Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $34.70: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Weak growth.
Chipotle Mexican Grill owns and operates 3,938 U.S. and 104 international restaurants serving burritos, bowls, tacos, and salads with fresh ingredients. Revenue comes entirely from company-owned restaurant sales; digital sales were 36.7% of food/beverage revenue in 2025 with... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $34.70: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 9/11 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, news boost analyst 0.50, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $34.70: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $30.97. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $40.16 (+21.7% upside). Prior stop was $30.97. Stop-loss: $30.97.
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.3 (forward 24.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
44 analysts cover CMG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $44.
What does Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. do?Chipotle Mexican Grill owns and operates 3,938 U.S. and 104 international restaurants serving burritos, bowls, tacos,...
Chipotle Mexican Grill owns and operates 3,938 U.S. and 104 international restaurants serving burritos, bowls, tacos, and salads with fresh ingredients. Revenue comes entirely from company-owned restaurant sales; digital sales were 36.7% of food/beverage revenue in 2025 with 130,301 employees worldwide.