Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $33.60: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Chipotle Mexican Grill owns and operates 3,938 U.S. and 104 international fast-casual restaurants serving burritos, bowls, tacos, and salads using fresh ingredients without artificial preservatives. All revenue is derived from company-owned restaurant food and beverage sales,... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $33.60: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Latest news
- Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 2026 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:CMG) 2026-04-29 - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
- Chipotle rallies after posting a surprise positive comp for Q1 (CMG:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- Chipotle posts surprise same-store sales growth in early sign chain could be breaking its slump - CNBC — CNBC positive
- If You'd Put $1,000 Into Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock 20 Years Ago, Here's What You'd Have Today - Kiplinger — Kiplinger positive
- Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) stock moves -1.02%: What you should know - MSN — MSN neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $33.60: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Prior stop was $31.36. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $39.91 (+18.8% upside). Prior stop was $31.36. Stop-loss: $31.36.
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Negative news sentiment (-1.00).
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.0 (forward 24.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
44 analysts cover CMG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $43.
What does Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. do?Chipotle Mexican Grill owns and operates 3,938 U.S. and 104 international fast-casual restaurants serving burritos,...
Chipotle Mexican Grill owns and operates 3,938 U.S. and 104 international fast-casual restaurants serving burritos, bowls, tacos, and salads using fresh ingredients without artificial preservatives. All revenue is derived from company-owned restaurant food and beverage sales, with digital orders representing 36.7% of food and beverage revenue in 2025.