Gap, Inc. (The) (GAP) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the GAP stock price target?

Take-profit $27.51 (+12.5% upside). Target $27.51 (+12.5%), stop $23.26 (−5.2%), A.R:R 1.7:1.

Q: Is GAP overvalued or undervalued?

Gap, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about GAP?

24 analysts cover GAP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $31.

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Gap Inc. operates Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta brands with 2,474 company-operated stores and approximately 1,000 franchise locations globally. Revenue is generated from omni-channel apparel retail; almost all products are manufactured by independent vendors... Read more

$24.46+12.5% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#10 of 12 Apparel Retail

Stop $23.26Target $27.51(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.7:1

Analyst target$30.56+25.0%17 analysts

$27.51our TP

$24.46price

$30.56mean

$23

$41

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)

Earnings estimates trending UP

Attractive valuation

Risks

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5

Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.4

P/E (Fwd)9.3

Mkt Cap$8.9B

EV/EBITDA7.3

Profit Mgn5.3%

ROE23.1%

Rev Growth2.1%

Beta2.25

Dividend2.89%

Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral

IV61%elevated

Max Pain$13-46.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMGeographicVietnam27%
10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 27 percent and approximately 21 percent of our merchandise, by dollar value, was purchased from factories in Vietnam and Indonesia, respectively'
LOWGeographicIndonesia21%
10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 27 percent and approximately 21 percent of our merchandise, by dollar value, was purchased from factories in Vietnam and Indonesia, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.615%1.14

Quality5.115%0.76

Growth1.515%0.22

Momentum2.610%0.26

Sentiment7.210%0.72

Insider Activity3.410%0.34

Peer Rank4.210%0.42

Technical Setup7.85%0.39

Risk Profile4.55%0.23

Catalyst7.35%0.36

Overall (Σ contributions)4.85

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth

0.0

Revenue Growth

3.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Macd

0.1

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

7.8

Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

37 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.98Resistance $27.95

Price Targets

$23

$28

A.Upside+12.5%

A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-28 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is GAP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $27.51 (+12.5%), stop $23.26 (−5.2%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GAP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.51 (+12.5% upside). Target $27.51 (+12.5%), stop $23.26 (−5.2%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $23.26.

What are the risks of investing in GAP?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth.

Is GAP overvalued or undervalued?

Gap, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GAP?

24 analysts cover GAP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Gap, Inc. (The) do?Gap Inc. operates Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta brands with 2,474 company-operated stores and...