Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Boot Barn is the largest US lifestyle retailer of western and work-related footwear, apparel, and accessories, operating 459 stores in 49 states as of March 2025 with a stated potential of 900 stores. Revenue is driven by store sales and e-commerce (~10.5% of net sales)... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/10 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, news boost analyst cluster(9), earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- Craig-Hallum Maintains Boot Barn Holdings(BOOT.US) With Buy Rating, Announces Target Price $220 - Moomoo — Moomoo neutral
- Boot Barn: I Might Dip My Toes In Later This Year (Rating Upgrade) (NYSE:BOOT) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- TD Cowen Maintains Boot Barn Holdings(BOOT.US) With Buy Rating, Maintains Target Price $225 - Moomoo — Moomoo positive
- Torrid, Victoria's Secret, Boot Barn, America's Car-Mart, and Shoe Carnival Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know - S — StockStory negative
- Torrid, Victoria's Secret, Boot Barn, America's Car-Mart, and Shoe Carnival Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know - T — TradingView negative
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia, Texas10-K Item 1A: 'Our financial performance is also particularly susceptible to economic and other conditions in California, Texas and other states where we have a significant number of stores'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $197.42 (+39.5%), stop $133.40 (−6.1%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $197.42 (+39.5% upside). Target $197.42 (+39.5%), stop $133.40 (−6.1%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Stop-loss: $133.40.
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.
23 analysts cover BOOT with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $227.
What does Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. do?Boot Barn is the largest US lifestyle retailer of western and work-related footwear, apparel, and accessories,...
Boot Barn is the largest US lifestyle retailer of western and work-related footwear, apparel, and accessories, operating 459 stores in 49 states as of March 2025 with a stated potential of 900 stores. Revenue is driven by store sales and e-commerce (~10.5% of net sales) targeting western enthusiasts, agricultural workers, and construction trades. Exclusive brands (Cody James, Shyanne) carry higher margins than third-party brands.