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JMKEJersey Mike's Subs Inc.Sell5.8·$19.86
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Jersey Mike's is a high-quality restaurant franchisor (Piotroski 9/9) with 29.0% upside to the analyst target, but heavy insider selling of 2.08% of market cap, a bearish put/call ratio and a recent earnings miss argue for caution.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Balance Sheet→Stable
  • Analyst Target Upside→Stable
  • Heavy Insider Selling→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Sell if holding. At $19.86, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative news sentiment (-0.67).

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. engages in franchising and operating fast casual, submarine-style sandwich restaurants specializing in authentic, hand-crafted, and craveable subs. The company also offers catering services, as well as provides mobile app, online ordering, and third-party... Read more

$19.86+17.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 30 Restaurants
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $18.47Analyst target $23.40(−10% haircut)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst consensus$26.00+30.9%23 analysts with price targets
$23.40Analyst target
$19.86price
$26.00mean
$15
$40

Sell if holding. At $19.86, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative news sentiment (-0.67). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 108d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 10, 2026

Recent Developments — Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.

Latest item Nov 10, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-13T11:42:41Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Mar 1, 2027108d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Negative news sentiment (-0.67)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)26.0
Mkt Cap$6.3B
EV/EBITDA29.1
Profit Mgn5.6%
ROE—
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta—
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV82%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.1
Bollinger
2.2
52w Position
6.2
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 1.91%=EXTREMEMomentum 6.4>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 108d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $16.31Resistance $20.81

Price Targets

$18
$23
A.Upside+17.8%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 1.91%=extreme

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-03-01 (108d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JMKE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $19.86, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative news sentiment (-0.67). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $18.47. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JMKE stock price target?

Analyst target: $23.40 (+17.8% upside). Prior stop was $18.47. Stop-loss: $18.47.

What are the risks of investing in JMKE?

Negative news sentiment (-0.67).

Is JMKE overvalued or undervalued?

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 26.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JMKE?

30 analysts rate JMKE, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 23 analysts publish price targets averaging $26.

What does Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. do?Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. engages in franchising and operating fast casual, submarine-style sandwich restaurants...

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. engages in franchising and operating fast casual, submarine-style sandwich restaurants specializing in authentic, hand-crafted, and craveable subs. The company also offers catering services, as well as provides mobile app, online ordering, and third-party delivery. It operates stores in the United States and Canada, as well as franchise agreements in the United Kingdom and Ireland. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Tinton Falls, New Jersey.

Related stocks: ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.) · QSR (Restaurant Brands International) · FWRG (First Watch Restaurant Group, I) · BROS (Dutch Bros Inc.) · CAKE (The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor)
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