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Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.08 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and contributing to a healthier, more secure and sustainable food supply. Corteva was incorporated in Delaware in March 2018 and maintains its business headquarters in... Read more

$81.08+1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#5 of 8 Agricultural Inputs
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.69%
IncomeYield0.88%(5y avg 1.07%)Payout38.38%sustainable
Stop $77.08Target $82.63(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$89.38+10.2%21 analysts
$82.63our TP
$81.08price
$89.38mean
$77
$100

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.08 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Corteva, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.4
P/E (Fwd)20.1
Mkt Cap$55.0B
EV/EBITDA13.7
Profit Mgn6.5%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth11.0%
Beta0.59
Dividend0.88%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Corteva, Inc. (the "Company") previously announced on October 1, 2025 its intent to separate its seed business ("SpinCo") from its remaining crop protection business ("New Corteva") into two independent, publicly traded companies through a tax-free spin-off (the "spin-off).
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
4.6
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $78.36Resistance $84.32

Price Targets

$77
$83
A.Upside+1.9%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.8% upside)
! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.08 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $77.08. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.63 (+1.9% upside). Prior stop was $77.08. Stop-loss: $77.08.

What are the risks of investing in CTVA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is CTVA overvalued or undervalued?

Corteva, Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.4 (forward 20.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTVA?

30 analysts cover CTVA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $89.

What does Corteva, Inc. do?Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and...

Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and contributing to a healthier, more secure and sustainable food supply. Corteva was incorporated in Delaware in March 2018 and maintains its business headquarters in Indianapolis, Indiana.

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