Restaurant Brands International combines strong momentum, an excellent free cash flow conversion of 173%, and positive news sentiment, but two consecutive earnings misses averaging -51% negative surprise and a stock already near its analyst price target with only 2.2% upside mean the risk-reward is unfavorable at the current price.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Cash Conversion Growth↓Deteriorating
- Consecutive Earnings Miss Concern→Stable
- Thin Upside Poor Asymmetry→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026· older than 90 days
Restaurant Brands International (QSR) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.38 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away).
We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K,... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.38 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Oct 29, 2026Recent Developments — Restaurant Brands International
Latest news
- NEWS Restaurant Brands International Shares Fall After Q3 Results - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com Oct 29, 2026 negative
- NEWS Restaurant Brands Exec Says Popeyes' Return To Positive Same-Store Sales In H2 Will Take Longer Than Expected — benzinga Oct 29, 2026 negative
- NEWS Restaurant Brands Exec Says Co Sees Some Impact From Higher Gas Prices, Especially In Drive-Thru And Rural Market — benzinga Oct 29, 2026 negative
- NEWS Restaurant Brands International: Burger King Gains, But Tim Hortons Sags (NYSE:QSR) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha Oct 27, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Louisbourg Investments Inc. Sells 17,819 Shares of Restaurant Brands International Inc. $QSR - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Oct 21, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:31Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.38 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $74.34. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $76.79 reached (−2.0% from $78.38); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $74.34. Stop-loss: $74.34.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.4% away); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Restaurant Brands International trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts rate QSR, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 25 analysts publish price targets averaging $85.
What does Restaurant Brands International do?We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual...
We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, over 95% of system-wide restaurants were franchised restaurants.