The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor (CAKE) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.96 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: bakery facilities.
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates 368 restaurants across the US and Canada under The Cheesecake Factory (216), North Italia (48), Flower Child (43), and other Fox Restaurant Concepts brands. Revenue is generated from restaurant sales; a bakery division supplies desserts... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.96 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: bakery facilities. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierbakery facilities10-K Item 1A: 'our bakery facilities are the only sources of most of our baked desserts to our restaurants'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.96 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: bakery facilities. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $58.70. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $64.14 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $58.70. Stop-loss: $58.70.
Concentration risk — Supplier: bakery facilities; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor trades at a P/E of 20.5 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover CAKE with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $64.
What does The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor do?Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates 368 restaurants across the US and Canada under The Cheesecake Factory (216),...
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates 368 restaurants across the US and Canada under The Cheesecake Factory (216), North Italia (48), Flower Child (43), and other Fox Restaurant Concepts brands. Revenue is generated from restaurant sales; a bakery division supplies desserts to restaurants and third-party customers.