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ANFAbercrombie & Fitch CompanySell6.6·$151.99
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Abercrombie & Fitch combines an attractively priced forward multiple of 7.7x with a solid Piotroski score and three consecutive earnings beats, but the risk/reward at current prices is unfavorable, the stock is overbought near-term, and free cash flow covers only 57% of reported net income.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak With Inline Caveat↑Improving
  • Attractive Valuation Peer Relative↓Deteriorating
  • Free Cash Flow Quality Gap→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $151.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away).

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829 company-owned and 60 franchise stores globally plus digital channels. Merchandise is sourced from approximately 124 vendors in 15 countries, with 37% from Vietnam and... Read more

$151.99-6.4% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 15 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.86%
Stop $142.01Target $174.79(default +15%)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$163.55+7.6%11 analysts
$174.79our TP
$151.99price
$163.55mean
$134
$185

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $151.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 25, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.1% away)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.0
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$6.4B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE40.6%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta1.01
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierVietnam vendors37%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively'
  • MEDIUMSupplierCambodia vendors26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
79 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $130.81Resistance $156.72

Price Targets

$142
$175
A.Upside-6.4%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-25 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $151.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $142.01. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $174.79 (-6.4% upside). Prior stop was $142.01. Stop-loss: $142.01.

What are the risks of investing in ANF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.1% away); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is ANF overvalued or undervalued?

Abercrombie & Fitch Company trades at a P/E of 13.0 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ANF?

19 analysts cover ANF with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $164.

What does Abercrombie & Fitch Company do?Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829...

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829 company-owned and 60 franchise stores globally plus digital channels. Merchandise is sourced from approximately 124 vendors in 15 countries, with 37% from Vietnam and 26% from Cambodia in Fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: BOOT (Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.) · URBN (Urban Outfitters, Inc.) · REF (Reformation Inc.) · BKE (Buckle, Inc. (The)) · CRI (Carter's, Inc.)
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