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QSRRestaurant Brands InternationalHold6.0·$76.29+0.85%
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Restaurant Brands International (QSR) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $76.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5.

We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K,... Read more

$76.29+1.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 20 Restaurants
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.78%
IncomeYield3.44%(5y avg 3.41%)Payout80.71%at-risk
Stop $72.91Target $77.33(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$85.92+12.6%26 analysts
$77.33our TP
$76.29price
$85.92mean
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $76.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.3
P/E (Fwd)17.0
Mkt Cap$34.5B
EV/EBITDA14.8
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE28.1%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.52
Dividend3.44%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.09bearish
IV35%normal
Max Pain$95+24.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.0
Bollinger
1.8
52w Position
8.6
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.99Resistance $76.90

Price Targets

$73
$77
A.Upside+1.4%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QSR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $76.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $77.33 (+1.4%), stop $72.91 (−4.6%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QSR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.33 (+1.4% upside). Target $77.33 (+1.4%), stop $72.91 (−4.6%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $72.91.

What are the risks of investing in QSR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5.

Is QSR overvalued or undervalued?

Restaurant Brands International trades at a P/E of 24.3 (forward 17.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about QSR?

18 analysts cover QSR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $86.

What does Restaurant Brands International do?We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual...

We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, over 95% of system-wide restaurants were franchised restaurants.

Related stocks: YUM (Yum! Brands, Inc.) · YUMC (Yum China Holdings, Inc.) · MCD (McDonald's Corporation) · EAT (Brinker International, Inc.) · CAVA (CAVA Group, Inc.)
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