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ANFAbercrombie & Fitch CompanyHold6.2·$157.51
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Abercrombie & Fitch is a high-quality, cheaply valued apparel retailer (forward P/E 12.7x, ROE 41%) with a perfect earnings beat streak and strong momentum, but the price of $164.44 already exceeds the $144.26 analyst target.

Thesis pillars

  • High Returns Quality Business→Stable
  • Strong Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation Low Peg↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $157.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829 company-owned and 60 franchise stores globally plus digital channels. Merchandise is sourced from approximately 124 vendors in 15 countries, with 37% from Vietnam and... Read more

$157.51-8.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#4 of 15 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.52%
Stop $146.48Analyst target $144.26(reached)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst consensus$165.82+5.3%11 analysts with price targets
$157.51price
$165.82mean
$134
$185

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $157.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Aug 19, 2026

Recent Developments — Abercrombie & Fitch Company

Latest item Aug 19, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:34:30Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 24, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.6
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$6.7B
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE40.6%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta0.98
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.51bullish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierVietnam vendors37%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively'
  • MEDIUMSupplierCambodia vendors26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $137.72Resistance $169.24

Price Targets

A.Upside-8.4%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.4% upside)
! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-24 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $157.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $144.26 reached (−8.4%), stop $146.48 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANF stock price target?

Analyst target $144.26 reached (−8.4% from $157.51); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $144.26 reached (−8.4%), stop $146.48 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $146.48.

What are the risks of investing in ANF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is ANF overvalued or undervalued?

Abercrombie & Fitch Company trades at a P/E of 13.6 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ANF?

20 analysts rate ANF, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 11 analysts publish price targets averaging $166.

What does Abercrombie & Fitch Company do?Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829...

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829 company-owned and 60 franchise stores globally plus digital channels. Merchandise is sourced from approximately 124 vendors in 15 countries, with 37% from Vietnam and 26% from Cambodia in Fiscal 2025.

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