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Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Wait for pullback to $71.28. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $72.14. Engine's entry $71.28 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak growth.

Abercrombie & Fitch is a global digitally-led omnichannel apparel retailer operating Abercrombie and Hollister brands across three geographic segments (Americas, EMEA, APAC) with 829 company-owned stores in 37 countries. Revenue is generated through Company-owned stores, digital... Read more

$72.14+40.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.16%
Entry $71.28(support + ATR)Stop $67.61Target $99.96(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.4:1Setup A.R:R 7.9:1
Analyst target$114.90+59.3%10 analysts
$99.96our TP
$72.14price
$114.90mean
$149

Wait for pullback to $71.28. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $72.14. Engine's entry $71.28 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Deep value: 54% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. | Falling knife (FK=6.5): wait for stabilization. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.5Qual6.9Grw3.2Mom3.3Sent7.4Ins5.0Peer5.4Tech5.9Risk5.25.8OVERALL

Recent Developments — Abercrombie & Fitch Company

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 54%
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.9
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA4.4
Profit Mgn9.6%
ROE37.2%
Rev Growth5.4%
Beta0.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV96%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierVietnam37%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierCambodia26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
3.8

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
2.1
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 22, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
22 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $69.70Resistance $95.79

Price Targets

$68
$71
$100
A.Upside+38.6%
A.R:R4.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)7.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.3%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-27 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANF stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $71.28. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $72.14. Engine's entry $71.28 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Deep value: 54% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. | Falling knife (FK=6.5): wait for stabilization. Target $99.96 (+38.6%), stop $67.61 (−6.7%), Setup A.R:R 7.9:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $99.96 (+40.2% upside). Target $99.96 (+38.6%), stop $67.61 (−6.7%), Setup A.R:R 7.9:1. Stop-loss: $67.61.

What are the risks of investing in ANF?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is ANF overvalued or undervalued?

Abercrombie & Fitch Company trades at a P/E of 6.9 (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ANF?

18 analysts cover ANF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Abercrombie & Fitch Company do?Abercrombie & Fitch is a global digitally-led omnichannel apparel retailer operating Abercrombie and Hollister brands...

Abercrombie & Fitch is a global digitally-led omnichannel apparel retailer operating Abercrombie and Hollister brands across three geographic segments (Americas, EMEA, APAC) with 829 company-owned stores in 37 countries. Revenue is generated through Company-owned stores, digital channels, and franchise/wholesale arrangements; Vietnam and Cambodia together supplied 63% of merchandise receipts in Fiscal 2025.

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