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LAURLaureate Education, Inc.Buy Wait6.5·$35.49
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Laureate Education combines a wide economic moat, a return on equity of 29%, and a near-perfect financial-health score with three beats in the last four quarters and an average surprise of 17%—a high-quality, attractively valued business whose primary near-term constraint is that the stock has already closed most of the gap to its price target, leaving limited margin of safety for new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat High Quality Returns→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Outperformance→Stable
  • Latin America Geographic Concentration↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Wait for pullback to $33.83. At $35.49 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $33.83 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America; Thin upside margin: 3.1%.

Laureate Education operates five degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico and Peru — its only markets — enrolling approximately 497,700 students across campus-based, online, and hybrid programs in two segments: Mexico (UVM, UNITEC) and Peru (UPC, UPN, CIBERTEC).... Read more

$35.49+3.1% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#3 of 14 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.94%
Entry $33.83(support + ATR (held))Stop $32.16Target $36.60(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst consensus$42.07+18.5%7 analysts with price targets
$36.60our TP
$35.49price
$42.07mean
$45

Wait for pullback to $33.83. At $35.49 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $33.83 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America; Thin upside margin: 3.1%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.30, quality 7.5/10, growth 8.9/10). Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (news events none recent, earnings proximity 105d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 31, 2026

Recent Developments — Laureate Education, Inc.

Latest item Oct 31, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:34:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 18, 2027105d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America
Thin upside margin: 3.1%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.1
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn20.3%
ROE34.1%
Rev Growth21.2%
Beta0.44
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicLatin America
    10-K Item 1A: 'our presence solely in Latin America presents risks relating to regional economic pressures'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-27Item 5.02LOW
    Laureate Education shareholders approved the 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan at Annual Meeting on May 21, 2026, authorizing the Compensation Committee to grant equity-based incentive compensation to directors, officers, employees, consultants, and advisors. No officer appointment or departure disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
6.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.40%=MODERATEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 105d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.15Resistance $40.14

Price Targets

$32
$34
$37
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-18 (105d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAUR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $33.83. At $35.49 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $33.83 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America; Thin upside margin: 3.1%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.30, quality 7.5/10, growth 8.9/10). Target $36.60 (+3.1%), stop $32.16 (−10.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LAUR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.60 (+3.1% upside). Target $36.60 (+3.1%), stop $32.16 (−10.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $32.16.

What are the risks of investing in LAUR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America; Thin upside margin: 3.1%; Negative momentum.

Is LAUR overvalued or undervalued?

Laureate Education, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LAUR?

13 analysts rate LAUR, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 7 analysts publish price targets averaging $42.

What does Laureate Education, Inc. do?Laureate Education operates five degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico and Peru — its only markets —...

Laureate Education operates five degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico and Peru — its only markets — enrolling approximately 497,700 students across campus-based, online, and hybrid programs in two segments: Mexico (UVM, UNITEC) and Peru (UPC, UPN, CIBERTEC). Revenue is entirely private-pay student tuition with no material government loan programs in either country, supported by over 33,900 employees including 18,340 academic staff.

Related stocks: PXED (Phoenix Education Partners, Inc) · COUR (Coursera, Inc.) · LOPE (Grand Canyon Education, Inc.) · CVSA (Covista Inc.) · AFYA (Afya Limited)
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