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Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru; Thin upside margin: 6.7%.

Laureate Education operates five degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico (UVM, UNITEC—~269K students) and Peru (UPC, UPN, CIBERTEC—~228K students), serving ~497,700 total students as of Dec 31, 2025. Revenue is derived from private-pay tuition with no material... Read more

$32.90+6.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 15 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.15%
Stop $30.88Target $35.09(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$40.33+22.6%6 analysts
$35.09our TP
$32.90price
$40.33mean
$43

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru; Thin upside margin: 6.7%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Laureate Education, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru
Thin upside margin: 6.7%
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -10.1%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.7
P/E (Fwd)13.2
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn16.1%
ROE28.8%
Rev Growth15.4%
Beta0.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMexico and Peru
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, essentially all of our revenues originated outside the United States... our portfolio, which is composed of five institutions, operates in Mexico and Peru'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.7
Bollinger
2.6
52w Position
7.4
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.70Resistance $33.76

Price Targets

$31
$35
A.Upside+6.7%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAUR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru; Thin upside margin: 6.7%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $35.09 (+6.7%), stop $30.88 (−6.5%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LAUR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.09 (+6.7% upside). Target $35.09 (+6.7%), stop $30.88 (−6.5%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $30.88.

What are the risks of investing in LAUR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru; Thin upside margin: 6.7%; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -10.1%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.05% of cap).

Is LAUR overvalued or undervalued?

Laureate Education, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.7 (forward 13.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LAUR?

12 analysts cover LAUR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Laureate Education, Inc. do?Laureate Education operates five degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico (UVM, UNITEC—~269K students)...

Laureate Education operates five degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico (UVM, UNITEC—~269K students) and Peru (UPC, UPN, CIBERTEC—~228K students), serving ~497,700 total students as of Dec 31, 2025. Revenue is derived from private-pay tuition with no material government student loan programs in either market.

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