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REYNReynolds Consumer Products Inc.Sell5.6·$21.85+0.09%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Reynolds Consumer Products offers an attractively valued packaging franchise with a PEG ratio of 0.15 and consistent earnings beats, but the stock has already reached and slightly exceeded analyst price targets while carrying 16% short interest, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Discount To GrowthImproving
  • Balance Sheet Financial HealthStable
  • Earnings Beat MomentumStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (REYN) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. At $21.85, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Reynolds Consumer Products manufactures and sells household products under the Reynolds and Hefty brands, including aluminum foil, trash bags, disposable tableware, and food storage bags, across four segments generating $3.72 billion in net revenues in fiscal 2025. Revenue comes... Read more

$21.85+8.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#10 of 19 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.30%
IncomeYield4.21%(5y avg 3.45%)Payout56.44%sustainable
Stop $21.09Target $23.61(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$27.14+24.2%7 analysts
$23.61our TP
$21.85price
$27.14mean
$30

Sell if holding. At $21.85, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 8, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.1%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.4
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE15.4%
Rev Growth0.6%
Beta0.53
Dividend4.21%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.33bearish
IV96%elevated
Max Pain$15-31.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
7.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 8, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
8 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.74Resistance $26.36

Price Targets

$21
$24
A.Upside+8.1%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REYN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $21.85, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 8, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $21.09. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the REYN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.61 (+8.1% upside). Prior stop was $21.09. Stop-loss: $21.09.

What are the risks of investing in REYN?

Thin upside margin: 8.1%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is REYN overvalued or undervalued?

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.4 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about REYN?

13 analysts cover REYN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. do?Reynolds Consumer Products manufactures and sells household products under the Reynolds and Hefty brands, including...

Reynolds Consumer Products manufactures and sells household products under the Reynolds and Hefty brands, including aluminum foil, trash bags, disposable tableware, and food storage bags, across four segments generating $3.72 billion in net revenues in fiscal 2025. Revenue comes primarily from retail sales to large U.S. retailers, with three customers accounting for 59% of total revenue and the top ten customers representing 74%.

Related stocks: CCK (Crown Holdings, Inc.) · MYE (Myers Industries, Inc.) · SLGN (Silgan Holdings Inc.) · AMBP (Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.) · AMCR (Amcor plc)
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