment4.5
  • Light analyst coverage (10.0) — signal dampened
  • Analyst upside: 38%

Insider

3.9/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality4.5
insider conviction2.0
holder change5.1
  • Modest insider selling — $497,754 (0.032% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.0/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank4.0
quality rank0.4
growth rank6.7

Technical

3.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger3.1
support resistance4.0
52w position0.0
gap5.0

Risk (lower is worse)

4.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest5.0
days to cover6.6
volatility0.0
put call10.0
implied vol0.0
beta5.8
debt equity6.4
  • High IV: 105%

Catalyst

7.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg8.1

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (8)
  • MOMENTUM:6.6>=5.5
  • ASYMMETRY:1.6>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)

none

Warning (1)
  • DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.6>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
1.55
Upside
+20.0%
Downside
12.9%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 1.30>1.3, MCap $1.5B<$5B

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 9.0 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.0, Growth at 7.4, and Sentiment at 7.0; the weakest are Technical at 3.0, Insider at 3.9, and Quality at 3.9. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.55 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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