Skip to main content
URBNUrban Outfitters, Inc.Hold6.2·$87.40
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Urban Outfitters has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of its last quarters with an average surprise of 10.6%, and the stock sits in a technical uptrend with positive price momentum, but the current price is essentially at the analyst consensus target with no meaningful upside remaining.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Analyst Ceiling↓Deteriorating
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Technical Momentum Uptrend↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $87.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away).

We are a leading lifestyle products and services company which operates a portfolio of global consumer brands including the Anthropologie, Free People, FP Movement, Urban Outfitters and Nuuly brands. As used in this document, unless otherwise defined, "Anthropologie" refers to... Read more

$87.40-11.0% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#4 of 15 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.30%
Stop $82.38Target $100.51(default +15%)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$89.43+2.3%14 analysts
$100.51our TP
$87.40price
$89.43mean
$75
$111

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $87.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 25, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.7% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7
P/E (Fwd)12.6
Mkt Cap$7.5B
EV/EBITDA10.3
Profit Mgn8.8%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth10.4%
Beta1.24
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.87neutral
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$55-37.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.5
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
87 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $73.62Resistance $88.06

Price Targets

$82
$101
A.Upside-11.0%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.0% upside)
! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-25 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is URBN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $87.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $100.51 (+15.0%), stop $82.38 (−6.1%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the URBN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $100.51 (-11.0% upside). Target $100.51 (+15.0%), stop $82.38 (−6.1%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $82.38.

What are the risks of investing in URBN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5).

Is URBN overvalued or undervalued?

Urban Outfitters, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about URBN?

21 analysts cover URBN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $89.

What does Urban Outfitters, Inc. do?We are a leading lifestyle products and services company which operates a portfolio of global consumer brands including...

We are a leading lifestyle products and services company which operates a portfolio of global consumer brands including the Anthropologie, Free People, FP Movement, Urban Outfitters and Nuuly brands. As used in this document, unless otherwise defined, "Anthropologie" refers to our Anthropologie, Terrain and Maeve brands and "Free People" refers to our Free People and FP Movement brands.

Related stocks: ANF (Abercrombie & Fitch Company) · BOOT (Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.) · REF (Reformation Inc.) · BKE (Buckle, Inc. (The)) · CRI (Carter's, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › URBN

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus51d ago
CNBC51d ago
StockStory51d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative51d agoEarnings
The Motley Fool51d ago
Yahoo Finance51d ago
Yahoo Finance51d ago
MarketBeat51d ago
MarketBeat51d ago
MarketBeat51d ago
CNN51d ago
TradingView114d ago
TradingView114d ago
MarketBeat114d agoEarnings
TechStock²149d agoEarnings
StockStory149d ago
Quiver Quantitative149d ago
MSN149d ago
TradingView58d agoEarnings
Schaeffer's Investment Research58d agoEarnings
Loading more...