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PXEDPhoenix Education Partners, IncHold6.6·$28.34-0.11%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Phoenix Education Partners screens cheap on a PEG basis with a strong Piotroski quality score and an imminent earnings catalyst backed by a 3-of-4 beat streak, though falling on-balance volume tempers the near-term technical picture.

Thesis pillars

  • Falling Obv Momentum CautionDeteriorating
  • Cheap Peg ValuationImproving
  • Strong Piotroski QualityImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Phoenix Education Partners, Inc (PXED) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%); Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%).

Phoenix Education Partners operates the University of Phoenix, an online, for-profit university serving primarily working adult learners, with average total degreed enrollment of 81,900 students and net revenue of $1,007 million in fiscal 2025, up from $835 million in fiscal... Read more

$28.34+27.0% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#3 of 18 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield17.33%
IncomeYield2.92%Payout19.25%sustainable
Stop $27.09Target $36.00(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$41.38+46.0%8 analysts
$36.00our TP
$28.34price
$41.38mean
$51

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%); Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 118d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Phoenix Education Partners, Inc

About Phoenix Education Partners, Inc

Phoenix Education Partners' University of Phoenix generated $1,007 million in net revenue for fiscal 2025, up from $835 million in fiscal 2023, serving an Average Total Degreed Enrollment of 81,900 students — 66,300 undergraduate and 15,600 graduate. Degree-granting programs across 72 degree and 33 non-degree certificate programs accounted for approximately 97% of net revenue, and roughly 32% of enrollment came through employer-relationship (B2B) tuition-discount programs.

Phoenix Education Partners earns tuition revenue predominantly from working-adult students enrolled either directly or through employer partnerships that provide discounted tuition, with bachelor's programs making up 70% of fiscal 2025 degreed enrollment, master's 16%, associate's 11%, and doctoral 3%. The University of Phoenix, accredited by the Higher Learning Commission since 1978, competes against more than 5,000 U.S. colleges and universities in a fragmented post-secondary market, differentiating on affordability, flexible asynchronous learning, and skills-badge credentialing built on an AI-enabled technology platform for student engagement monitoring and enrollment support. Since Apollo Global Management and Vistria Group acquired the University's predecessor in 2017, the company narrowed its footprint to a single Phoenix, Arizona campus, exited non-core international schools, and completed an October 2025 initial public offering in which the two sponsors sold $156.4 million of existing shares without the company receiving proceeds.

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Phoenix Education Partners' single largest exposure is regulatory, not competitive: the 10-K discloses that the University derived 88.6% of its cash-basis revenue from Title IV federal financial aid funds in its most recent fiscal year, putting it squarely under the Department of Education's 90/10 Rule, which requires for-profit institutions to draw at least 10% of revenue from non-Title IV sources. If that percentage were projected to exceed or reach 90% in a given fiscal year, the company would need to raise tuition, cut costs, or make programmatic changes to bring the ratio back into compliance — any of which the filing says could materially affect its financial condition.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

From Phoenix Education Partners, Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-24
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 2026118d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%)
Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.1
P/E (Fwd)6.2
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA5.0
Profit Mgn8.2%
ROE25.3%
Rev Growth0.0%
Beta
Dividend2.92%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryTitle IV funds89%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derived 88.6% of our cash basis revenue from Title IV funds in our most recent fiscal year'
  • HIGHProductdegree-granting programs97%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our degree-granting programs represented approximately 97% of our net revenue for fiscal year 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 20, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 118d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
20 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $27.93Resistance $35.77

Price Targets

$27
$36
A.Upside+27.0%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (118d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PXED stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%); Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $36.00 (+27.0%), stop $27.09 (−4.6%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PXED stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.00 (+27.0% upside). Target $36.00 (+27.0%), stop $27.09 (−4.6%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Stop-loss: $27.09.

What are the risks of investing in PXED?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%); Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%); Negative momentum.

Is PXED overvalued or undervalued?

Phoenix Education Partners, Inc trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PXED?

14 analysts cover PXED with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Phoenix Education Partners, Inc do?Phoenix Education Partners operates the University of Phoenix, an online, for-profit university serving primarily...

Phoenix Education Partners operates the University of Phoenix, an online, for-profit university serving primarily working adult learners, with average total degreed enrollment of 81,900 students and net revenue of $1,007 million in fiscal 2025, up from $835 million in fiscal 2023. Degree-granting programs generated approximately 97% of net revenue, and the university derived 88.6% of its cash-basis revenue from Title IV federal financial aid funds.

Related stocks: TAL (TAL Education Group) · EDU (New Oriental Education & Techno) · PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) · LAUR (Laureate Education, Inc.) · GOTU (Gaotu Techedu Inc.)
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