Skip to main content

Restaurant Brands International (QSR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $80.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.8% away).

We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K,... Read more

$80.22-0.2% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#15 of 20 Restaurants
Stop $77.27Target $80.04(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$83.29+3.8%28 analysts
$80.04our TP
$80.22price
$83.29mean
$72
$96

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $80.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.8% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 3/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.8% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.9
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$35.9B
EV/EBITDA15.5
Profit Mgn8.2%
ROE24.0%
Rev Growth7.4%
Beta0.53
Dividend3.30%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV41%normal
Max Pain$38-53.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.3

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.5
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.67Resistance $81.67

Price Targets

$77
$80
A.Upside-0.2%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.5% upside)
! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QSR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $80.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.8% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $77.27. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the QSR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.04 (-0.2% upside). Prior stop was $77.27. Stop-loss: $77.27.

What are the risks of investing in QSR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.8% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5.

Is QSR overvalued or undervalued?

Restaurant Brands International trades at a P/E of 29.9 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QSR?

21 analysts cover QSR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $83.

What does Restaurant Brands International do?We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual...

We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, over 95% of system-wide restaurants were franchised restaurants.

Related stocks: YUMC (Yum China Holdings, Inc.) · YUM (Yum! Brands, Inc.) · WING (Wingstop Inc.) · BROS (Dutch Bros Inc.) · MCD (McDonald's Corporation)