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CTVACorteva, Inc.Sell5.2·$12.26
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A three-quarter earnings beat streak and exceptional free-cash-flow quality underpin the fundamental case, but 7% upside to the analyst target and momentum sitting just below the required threshold leave this name in a hold posture rather than a compelling add.

Thesis pillars

  • Technical Pullback In Uptrend↑Improving
  • Constrained Upside To Target↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Beat Discipline↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Sector Rotation edge

SellValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-11). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $12.26: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and contributing to a healthier, more secure and sustainable food supply. Corteva was incorporated in Delaware in March 2018 and maintains its business headquarters in... Read more

$12.26+21.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#7 of 9 Agricultural Inputs
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield5.87%(5y avg 1.05%)Payout44.44%sustainable
Stop $11.40Analyst target $14.90(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst consensus$17.13+39.7%13 analysts with price targets
$14.90Analyst target
$12.26price
$17.13mean
$20

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $12.26: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 23, 2026

Recent Developments — Corteva, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Oct 7, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: | Departure of Directors and Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment and Resignation of Directors Appointment and Resignation of Directors In connection with the Separation, Charles V.

Latest item Oct 23, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 60%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.6
P/E (Fwd)10.9
Mkt Cap$8.2B
EV/EBITDA16.6
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE—
Rev Growth-1.2%
Beta—
Dividend5.87%
Analysts with ratings29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C2.75bearish
IV64%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-10-07Item 5.02MEDIUM
    | Departure of Directors and Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment and Resignation of Directors Appointment and Resignation of Directors In connection with the Separation, Charles V.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.5
Growth Rank
3.3
Value Rank
6.0
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.4>=5.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.24Resistance $14.47

Price Targets

$11
$15
A.Upside+21.5%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $12.26: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Prior stop was $11.40. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTVA stock price target?

Analyst target: $14.90 (+21.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.40. Stop-loss: $11.40.

What are the risks of investing in CTVA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is CTVA overvalued or undervalued?

Corteva, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.6 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTVA?

29 analysts rate CTVA, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $17.

What does Corteva, Inc. do?Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and...

Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and contributing to a healthier, more secure and sustainable food supply. Corteva was incorporated in Delaware in March 2018 and maintains its business headquarters in Indianapolis, Indiana.

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