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ICL Group Ltd. (ICL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.43: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

ICL Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Growing Solutions. The Industrial Products segment produces bromine out... Read more

$5.43+2.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#3 of 8 Agricultural Inputs
Stop $5.11Target $5.57(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$5.72+5.4%4 analysts
$5.57our TP
$5.43price
$5.72mean
$6

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.43: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-10.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 4.0), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.6
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn3.2%
ROE4.6%
Rev Growth6.2%
Beta0.94
Dividend3.37%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
1.5
Net Margin
1.6
Gross Margin
2.1
Roa
2.5
Operating Margin
2.5
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -18% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.9
Support Resistance
4.5
52w Position
5.1
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.13Resistance $5.68

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 4.0), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-13 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ICL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.43: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $5.11. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ICL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.57 (+2.5% upside). Prior stop was $5.11. Stop-loss: $5.11.

What are the risks of investing in ICL?

Target reached (-10.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 4.0), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.05% of cap).

Is ICL overvalued or undervalued?

ICL Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of 29.6 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ICL?

8 analysts cover ICL with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $6.

What does ICL Group Ltd. do?ICL Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide. The...

ICL Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Growing Solutions. The Industrial Products segment produces bromine out of a solution that is a by-product of the potash production process, as well as bromine-based compounds; sells various grades of potash, salt, magnesium chloride, and magnesia products; and produces and markets phosphorous-based flame retardants and other phosphorus-based products. The Potash segment produces and sells potash, salt, magnesium, electricity, and magnesium alloys; as well as chlorine and sylvinite. The Phosphate segment uses phosphate commodity products to produce specialty products; sells phosphate-based fertilizers, as well as sulphuric and green phosphoric acid, and phosphate fertilizers; and offers phosphate salts and acids. It also develops and produces functional food ingredients and phosphate additives. The Growing Solutions segment develops, manufactures, markets, and sells fertilizers based primarily on nitrogen, potash, and phosphate, including water-soluble specialty, and controlled-release fertilizers, as well as secondary nutrients, bio-stimulants, soil conditioners, seed treatment products, and adjuvants. It also offers digital platforms and technological solutions for farmers and agronomists. The company serves pharmaceutical, food, oil and gas, de-icing, building and construction, oral care, paints and coatings, energy storage, water treatment, electronics, automotive, agriculture, textiles, tire manufacturing, and healthcare industries, as well as power plants and battery producers. It sells its products through marketing companies, agents, and distributors. The company was formerly known as Israel Chemicals Ltd. and changed its name to ICL Group Ltd in May 2020. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

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