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LAURLaureate Education, Inc.Hold6.1·$39.59+3.64%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Laureate Education combines a wide economic moat, a return on equity of 29%, and a near-perfect financial-health score with three beats in the last four quarters and an average surprise of 17%—a high-quality, attractively valued business whose primary near-term constraint is that the stock has already closed most of the gap to its price target, leaving limited margin of safety for new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat High Quality ReturnsStable
  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceStable
  • Latin America Geographic ConcentrationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Laureate Education operates five degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico and Peru — its only markets — enrolling approximately 497,700 students across campus-based, online, and hybrid programs in two segments: Mexico (UVM, UNITEC) and Peru (UPC, UPN, CIBERTEC).... Read more

$39.59-1.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 18 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.18%
Stop $36.99Target $38.91(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$40.25+1.7%6 analysts
$38.91our TP
$39.59price
$40.25mean
$37
$43

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-3.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.4
P/E (Fwd)15.4
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn16.1%
ROE28.8%
Rev Growth15.4%
Beta0.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$30-24.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicLatin America
    10-K Item 1A: 'our presence solely in Latin America presents risks relating to regional economic pressures'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-27Item 5.02LOW
    Laureate Education shareholders approved the 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan at Annual Meeting on May 21, 2026, authorizing the Compensation Committee to grant equity-based incentive compensation to directors, officers, employees, consultants, and advisors. No officer appointment or departure disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.63Resistance $39.70

Price Targets

$37
$39
A.Upside-1.7%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAUR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $38.91 (-1.7%), stop $36.99 (−7.0%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LAUR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.91 (-1.7% upside). Target $38.91 (-1.7%), stop $36.99 (−7.0%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $36.99.

What are the risks of investing in LAUR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-3.4% away).

Is LAUR overvalued or undervalued?

Laureate Education, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LAUR?

12 analysts cover LAUR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Laureate Education, Inc. do?Laureate Education operates five degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico and Peru — its only markets —...

Laureate Education operates five degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico and Peru — its only markets — enrolling approximately 497,700 students across campus-based, online, and hybrid programs in two segments: Mexico (UVM, UNITEC) and Peru (UPC, UPN, CIBERTEC). Revenue is entirely private-pay student tuition with no material government loan programs in either country, supported by over 33,900 employees including 18,340 academic staff.

Related stocks: TAL (TAL Education Group) · EDU (New Oriental Education & Techno) · PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) · PXED (Phoenix Education Partners, Inc) · LOPE (Grand Canyon Education, Inc.)
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