Skip to main content
JMKEJersey Mike's Subs Inc.Sell5.8·$16.76
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

JMKE is a high-quality restaurant franchisor (quality 7.1, Piotroski 9/9) with 51.4% analyst-target upside, but collapsing momentum and heavy insider share disposals mean the engine says avoid for now.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Restaurant Franchise→Stable
  • Analyst Upside Favorable Asymmetry→Stable
  • Capitulation Momentum Failure↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 4, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. engages in franchising and operating fast casual, submarine-style sandwich restaurants specializing in authentic, hand-crafted, and craveable subs. The company also offers catering services, as well as provides mobile app, online ordering, and third-party... Read more

$16.76+46.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 30 Restaurants
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $15.59Analyst target $24.49(−10% haircut)A.R:R 5.2:1
Analyst consensus$27.21+62.4%23 analysts
$24.49Analyst target
$16.76price
$27.21mean
$40

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-24

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Analyst upside: 46%
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)21.6
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA17.6
Profit Mgn-0.1%
ROE—
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$13-25.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Macd
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5INSIDER 28.44%=EXTREMEA.R:R 5.2 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $15.96Resistance $18.82

Price Targets

$16
$24
A.Upside+46.1%
A.R:R5.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 28.44%=extreme

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for JMKE.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JMKE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $15.59. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JMKE stock price target?

Analyst target: $24.49 (+46.1% upside). Prior stop was $15.59. Stop-loss: $15.59.

What are the risks of investing in JMKE?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is JMKE overvalued or undervalued?

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JMKE?

30 analysts cover JMKE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. do?Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. engages in franchising and operating fast casual, submarine-style sandwich restaurants...

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. engages in franchising and operating fast casual, submarine-style sandwich restaurants specializing in authentic, hand-crafted, and craveable subs. The company also offers catering services, as well as provides mobile app, online ordering, and third-party delivery. It operates stores in the United States and Canada, as well as franchise agreements in the United Kingdom and Ireland. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Tinton Falls, New Jersey.

Related stocks: ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.) · YUM (Yum! Brands, Inc.) · WING (Wingstop Inc.) · QSR (Restaurant Brands International) · HDL (SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING )
Home › Stocks › JMKE

Latest news

Latest News

Investing.com59d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat59d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat59d ago
MarketBeat59d ago
Tradingview.com53d agoEarnings
MarketBeat53d ago
MarketBeat53d ago
MarketBeat58d ago
MarketBeat58d agoAnalyst
Morningstar57d ago
Finance.yahoo.com57d ago
Thestreet.com57d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance57d ago
Benzinga20h ago
Benzinga8d ago
Benzinga11d ago
Benzinga16d ago
Benzinga16d ago
Benzinga17d agoAnalyst
Benzinga25d agoAnalyst
Loading more...