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Carter's, Inc. (CRI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.74 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

Carter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Retail, U.S. Wholesale, and International. The company's products include babies and young... Read more

$35.74+8.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.28%
IncomeYield2.82%(5y avg 4.32%)Payout40.16%sustainable
Stop $33.24Target $38.71(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$40.67+13.8%6 analysts
$38.71our TP
$35.74price
$40.67mean
$30
$53

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.74 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Carter's, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.3
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta0.85
Dividend2.82%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.18bearish
IV53%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 66d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.16Resistance $39.50

Price Targets

$33
$39
A.Upside+8.3%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (66d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.74 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $33.24. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

What is the CRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.71 (+8.3% upside). Prior stop was $33.24. Stop-loss: $33.24.

What are the risks of investing in CRI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is CRI overvalued or undervalued?

Carter's, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.3 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRI?

14 analysts cover CRI with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Carter's, Inc. do?Carter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear in the United...

Carter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Retail, U.S. Wholesale, and International. The company's products include babies and young children's products, such as bodysuits, layette essentials, sleep and play, pants, tops and t-shirts, multipiece sets, dresses, and sleepwear; and playclothes, such as denim jeans, overalls, core bottoms, knit tops, t-shirts, and layering pieces. It also provides products for playtime, travel, mealtime, bath time, and home gear, as well as kid's and diaper bags, as well as range of licensed sports and character t-shirts. In addition, the company offers sleepwear, swimwear, outerwear, bedding, accessories, and toys; and toddler apparel and accessories. It sells its products through its retail stores, websites, and mobile app, as well as its wholesale distribution; and distributes its products to wholesale customers, including department stores, national chains, and specialty retailers. The company markets its products under the Carter's, OshKosh B'gosh, Skip Hop, Child of Mine, Just One You, Simple Joys, Little Planet, Otter Avenue, and other brands. Carter's, Inc. was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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