Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $84.48 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam and Cambodia vendors; Weak growth.
Abercrombie & Fitch is a global specialty retailer operating 829 company-owned stores across Americas, EMEA, and APAC segments under Abercrombie and Hollister brands, with strong digital channels. Revenue comes from store and digital apparel sales; approximately 37% and 26% of... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $84.48 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam and Cambodia vendors; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierVietnam and Cambodia vendors10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $84.48 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam and Cambodia vendors; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $80.41. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $103.62 (+22.7% upside). Prior stop was $80.41. Stop-loss: $80.41.
Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam and Cambodia vendors; Weak growth; Negative momentum.
Abercrombie & Fitch Company trades at a P/E of 8.0 (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover ANF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $119.
What does Abercrombie & Fitch Company do?Abercrombie & Fitch is a global specialty retailer operating 829 company-owned stores across Americas, EMEA, and APAC...
Abercrombie & Fitch is a global specialty retailer operating 829 company-owned stores across Americas, EMEA, and APAC segments under Abercrombie and Hollister brands, with strong digital channels. Revenue comes from store and digital apparel sales; approximately 37% and 26% of merchandise receipts in Fiscal 2025 came from vendors in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively.