CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $125.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).
CF Industries is a nitrogen fertilizer manufacturer operating the world's largest ammonia production network, with facilities in the US (6 plants), Canada (2), and the UK (1). Revenue of $7.08B in 2025 came from selling ammonia, granular urea, UAN, AN, and industrial nitrogen... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $125.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSuppliernatural gas pipeline (single-source)10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our plants are reliant on only one natural gas pipeline'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $125.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $136.65 (+9.1%), stop $116.26 (−7.7%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $136.65 (+9.3% upside). Target $136.65 (+9.1%), stop $116.26 (−7.7%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $116.26.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Earnings estimates trending DOWN.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.
30 analysts cover CF with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $120.
What does CF Industries Holdings, Inc. do?CF Industries is a nitrogen fertilizer manufacturer operating the world's largest ammonia production network, with...
CF Industries is a nitrogen fertilizer manufacturer operating the world's largest ammonia production network, with facilities in the US (6 plants), Canada (2), and the UK (1). Revenue of $7.08B in 2025 came from selling ammonia, granular urea, UAN, AN, and industrial nitrogen products to cooperatives, retailers, distributors, and industrial users.