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REFReformation Inc.Hold5.9·$18.13
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Reformation is a fast-growing apparel retailer with perfect financial-health scores and strong momentum, but the price is already above the analyst target and the latest quarter missed badly.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth↓Deteriorating
  • Top Tier Financial Health↓Deteriorating
  • Price Above Analyst Target↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 8, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Reformation Inc. (REF) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors.

Reformation Inc. manufactures and sells sustainable women's clothing and accessories in the United States and Internationally. It offers dresses, tops, pants, skirts, shorts, jeans, sweaters, shoes, jumpsuits, two-piece sets, outerwear, sleep and loungewear, swimwear, and... Read more

$18.13-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#7 of 15 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $16.86Analyst target $17.84(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$20.50+13.1%8 analysts with price targets
$18.13price
$20.50mean
$16
$26

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 108d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 12, 2026

Recent Developments — Reformation Inc.

Latest item Nov 12, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-13T11:42:41Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Mar 1, 2027108d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)201.4
P/E (Fwd)23.5
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA126.9
Profit Mgn0.9%
ROE—
Rev Growth19.1%
Beta—
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV84%elevated
Max Pain$13-31.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)INSIDER 0.27%=MODERATEMomentum 4.9>=4.5No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 108d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $13.54Resistance $20.55

Price Targets

A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.6% upside)
! News modifier suppressed: positive news (+1) cannot lift HOLD to buy-class with analyst upside -1.6% (lift floor +1.5%)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-03-01 (108d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $17.84 reached (−1.6%), stop $16.86 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the REF stock price target?

Analyst target $17.84 reached (−1.6% from $18.13); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $17.84 reached (−1.6%), stop $16.86 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $16.86.

What are the risks of investing in REF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors.

Is REF overvalued or undervalued?

Reformation Inc. trades at a P/E of 201.4 (forward 23.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about REF?

13 analysts rate REF, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 8 analysts publish price targets averaging $21.

What does Reformation Inc. do?Reformation Inc. manufactures and sells sustainable women's clothing and accessories in the United States and...

Reformation Inc. manufactures and sells sustainable women's clothing and accessories in the United States and Internationally. It offers dresses, tops, pants, skirts, shorts, jeans, sweaters, shoes, jumpsuits, two-piece sets, outerwear, sleep and loungewear, swimwear, and accessories. The company also offers wedding collection. It retails its product through website, online channels, and stores, well as through wholesalers and other channels. The company was formerly known as REF Topco, Inc. and changed its name to Reformation Inc. in April 2025. Reformation Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Vernon, California.

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