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LAURLaureate Education, Inc.Hold6.5·$37.00+1.09%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Laureate Education combines a wide economic moat, a return on equity of 29%, and a near-perfect financial-health score with three beats in the last four quarters and an average surprise of 17%—a high-quality, attractively valued business whose primary near-term constraint is that the stock has already closed most of the gap to its price target, leaving limited margin of safety for new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat High Quality ReturnsStable
  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceStable
  • Latin America Geographic ConcentrationDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Earnings in 4 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Laureate Education operates five degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico and Peru — its only markets — enrolling approximately 497,700 students across campus-based, online, and hybrid programs in two segments: Mexico (UVM, UNITEC) and Peru (UPC, UPN, CIBERTEC).... Read more

$37.00-3.8% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#5 of 18 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.38%
Stop $34.66Target $39.94(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$40.93+10.6%7 analysts
$39.94our TP
$37.00price
$40.93mean
$45

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$5.2B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn16.1%
ROE28.8%
Rev Growth15.4%
Beta0.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicLatin America
    10-K Item 1A: 'our presence solely in Latin America presents risks relating to regional economic pressures'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-27Item 5.02LOW
    Laureate Education shareholders approved the 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan at Annual Meeting on May 21, 2026, authorizing the Compensation Committee to grant equity-based incentive compensation to directors, officers, employees, consultants, and advisors. No officer appointment or departure disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.05Resistance $40.75

Price Targets

$35
$40
A.Upside-3.8%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAUR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $39.94 (+7.9%), stop $34.66 (−6.8%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LAUR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.94 (-3.8% upside). Target $39.94 (+7.9%), stop $34.66 (−6.8%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $34.66.

What are the risks of investing in LAUR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is LAUR overvalued or undervalued?

Laureate Education, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LAUR?

12 analysts cover LAUR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Laureate Education, Inc. do?Laureate Education operates five degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico and Peru — its only markets —...

Laureate Education operates five degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico and Peru — its only markets — enrolling approximately 497,700 students across campus-based, online, and hybrid programs in two segments: Mexico (UVM, UNITEC) and Peru (UPC, UPN, CIBERTEC). Revenue is entirely private-pay student tuition with no material government loan programs in either country, supported by over 33,900 employees including 18,340 academic staff.

Related stocks: TAL (TAL Education Group) · EDU (New Oriental Education & Techno) · PXED (Phoenix Education Partners, Inc) · PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) · LOPE (Grand Canyon Education, Inc.)
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