Restaurant Brands International combines strong momentum, an excellent free cash flow conversion of 173%, and positive news sentiment, but two consecutive earnings misses averaging -51% negative surprise and a stock already near its analyst price target with only 2.2% upside mean the risk-reward is unfavorable at the current price.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Cash Conversion Growth→Stable
- Consecutive Earnings Miss Concern→Stable
- Thin Upside Poor Asymmetry→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Restaurant Brands International (QSR) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $77.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5.
We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K,... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $77.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-16Recent Developments — Restaurant Brands International
Latest news
- NEWS Your Restaurant Pricing Strategy Isn’t Working Anymore. Here’s What Is - QSR Magazine — QSR Magazine neutral
- NEWS Stock Prices Are a Mixed Bag for Major QSR Brands - franchisetimes.com — franchisetimes.com neutral
- NEWS Restaurant Brands International (QSR) Projected to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Analysts Offer Insights on Consumer Cyclical Companies: Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT), Restaurant Brands International — The Globe and Mail positive
- NEWS Are retail-wholesale stocks lagging Restaurant Brands International (QSR) this year? - MSN — MSN neutral
Generated 2026-08-16T21:17:09Z.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $77.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $74.24. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $89.29 (-0.7% upside). Prior stop was $74.24. Stop-loss: $74.24.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5.
Restaurant Brands International trades at a P/E of 19.5 (forward 17.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover QSR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $86.
What does Restaurant Brands International do?We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual...
We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, over 95% of system-wide restaurants were franchised restaurants.