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Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $70.42. BUY gates pass at $75.84, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and earnings in 6 days (event risk) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $70.42 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Nutrien Ltd. provides crop inputs and services. The company operates through four segments: Retail, Potash, Nitrogen, and Phosphate. The Retail segment markets crop nutrients, crop protection products, seed, and merchandise, as well as provides agronomic application and... Read more

$75.84+8.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#2 of 8 Agricultural Inputs
Entry $70.42(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $66.71Target $76.52(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1Setup A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$80.08+5.6%20 analysts
$76.52our TP
$75.84price
$80.08mean
$61
$96

Wait for pullback to $70.42. BUY gates pass at $75.84, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and earnings in 6 days (event risk) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $70.42 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(5), semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.86)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.9
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$35.7B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE9.2%
Rev Growth5.7%
Beta1.11
Dividend2.97%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.9
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.35NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(5)SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.31Resistance $78.08

Price Targets

$67
$70
$77
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R-0.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.8% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $70.42. BUY gates pass at $75.84, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and earnings in 6 days (event risk) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $70.42 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $76.52 (+0.9%), stop $66.71 (−13.7%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.52 (+8.9% upside). Target $76.52 (+0.9%), stop $66.71 (−13.7%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $66.71.

What are the risks of investing in NTR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Weak growth.

Is NTR overvalued or undervalued?

Nutrien Ltd. trades at a P/E of 15.9 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NTR?

27 analysts cover NTR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $80.

What does Nutrien Ltd. do?Nutrien Ltd. provides crop inputs and services. The company operates through four segments: Retail, Potash, Nitrogen,...

Nutrien Ltd. provides crop inputs and services. The company operates through four segments: Retail, Potash, Nitrogen, and Phosphate. The Retail segment markets crop nutrients, crop protection products, seed, and merchandise, as well as provides agronomic application and financing services and solutions; and produces proprietary products, including proprietary crop nutrient, crop protection, and seed products. The Potash segment includes mining and processing of potash. The Nitrogen segment owns and operates ammonia production facilities that offers ammonia, urea, ammonium nitrate (UAN), urea solutions, nitric acid, and ammonium nitrate, as well as environmentally smart nitrogen and ammonium sulfate. The Phosphate segment manufactures and sells solid and liquid phosphate fertilizers, phosphate feed, and purified phosphoric acid, which is used in feed and industrial products. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

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