Cheesecake Factory has a perfect four-quarter beat streak and strong growth, but the price is 15% above the analyst target, short interest is 40%, and momentum is weak.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- Price Above Target↓Deteriorating
- High Short Interest↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 23, 2026
The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor (CAKE) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $110.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated owns and operates 368 restaurants under four brands—The Cheesecake Factory (216), North Italia (48), Flower Child (43), and Fox Restaurant Concepts (55)—plus 35 internationally licensed locations as of February 23, 2026. Revenue comes from... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $110.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 105d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Oct 28, 2026Recent Developments — The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor
Latest news
- NEWS Joking aside, the Cheesecake Factory is seeing pretty good business - The Washington Post — The Washington Post Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS The Cheesecake Factory’s (NASDAQ:CAKE) Q3 2026 sales top estimates - TradingView — TradingView Oct 27, 2026 positive
- NEWS The Cheesecake Factory Delivers Q3 Print Above Expectations - Benzinga — Benzinga Oct 27, 2026 positive
- NEWS Cheesecake Factory, despite Obama’s gibe, is getting good reviews on Wall Street - The Washington Post — The Washington Post Oct 27, 2026 positive
- NEWS Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Stock May Be Pricey Following Its 288% Run - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 25, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:59:35Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $110.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $102.50. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $95.64 reached (−13.2% from $110.22); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $102.50. Stop-loss: $102.50.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor trades at a P/E of 26.1 (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts rate CAKE, with a consensus score of 3.6/5. 15 analysts publish price targets averaging $106.
What does The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor do?The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated owns and operates 368 restaurants under four brands—The Cheesecake Factory (216),...
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated owns and operates 368 restaurants under four brands—The Cheesecake Factory (216), North Italia (48), Flower Child (43), and Fox Restaurant Concepts (55)—plus 35 internationally licensed locations as of February 23, 2026. Revenue comes from full-service dine-in and off-premise dining; average check at The Cheesecake Factory was approximately $31.79 in fiscal 2025, with average sales of ~$12.4 million per location.