Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $169.24 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Elevated risk factors.
Boot Barn is the largest lifestyle retail chain for western and work-related footwear in the US with 459 stores in 49 states as of March 2025, targeting western enthusiasts and work-wear customers. Revenue comes from retail sales of boots, apparel, and accessories at... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $169.24 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia, Texas10-K Item 1A: 'Our financial performance is also particularly susceptible to economic and other conditions in California, Texas and other states where we have a significant number of stores'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $169.24 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $156.60. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $206.31 (+22.5% upside). Prior stop was $156.60. Stop-loss: $156.60.
Consecutive earnings misses (2); Elevated risk factors; Below 200-day MA.
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.4 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover BOOT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $237.
What does Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. do?Boot Barn is the largest lifestyle retail chain for western and work-related footwear in the US with 459 stores in 49...
Boot Barn is the largest lifestyle retail chain for western and work-related footwear in the US with 459 stores in 49 states as of March 2025, targeting western enthusiasts and work-wear customers. Revenue comes from retail sales of boots, apparel, and accessories at brick-and-mortar stores and e-commerce.