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Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $30.83 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (7 sells, 1.27% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Laureate Education operates a portfolio of degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico (UVM, UNITEC) and Peru (UPC, UPN, CIBERTEC), with ~497,700 students across 50+ campuses. Revenue is tuition-based from private-pay students; essentially all revenue originated... Read more

$29.41+19.3% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#2 of 15 Education & Training Services
Entry $30.83(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $28.72Target $34.87(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$40.08+36.3%6 analysts
$34.87our TP
$29.41price
$40.08mean
$43

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $30.83 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (7 sells, 1.27% of cap), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (7 sells, 1.27% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.7
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn16.5%
ROE26.4%
Rev Growth27.9%
Beta0.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$30+2.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMexico and Peru
    10-K Item 1A: 'We operate a portfolio of degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico and Peru and are subject to complex business, economic, legal, political, tax and foreign currency risks'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
2.1
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.70Resistance $35.74

Price Targets

$29
$31
$35
A.Upside+18.6%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAUR stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $30.83 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (7 sells, 1.27% of cap), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $34.87 (+18.6%), stop $28.72 (−2.4%), Setup A.R:R 4.1:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LAUR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.87 (+19.3% upside). Target $34.87 (+18.6%), stop $28.72 (−2.4%), Setup A.R:R 4.1:1. Stop-loss: $28.72.

What are the risks of investing in LAUR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (7 sells, 1.27% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is LAUR overvalued or undervalued?

Laureate Education, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.7 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LAUR?

12 analysts cover LAUR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Laureate Education, Inc. do?Laureate Education operates a portfolio of degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico (UVM, UNITEC) and...

Laureate Education operates a portfolio of degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico (UVM, UNITEC) and Peru (UPC, UPN, CIBERTEC), with ~497,700 students across 50+ campuses. Revenue is tuition-based from private-pay students; essentially all revenue originated outside the United States in 2025.

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