Skip to main content
REYNReynolds Consumer Products Inc.Sell5.7·$22.53
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Reynolds Consumer Products offers an attractively valued packaging franchise with a PEG ratio of 0.15 and consistent earnings beats, but the stock has already reached and slightly exceeded analyst price targets while carrying 16% short interest, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Discount To Growth→Stable
  • Balance Sheet Financial Health→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Momentum↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (REYN) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. At $22.53, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Reynolds Consumer Products manufactures and sells household products under the Reynolds and Hefty brands, including aluminum foil, trash bags, disposable tableware, and food storage bags, across four segments generating $3.72 billion in net revenues in fiscal 2025. Revenue comes... Read more

$22.53+4.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#10 of 18 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.25%
IncomeYield4.17%(5y avg 3.45%)Payout56.10%sustainable
Stop $21.61Target $23.61(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$27.14+20.5%7 analysts
$23.61our TP
$22.53price
$27.14mean
$30

Sell if holding. At $22.53, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.8%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.5
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE15.4%
Rev Growth0.6%
Beta0.54
Dividend4.17%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C4.00bearish
IV201%elevated
Max Pain$15-33.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
1.9
52w Position
6.6
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.40Resistance $22.80

Price Targets

$22
$24
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REYN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $22.53, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $21.61. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

What is the REYN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.61 (+4.8% upside). Prior stop was $21.61. Stop-loss: $21.61.

What are the risks of investing in REYN?

Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is REYN overvalued or undervalued?

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.5 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about REYN?

13 analysts cover REYN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. do?Reynolds Consumer Products manufactures and sells household products under the Reynolds and Hefty brands, including...

Reynolds Consumer Products manufactures and sells household products under the Reynolds and Hefty brands, including aluminum foil, trash bags, disposable tableware, and food storage bags, across four segments generating $3.72 billion in net revenues in fiscal 2025. Revenue comes primarily from retail sales to large U.S. retailers, with three customers accounting for 59% of total revenue and the top ten customers representing 74%.

Related stocks: CCK (Crown Holdings, Inc.) · AMCR (Amcor plc) · MYE (Myers Industries, Inc.) · AMBP (Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.) · SLGN (Silgan Holdings Inc.)
Home › Stocks › REYN

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance78d ago
Seeking Alpha78d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance78d ago
MarketBeat78d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com78d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com78d agoEarnings
MarketBeat169d ago
MSN169d agoEarnings
Investing.com169d ago
StockStory169d agoEarnings
MarketBeat169d agoEarnings
MarketBeat85d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail85d agoAnalyst
Marketscreener.com162d agoEarnings
Investing.com162d ago
KING5.com162d agoEarnings
KTVB162d agoEarnings
WKYC162d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail79d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance79d agoEarnings
Loading more...