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Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-20). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $66.15. At $68.35 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $66.15 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

We are a leading lifestyle products and services company which operates a portfolio of global consumer brands including the Anthropologie, Free People, FP Movement, Urban Outfitters and Nuuly brands. As used in this document, unless otherwise defined, "Anthropologie" refers to... Read more

$68.35+8.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#11 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.50%
Entry $66.15(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $60.97Target $71.70(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$82.42+20.6%12 analysts
$71.70our TP
$68.35price
$82.42mean
$102

Wait for pullback to $66.15. At $68.35 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $66.15 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Val7.3Qual5.2Grw2.5Mom3.7Sent6.6Ins3.9Peer4.8Tech6.4Risk4.65.1OVERALL

Recent Developments — Urban Outfitters, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.5%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.6
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE17.6%
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta1.23
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV91%elevated
Max Pain$61-10.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $64.73Resistance $75.43

Price Targets

$61
$66
$72
A.Upside+4.9%
A.R:R0.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-20 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is URBN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $66.15. At $68.35 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $66.15 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $71.70 (+4.9%), stop $60.97 (−12.1%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the URBN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $71.70 (+8.6% upside). Target $71.70 (+4.9%), stop $60.97 (−12.1%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $60.97.

What are the risks of investing in URBN?

Thin upside margin: 4.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is URBN overvalued or undervalued?

Urban Outfitters, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.6 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about URBN?

20 analysts cover URBN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $82.

What does Urban Outfitters, Inc. do?We are a leading lifestyle products and services company which operates a portfolio of global consumer brands including...

We are a leading lifestyle products and services company which operates a portfolio of global consumer brands including the Anthropologie, Free People, FP Movement, Urban Outfitters and Nuuly brands. As used in this document, unless otherwise defined, "Anthropologie" refers to our Anthropologie, Terrain and Maeve brands and "Free People" refers to our Free People and FP Movement brands.

Related stocks: VSCO (Victorias Secret & Co.) · CRI (Carter's, Inc.) · AEO (American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.) · BOOT (Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.) · ANF (Abercrombie & Fitch Company)